Asymptotically pivotal structural change tests are developed for simultaneous equations with weakly identified parameters, extending the boundedly pivotal tests of Caner (2007, Journal of Econometrics 137, 28–67) by means of a simple reparametrization of the model.

A multivariate extension of the exponential continuous time GARCH (p, q) model (ECOGARCH) is introduced and studied. Stationarity and mixing properties of the new stochastic volatility model are investigated, and ways to model a component-wise leverage effect are presented.

Effect of nonnormality on the asymptotic property of three estimators of a single structural equation with structural change is examined. The three estimators are the limited information maximum likelihood estimator, derived under normality and equality of structural variances in different samples, given by Hodoshima, a two-stage least squares type estimator due to Barten and Bronsard, and a minimum distance estimator presented here. Normality is relaxed but the equality assumption of structural variances is retained. Under nonnormality the limited information maximum likelihood estimator is consistent but may not be efficient relative to the Barten and Bronsard's estimator. A sufficient condition is given under which the limited information maximum likelihood estimator dominates the Barten and Bronsard's estimator in terms of the asymptotic covariance matrix. The minimum distance estimator dominates other estimators.

The intercept of the binary response model is not regularly identified (i.e., $\sqrt n$ consistently estimable) when the support of both the special regressor V and the error term ε are the whole real line. The estimator of the intercept potentially has a slower than $\sqrt n$ convergence rate, which can result in a large estimation error in practice. This paper imposes additional tail restrictions which guarantee the regular identification of the intercept and thus the $\sqrt n$-consistency of its estimator. We then propose an estimator that achieves the $\sqrt n$ rate. Last, we extend our tail restrictions to a full-blown model with endogenous regressors.

We consider nonparametric identification and estimation of truncated regression models with unknown conditional heteroskedasticity. The existing methods (e.g., Chen (2010, Review of Economic Studies 77, 127–153)) that ignore heteroskedasticity often result in inconsistent estimators of regression functions. In this paper, we show that both the regression and heteroskedasticity functions are identified in a location-scale setting. Based on our constructive identification results, we propose kernel-based estimators of regression and heteroskedasticity functions and show that the estimators are asymptotically normally distributed. Our simulations demonstrate that our new method performs well in finite samples. In particular, we confirm that in the presence of heteroskedasticity, our new estimator of the regression function has a much smaller bias than Chen’s (2010, Review of Economic Studies 77, 127–153) estimator.

I am delighted to announce the following Econometric Theory Awards for 2004.

Under a Mundlak-type correlated random effect (CRE) specification, we first show that the average likelihood of a parametric nonlinear panel data model is the convolution of the conditional distribution of the model and the distribution of the unobserved heterogeneity. Hence, the distribution of the unobserved heterogeneity can be recovered by means of a Fourier transformation without imposing a distributional assumption on the CRE specification. We subsequently construct a semiparametric family of average likelihood functions of observables by combining the conditional distribution of the model and the recovered distribution of the unobserved heterogeneity, and show that the parameters in the nonlinear panel data model and in the CRE specification are identifiable. Based on the identification result, we propose a sieve maximum likelihood estimator. Compared with the conventional parametric CRE approaches, the advantage of our method is that it is not subject to misspecification on the distribution of the CRE. Furthermore, we show that the average partial effects are identifiable and extend our results to dynamic nonlinear panel data models.

Cost-effective survey methods such as multi(R)-phase sampling typically generate samples that are collections of monotonic subsamples, i.e., the variables observed for the units in subsample r are also observed for the units in subsample r + 1 for r = 1,…,R – 1. These subsamples represent subpopulations that can be systematically different if the selection of a unit in each phase of sampling depends on the observed variables for that unit from past phases. Our article is about optimally combining all the subsamples for the efficient estimation of a finite dimensional parameter defined by moment restrictions on a generic target population that is an arbitrary union of these subpopulations. Only the R-th subsample is assumed to contain all the variables that are arguments of the moment function. Semiparametric efficiency bounds for estimation are obtained under a unified framework, allowing for full generality of the selection on observables in the sampling design. Contribution of each subsample toward efficient estimation is analyzed; and this turns out to differ fundamentally from that in setups where the same collection of subsamples is instead generated unplanned by unknown sampling. Uniquely, our setup enables all the subsamples to contribute to the efficient estimation for all the target populations, which we show is not possible in other setups. Efficient estimation is standard. Simulation evidence of substantive efficiency gains from using all the subsamples is provided for all the targets.

We consider conditions for strict stationarity and ergodicity of a class of multivariate BEKK processes $(X_t : t=1,2,\ldots )$ and study the tail behavior of the associated stationary distributions. Specifically, we consider a class of BEKK-ARCH processes where the innovations are assumed to be Gaussian and a finite number of lagged $X_t$ ’s may load into the conditional covariance matrix of $X_t$ . By exploiting that the processes have multivariate stochastic recurrence equation representations, we show the existence of strictly stationary solutions under mild conditions, where only a fractional moment of $X_t$ may be finite. Moreover, we show that each component of the BEKK processes is regularly varying with some tail index. In general, the tail index differs along the components, which contrasts with most of the existing literature on the tail behavior of multivariate GARCH processes. Lastly, in an empirical illustration of our theoretical results, we quantify the model-implied tail index of the daily returns on two cryptocurrencies.