In this paper we consider the one-dimensional, biased, randomly trapped random walk with infinite-variance trapping times. We prove sufficient conditions for the suitably scaled walk to converge to a transformation of a stable Lévy process. As our main motivation, we apply subsequential versions of our results to biased walks on subcritical Galton–Watson trees conditioned to survive. This confirms the correct order of the fluctuations of the walk around its speed for values of the bias that yield a non-Gaussian regime.

We give a probabilistic proof of a result of Shepp, that a symmetric random walk may have jump size distribution with arbitrarily large tails and yet still be persistent.

In this paper we consider the problem of first-crossing from above for a partial sums process m+St, t ≥ 1, with the diagonal line when the random variables Xt, t ≥ 1, are independent but satisfying nonstationary laws. Specifically, the distributions of all the Xts belong to a common parametric family of arithmetic distributions, and this family of laws is assumed to be stable by convolution. The key result is that the first-crossing time distribution and the associated ballot-type formula rely on an underlying polynomial structure, called the generalized Abel-Gontcharoff structure. In practice, this property advantageously provides simple and efficient recursions for the numerical evaluation of the probabilities of interest. Several applications are then presented, for constant and variable parameters.

In this paper we consider three-dimensional random tessellations that are stable under iteration (STIT tessellations). STIT tessellations arise as a result of subsequent cell division, which implies that their cells are not face-to-face. The edges of the cell-dividing polygons are the so-called I-segments of the tessellation. The main result is an explicit formula for the distribution of the number of vertices in the relative interior of the typical I-segment. In preparation for its proof, we obtain other distributional identities for the typical I-segment and the length-weighted typical I-segment, which provide new insight into the spatiotemporal construction process.

Let n points be chosen independently and uniformly in the unit cube [0,1]d, and suppose that each point is supplied with a mark, the marks being independent and identically distributed random variables independent of the location of the points. To each cube R contained in [0,1]d we associate its score defined as the sum of marks of all points contained in R. The scan statistic is defined as the maximum of taken over all cubes R contained in [0,1]d. We show that if the marks are nonlattice random variables with finite exponential moments, having negative mean and assuming positive values with nonzero probability, then the appropriately normalized distribution of the scan statistic converges as n → ∞ to the Gumbel distribution. We also prove a corresponding result for the scan statistic of a Lévy noise with negative mean. The more elementary cases of zero and positive mean are also considered.

Conditioning independent and identically distributed bond percolation with retention parameter p on a one-dimensional periodic lattice on the event of having a bi-infinite path from -∞ to ∞ is shown to make sense, and the resulting model exhibits a Markovian structure that facilitates its analysis. Stochastic monotonicity in p turns out to fail in general for this model, but a weaker monotonicity property does hold: the average edge density is increasing in p.

Management of a bufferless resource is considered under non-homogeneous demand consisting of one-unit and two-unit requests. Two-unit requests can be served only by a given partition of the resource. Three simple admission policies are evaluated with regard to revenue generation. One policy involves no admission control and two policies involve trunk reservation. A limiting regime in which demand and capacity increase in proportion is considered. It is shown that each policy is asymptotically optimal for a certain range of parameters. Limiting dynamical behavior is obtained via a theory developed by Hunt and Kurtz. The results also point out the remarkable effect of partition constraints.

We continue the study of the asymptotic behaviour of a random walk when it exits from a symmetric region of the form {(x, n): |x| ≤ rnb} as r → ∞ which was begun in Part I of this work. In contrast to that paper, we are interested in the case where the probability of exiting at the upper boundary tends to 1. In this scenario we treat the case where the power b lies in the interval [0, 1), and we establish necessary and sufficient conditions for the overshoot to be relatively stable in probability (except for the case ), and for the pth moment of the overshoot to be O(rq) as r → ∞.

The purpose of the paper is to study the asymptotic geometry of a smooth-grained Boolean model (X[t])t≥0 restricted to a bounded domain as the intensity parameter t goes to ∞. Our approach is based on investigating the asymptotic properties as t → ∞ of the random sets X[t;β], β≥0, defined as the Gibbsian modifications of X[t] with the Hamiltonian given by βtμ(·), where μ is a certain normalized measure on the setting space. We show that our model exhibits a phase transition at a certain critical value of the inverse temperature β and we prove that at higher temperatures the behaviour of X[t;β] is qualitatively very similar to that of X[t] but it becomes essentially different in the low-temperature region. From these facts we derive information about the asymptotic properties of the original process X[t]. The results obtained include large- and moderate-deviation principles. We conclude the paper with an example application of our methods to analyse the asymptotic moderate-deviation properties of convex hulls of large uniform samples on a multidimensional ball. To translate the above problem to the Boolean model setting considered we use an appropriate representation of convex sets in terms of their support functions.

We consider a model in which players must divide a fixed amount of resource between a number of trials of an underlying contest, with the underlying contest based on the War of Attrition. We are able to find the unique ES set (a simple generalisation of the idea of an evolutionarily stable strategy) in certain circumstances: in particular we find the conditions under which the ES set may contain a pure strategy.

The reliability of many stochastic repairable systems depends on several characteristics that are time dependent. In this paper, we develop general repair models for a repairable system by using auxiliary stochastic processes which describe physical characteristics of the system and derive various properties of resulting models. We also obtain an inference procedure to assess the number of failures and expected number of failures for our proposed models by observing auxiliary processes.

Clearly, our inference procedure is different from the traditional approach, where successive times of occurrence of failures are observed.

In their paper [2] Linnik and Zinger proved a theorem which has an important role in both theoretical and applied statistics. For the proof of their theorem the authors used a condition which greatly narrows down its applicability. In this paper we prove the theorem of Linnik and Zinger without this condition, and also give other extensions of it.

Within an anticipative stochastic calculus framework, we study a market game with asymmetric information and feedback effects. We derive necessary and sufficient criteria for the existence of Nash equilibria and study how general welfare is affected by the level of information. In particular, we show that, under certain conditions in a competitive environment, an increased level of information may in fact lower the level of general welfare, leading to the so-called Hirshleifer effect (see Hirshleifer (1971)). Finally, we determine equilibrium prices for particular pieces of information, by extending our market game with a pre-stage, in which information is traded.

Keilson and Servi introduced in [5] a variation of a GI/G/1 queue with vacation, in which at the end of a service time, either the server is not idle, and he starts serving the first customer in the queue with probability p, or goes on vacation with probability 1 – p, or he is idle, and he takes a vacation. At the end of a vacation, either customers are present, and the server starts serving the first customer, or he is idle, and he takes a vacation. The case p = 1, called the GI/G/1/V queue, was studied analytically by Gelenbe and Iasnogorodski [3] (see also [4]) and then by Doshi [1] and Fricker [2] who obtained stochastic decomposition results on the waiting-time of the nth customer extending the law decomposition result of [3]. Keilson and Servi [5] give a more complete analytic method of treating both the GI/G/1/V model and the Bernoulli vacation model: instead of the waiting time, they use a bivariate process at the service and vacation initiation epochs and the waiting-time distribution is computed as a conditional distribution of the above. In this note the law decomposition result is obtained from a reduction to the GI/G/1/V model with a modified service-time distribution just using the waiting time, with simple path arguments so that by [1] and [2] stochastic decomposition results are valid, which extend the result of [5].

We study cyclic polling models with exhaustive service at each queue under a variety of non-FCFS (first-come-first-served) local service orders, namely last-come-first-served with and without preemption, random-order-of-service, processor sharing, the multi-class priority scheduling with and without preemption, shortest-job-first, and the shortest remaining processing time policy. For each of these policies, we first express the waiting-time distributions in terms of intervisit-time distributions. Next, we use these expressions to derive the asymptotic waiting-time distributions under heavy-traffic assumptions, i.e. when the system tends to saturate. The results show that in all cases the asymptotic waiting-time distribution at queue i is fully characterized and of the form Γ Θi, with Γ and Θi independent, and where Γ is gamma distributed with known parameters (and the same for all scheduling policies). We derive the distribution of the random variable Θi which explicitly expresses the impact of the local service order on the asymptotic waiting-time distribution. The results provide new fundamental insight into the impact of the local scheduling policy on the performance of a general class of polling models. The asymptotic results suggest simple closed-form approximations for the complete waiting-time distributions for stable systems with arbitrary load values.

This paper studies the GI/G/1 queueing system in which no customer can stay longer than a fixed interval D. This is also a model for the dam with finite capacity, instantaneous water supply and constant release rule. Using analytical method together with the property that the queueing process ‘starts anew’ probabilistically whenever an arriving customer initiates a busy period, we obtain various transient and stationary results for the system.

Recently, systematic sampling on the circle and the sphere has been studied by Gual-Arnau and Cruz-Orive (2000) from a design-based point of view. In this note, it is shown that their mathematical model for the covariogram is, in a model-based statistical setting, a special case of the p-order shape model suggested by Hobolth, Pedersen and Jensen (2000) and Hobolth, Kent and Dryden (2002) for planar objects without landmarks. Benefits of this observation include an alternative variance estimator, applicable in the original problem of systematic sampling. In a wider perspective, the paper contributes to the discussion concerning design-based versus model-based stereology.

Generalizing the classical Banach matchbox problem, we consider the process of removing two types of ‘items’ from a ‘pile’ with selection probabilities for the type of the next item to be removed depending on the current numbers of remaining items, and thus changing sequentially. Under various conditions on the probability pn1,n2 that the next removal will take away an item of type I, given that n1 and n2 are the current numbers of items of the two types, we derive asymptotic formulas (as the initial pile size tends to infinity) for the probability that the items of type I are completely removed first and for the number of items left. In some special cases we also obtain explicit results.