Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment

doi:10.1017/CBO9780511619472

Bringing together many of the world's leading experts, this volume is a comprehensive, state-of-the-art review of climate change science, impacts, mitigation, adaptation, and policy. It provides an integrated assessment of research on the key topics that underlie current controversial policy questions. The first part of the book addresses recent topics and findings related to the physical-biological earth system. The next part of the book surveys estimates of the impacts of climate change for different sectors and regions. The third part examines current topics related to mitigation of greenhouse gases and explores the potential roles of various technological options. The last part focuses on policy design under uncertainty. Dealing with the scientific, economic and policy questions at the forefront of the climate change issue, this book will be invaluable for graduate students, researchers and policymakers interested in all aspects of climate change and the issues that surround it.

'It allows ideas to be tried and new thoughts floated as we start to tackle the issue of global warming. A useful reference for the university library.'

Source: Ecological and Environmental Education

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Contents

Frontmatter
pp i-vi
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Contents
pp vii-ix
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List of contributors
pp x-xvi
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Preface
pp xvii-xviii
- By Michael Schlesinger, Professor, University of Illinois, Haroon Kheshgi, ExxonMobil Research and Engineering, Joel Smith, Vice President, Stratus Consulting Ltd, John M. Reilly, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Tom Wilson, Principal, Electric Power Research Institute
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Part I - Climate system science
pp 1-4
- By Haroon S. Kheshgi, Coordinating Editor, ExxonMobil Research and Engineering Company
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1 - The concept of climate sensitivity: history and development
pp 5-17
- By Natalia Andronova, Department of Atmospheric, University of Michigan, Michael E. Schlesinger, Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Illinois, Suraje Dessai, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia Norwich, Mike Hulme, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia Norwich, Bin Li, Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Illinois
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2 - Effect of black carbon on mid-troposphere and surface temperature trends
pp 18-33
- By Joyce E. Penner, Department of Atmospheric, University of Michigan, Minghuai Wang, Department of Atmospheric, University of Michigan, Akshay Kumar, Bowie New Town Center, USA, Leon Rotstayn, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research Aspendale, Australia, Ben Santer, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
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3 - Evaluating the impacts of carbonaceous aerosols on clouds and climate
pp 34-48
- By Surabi Menon, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Anthony D. Del Genio, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies 2880 Broadway New York
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4 - Probabilistic estimates of climate change: methods, assumptions and examples
pp 49-61
- By Haroon S. Kheshgi, ExxonMobil Research and Engineering, Annandale, NJ 08801
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5 - The potential response of historical terrestrial carbon storage to changes in land use, atmospheric CO2, and climate
pp 62-71
- By Atul K. Jain, Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Illinois
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6 - The albedo climate impacts of biomass and carbon plantations compared with the CO2 impact
pp 72-83
- By M. Schaeffer, Royal Netherlands Embassy The Netherlands, B. Eickhout, Global Sustainability and Climate Team Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP), M. Hoogwijk, Ecofys B.V., PO Box 8408 The Netherlands, B. Strengers, Global Sustainability and Climate Team Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP), D. van Vuuren, Global Sustainability and Climate Team Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP), R. Leemans, Environmental Systems Analysis Group Wageningen University, T. Opsteegh, KNMI, PO Box 201 De Bilt 3730 AE, The Netherlands
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7 - Overshoot pathways to CO2 stabilization in a multi-gas context
pp 84-92
- By T. M. L. Wigley, National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO 80307–3000, USA, R. G. Richels, Electric Power Research Institute 2000 L Street NW, Suite 805 Washington, DC 20036, USA, J. A Edmonds, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Joint Global Change Research Institute at the University of Maryland
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8 - Effects of air pollution control on climate: results from an integrated global system model
pp 93-102
- By Ronald Prinn, Department of Earth, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, John M. Reilly, Joint Program on the Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Marcus Sarofim, Joint Program on the Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Chien Wang, Department of Earth, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Benjamin Felzer, Marine Biological Laboratory
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Part II - Impacts and adaptation
pp 103-106
- By Joel Smith, Coordinating Editor
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9 - Dynamic forecasts of the sectoral impacts of climate change
pp 107-118
- By Robert Mendelsohn, Yale FES 230 Prospect Street New Haven, CT 06511, USA, Larry Williams, Global Climate Research Electric Power Research Institute
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10 - Assessing impacts and responses to global-mean sea-level rise
pp 119-134
- By Robert J. Nicholls, School of Civil Engineering and the Environment University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK, Richard S. J. Tol, Hamburg University ZMK, Bundesstrasse 55, 20146 Hamburg, Jim W. Hall, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne Newcastle, NE1 7RU, UK
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11 - Developments in health models for integrated assessments
pp 135-146
- By Kristie L. Ebi, Exponent Health Group USA, Sari R. Kovats, Centre on Global Change and Health UK
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12 - The impact of climate change on tourism and recreation
pp 147-155
- By Jacqueline M. Hamilton, Centre for Marine and Climate Research Hamburg University, Richard S. J. Tol, Hamburg University ZMK Bundesstrasse 55, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
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13 - Using adaptive capacity to gain access to the decision-intensive ministries
pp 156-160
- By Gary W. Yohe, Wesleyan University, Middletown, CT, USA
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14 - The impacts of climate change on Africa
pp 161-166
- By Robert Mendelsohn, Yale FES 230 Prospect Street New Haven, CT 06511 USA
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Part III - Mitigation of greenhouse gases
pp 167-170
- By John M. Reilly, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Massachusetts Institute of Technology, E40–433 77 Massachusetts Ave. Cambridge, MA 02139 USA, Francisco de la Chesnaye, Climate Change Division, Office of Atmospheric Programs U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 1200 Pennsylvania Ave.
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15 - Bottom-up modeling of energy and greenhouse gas emissions: approaches, results, and challenges to inclusion of end-use technologies
pp 171-180
- By Jayant A. Sathaye, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley, CA, USA
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16 - Technology in an integrated assessment model: the potential regional deployment of carbon capture and storage in the context of global CO2 stabilization
pp 181-197
- By J.A. Edmonds, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory University of Maryland, J.J. Dooley, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory University of Maryland, S.K. Kim, Woodrow Wilson School and Department of Economics Princeton University, S.J. Friedman, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, M.A. Wise, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory University of Maryland
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17 - Hydrogen for light-duty vehicles: opportunities and barriers in the United States
pp 198-215
- By James L. Sweeney, Stanford University
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18 - The role of expectations in modeling costs of climate change policies
pp 216-226
- By Paul M. Bernstein, 5265 Lawelawe Pl. Honolulu, HI 96821 USA, Robert L. Earle, 2125 E. Orange Grove Blvd. Pasadena, CA 91104 USA, W. David Montgomery, 1201 F St. NW Ste. 700 Washington, DC 20004 USA
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19 - A sensitivity analysis of forest carbon sequestration
pp 227-237
- By Brent Sohngen, AED Economics Ohio State University Columbus, USA, Robert Mendelsohn, Yale FES CT, USA
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20 - Insights from EMF-associated agricultural and forestry greenhouse gas mitigation studies
pp 238-251
- By Bruce A. McCarl, Department of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University, Brian C. Murray, Department of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University, Man-Keun Kim, Department of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University, Heng-Chi Lee, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University 1145 Krannert Building, 403 West State Street, West Lafayette, IN 47907–1145, USA, Ronald D. Sands, Department of Agricultural Economics Texas A&M University, Uwe A. Schneider, Hamburg University, Centre of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences
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21 - Global agricultural land-use data for integrated assessment modeling
pp 252-265
- By Navin Ramankutty, SAGE Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies University of Wisconsin, Tom Hertel, Center for Global Trade Analysis Purdue University, Huey-Lin Lee, Center for Global Trade Analysis Purdue University, Steven K. Rose, US Environmental Protection Agency 1200 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW (6207J)
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22 - Past, present, and future of non-CO2 gas mitigation analysis
pp 266-281
- By Francisco C. de la Chesnaye, Climate Change Division, Office of Atmospheric Programs, US Environmental Protection Agency 1200 Pennsylvania Ave., NW (6207J) Washington, DC 20460, USA, Casey Delhotal, Climate Change Division, Office of Atmospheric Programs, US Environmental Protection Agency 1200 Pennsylvania Ave.; NW (6207J), Washington, DC 20460, USA, Benjamin DeAngelo, Ecosystems Center at the Marine Biological Laboratory Starr Building, MBL Street, Woods Hole, MA 02543, USA, Deborah Ottinger-Schaefer, Climate Change Division, Office of Atmospheric Programs, US Environmental Protection Agency 1200 Pennsylvania Ave., NW (6207J) Washington, DC 20460, USA, Dave Godwin, Stratospheric Protection Division, Office of Atmospheric Programs, US Environmental Protection Agency 1200 Pennsylvania Ave., NW (6205J) Washington, DC 20460 USA
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23 - How (and why) do climate policy costs differ among countries?
pp 282-293
- By Sergey Paltsev, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, MA, USA, John M. Reilly, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, MA, USA, Henry D. Jacoby, Massachusetts Institute of Technology CT, USA, Kok Hou Tay, Yale FES Cambridge, MA, USA
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Human-Induced Climate Change

An Interdisciplinary Assessment

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