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In various stochastic models the random equation of implicit renewal theory appears where the real random variable S and the stochastic process Ψ with index space and state space R are independent. By use of stochastic approximation the distribution function of S is recursively estimated on the basis of independent or ergodic copies of Ψ. Under integrability assumptions almost sure L1-convergence is proved. The choice of gains in the recursion is discussed. Applications are given to insurance mathematics (perpetuities) and queueing theory (stationary waiting and queueing times).
We investigate the behaviour of P(R ≧ r) and P(R ≦ −r) as r → ∞for the random variable where is an independent, identically distributed sequence with P(− 1 ≦ M ≦ 1) = 1. Random variables of this type appear in insurance mathematics, as solutions of stochastic difference equations, in the analysis of probabilistic algorithms and elsewhere. Exponential and Poissonian tail behaviour can arise.
The present paper considers the present value, Z(t), of a series of cashflows up to some time t. More specifically, the cashflows and the interest rate process will often be stochastic and not necessarily independent of one another or through time. We discuss under what circumstances Z(t) will converge almost surely to some finite value as t→∞. This problem has previously been considered by Dufresne (1990) who provided a sufficient condition for almost sure convergence of Z(t) (the Root Test) and then proceeded to consider some specific examples of such processes. Here, we develop Dufresne's work and show that the sufficient condition for convergence can be proved to hold for quite a general class of model which includes the growing number of Office Models with stochastic cashflows.
Obtaining good estimates for the distribution function of random variables like (‘perpetuity’) and (‘aggregate claim amount’), where the (Yi), (Zi) are independent i.i.d. sequences and (N(t)) is a general point process, is a key question in insurance mathematics. In this paper, we show how suitably chosen metrics provide a theoretical justification for bootstrap estimation in these cases. In the perpetuity case, we also give a detailed discussion of how the method works in practice.
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