We analyze average-based distributed algorithms relying on simple and pairwise random interactions among a large and unknown number of anonymous agents. This allows the characterization of global properties emerging from these local interactions. Agents start with an initial integer value, and at each interaction keep the average integer part of both values as their new value. The convergence occurs when, with high probability, all the agents possess the same value, which means that they all know a property of the global system. Using a well-chosen stochastic coupling, we improve upon existing results by providing explicit and tight bounds on the convergence time. We apply these general results to both the proportion problem and the system size problem.

Consider a homogeneous Poisson point process of the Euclidean plane and its Voronoi tessellation. The present note discusses the properties of two stationary point processes associated with the latter and depending on a parameter $\theta$ . The first is the set of points that belong to some one-dimensional facet of the Voronoi tessellation and such that the angle with which they see the two nuclei defining the facet is $\theta$ . The main question of interest on this first point process is its intensity. The second point process is that of the intersections of the said tessellation with a straight line having a random orientation. Its intensity is well known. The intersection points almost surely belong to one-dimensional facets. The main question here concerns the Palm distribution of the angle with which the points of this second point process see the two nuclei associated with the facet. We will give answers to these two questions and briefly discuss their practical motivations. We also discuss natural extensions to three dimensions.

We reduce the upper bound for the bond percolation threshold of the cubic lattice from 0.447 792 to 0.347 297. The bound is obtained by a growth process approach which views the open cluster of a bond percolation model as a dynamic process. A three-dimensional dynamic process on the cubic lattice is constructed and then projected onto a carefully chosen plane to obtain a two-dimensional dynamic process on a triangular lattice. We compare the bond percolation models on the cubic lattice and their projections, and demonstrate that the bond percolation threshold of the cubic lattice is no greater than that of the triangular lattice. Applying the approach to the body-centered cubic lattice yields an upper bound of 0.292 893 for its bond percolation threshold.

Spatial random graphs capture several important properties of real-world networks. We prove quenched results for the continuous-space version of scale-free percolation introduced in [14]. This is an undirected inhomogeneous random graph whose vertices are given by a Poisson point process in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Each vertex is equipped with a random weight, and the probability that two vertices are connected by an edge depends on their weights and on their distance. Under suitable conditions on the parameters of the model, we show that, for almost all realizations of the point process, the degree distributions of all the nodes of the graph follow a power law with the same tail at infinity. We also show that the averaged clustering coefficient of the graph is self-averaging. In particular, it is almost surely equal to the annealed clustering coefficient of one point, which is a strictly positive quantity.

We are interested in the property of coming down from infinity of continuous-state branching processes with competition in a Lévy environment. We first study the event of extinction for such a family of processes under Grey’s condition. Moreover, if we add an integrability condition on the competition mechanism then the process comes down from infinity regardless of the long-time behaviour of the environment.

In the collector’s problem with group drawings, s out of n different types of coupon are sampled with replacement. In the uniform case, each s-subset of the types has the same probability of being sampled. For this case, we derive a Poisson limit theorem for the number of types that are sampled at most $c-1$ times, where $c \ge 1$ is fixed. In a specified approximate nonuniform setting, we prove a Poisson limit theorem for the special case $c=1$ . As corollaries, we obtain limit distributions for the waiting time for c complete series of types in the uniform case and a single complete series in the approximate nonuniform case.

We provide upper and lower bounds for the mean $\mathscr{M}(H)$ of $\sup_{t\geq 0} \{B_H(t) - t\}$ , with $B_H(\!\cdot\!)$ a zero-mean, variance-normalized version of fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$ . We find bounds in (semi-) closed form, distinguishing between $H\in(0,\frac{1}{2}]$ and $H\in[\frac{1}{2},1)$ , where in the former regime a numerical procedure is presented that drastically reduces the upper bound. For $H\in(0,\frac{1}{2}]$ , the ratio between the upper and lower bound is bounded, whereas for $H\in[\frac{1}{2},1)$ the derived upper and lower bound have a strongly similar shape. We also derive a new upper bound for the mean of $\sup_{t\in[0,1]} B_H(t)$ , $H\in(0,\frac{1}{2}]$ , which is tight around $H=\frac{1}{2}$ .

We study, under mild conditions, the weak approximation constructed from a standard Poisson process for a class of Gaussian processes, and establish its sample path moderate deviations. The techniques consist of a good asymptotic exponential approximation in moderate deviations, the Besov–Lèvy modulus embedding, and an exponential martingale technique. Moreover, our results are applied to the weak approximations associated with the moving average of Brownian motion, fractional Brownian motion, and an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process.

We consider a birth–death process with killing where transitions from state i may go to either state $i-1$ or state $i+1$ or an absorbing state (killing). Stochastic ordering results on the killing time are derived. In particular, if the killing rate in state i is monotone in i, then the distribution of the killing time with initial state i is stochastically monotone in i. This result is a consequence of the following one for a non-negative tri-diagonal matrix M: if the row sums of M are monotone, so are the row sums of $M^n$ for all $n\ge 2$ .

Extended gamma processes have been seen as a flexible extension of standard gamma processes in the recent reliability literature, for the purpose of cumulative deterioration modeling. The probabilistic properties of the standard gamma process have been well explored since the 1970s, whereas those of its extension remain largely unexplored. In particular, stochastic comparisons between degradation levels modeled by standard gamma processes and ageing properties for the corresponding level-crossing times are now well understood. The aim of this paper is to explore similar properties for extended gamma processes and see which ones can be broadened to this new context. As a by-product, new stochastic comparisons for convolutions of gamma random variables are also obtained.

In this paper we study a large system of N servers, each with capacity to process at most C simultaneous jobs; an incoming job is routed to a server if it has the lowest occupancy amongst d (out of N) randomly selected servers. A job that is routed to a server with no vacancy is assumed to be blocked and lost. Such randomized policies are referred to JSQ(d) (Join the Shortest Queue out of d) policies. Under the assumption that jobs arrive according to a Poisson process with rate $N\lambda^{(N)}$ where $\lambda^{(N)}=\sigma-\frac{\beta}{\sqrt{N}\,}$ , $\sigma\in\mathbb{R}_+$ and $\beta\in\mathbb{R}$ , we establish functional central limit theorems for the fluctuation process in both the transient and stationary regimes when service time distributions are exponential. In particular, we show that the limit is an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process whose mean and variance depend on the mean field of the considered model. Using this, we obtain approximations to the blocking probabilities for large N, where we can precisely estimate the accuracy of first-order approximations.

In addition to the features of the two-parameter Chinese restaurant process (CRP), the restaurant under consideration has a cocktail bar and hence allows for a wider range of (bar and table) occupancy mechanisms. The model depends on three real parameters, $\alpha$ , $\theta_1$ , and $\theta_2$ , fulfilling certain conditions. Results known for the two-parameter CRP are carried over to this model. We study the number of customers at the cocktail bar, the number of customers at each table, and the number of occupied tables after n customers have entered the restaurant. For $\alpha>0$ the number of occupied tables, properly scaled, is asymptotically three-parameter Mittag–Leffler distributed as n tends to infinity. We provide representations for the two- and three-parameter Mittag–Leffler distribution leading to efficient random number generators for these distributions. The proofs draw heavily from methods known for exchangeable random partitions, martingale methods known for generalized Pólya urns, and results known for the two-parameter CRP.

This paper considers a variant of the classical Cramér–Lundberg model that is particularly appropriate in the credit context, with the distinguishing feature that it corresponds to a finite number of obligors. The focus is on computing the ruin probability, i.e. the probability that the initial reserve, increased by the interest received from the obligors and decreased by the losses due to defaults, drops below zero. As well as an exact analysis (in terms of transforms) of this ruin probability, an asymptotic analysis is performed, including an efficient importance-sampling-based simulation approach.

The base model is extended in multiple dimensions: (i) we consider a model in which there may, in addition, be losses that do not correspond to defaults, (ii) then we analyze a model in which the individual obligors are coupled via a regime switching mechanism, (iii) then we extend the model so that between the losses the reserve process behaves as a Brownian motion rather than a deterministic drift, and (iv) we finally consider a set-up with multiple groups of statistically identical obligors.

We consider a stochastic matching model with a general compatibility graph, as introduced by Mairesse and Moyal (2016). We show that the natural necessary condition of stability of the system is also sufficient for the natural ‘first-come, first-matched’ matching policy. To do so, we derive the stationary distribution under a remarkable product form, by using an original dynamic reversibility property related to that of Adan, Bušić, Mairesse, and Weiss (2018) for the bipartite matching model.

Comparison results for Markov processes with respect to function-class-induced (integral) stochastic orders have a long history. The most general results so far for this problem have been obtained based on the theory of evolution systems on Banach spaces. In this paper we transfer the martingale comparison method, known for the comparison of semimartingales to Markovian semimartingales, to general Markov processes. The basic step of this martingale approach is the derivation of the supermartingale property of the linking process, giving a link between the processes to be compared. This property is achieved using the characterization of Markov processes by the associated martingale problem in an essential way. As a result, the martingale comparison method gives a comparison result for Markov processes under a general alternative but related set of regularity conditions compared to the evolution system approach.

In a multitype branching process, it is assumed that immigrants arrive according to a non-homogeneous Poisson or a contagious Poisson process (both processes are formulated as a non-homogeneous birth process with an appropriate choice of transition intensities). We show that the normalized numbers of objects of the various types alive at time t for supercritical, critical, and subcritical cases jointly converge in distribution under those two different arrival processes. Furthermore, we provide some transient expectation results when there are only two types of particles.

This paper introduces a non-linear and continuous-time opinion dynamics model with additive noise and state-dependent interaction rates between agents. The model features interaction rates which are proportional to a negative power of the opinion distances. We establish a non-local partial differential equation for the distribution of opinion distances and use Mellin transforms to provide an explicit formula for the stationary solution of the latter, when it exists. Our approach leads to new qualitative and quantitative results on this type of dynamics. To the best of our knowledge these Mellin transform results are the first quantitative results on the equilibria of opinion dynamics with distance-dependent interaction rates. The closed-form expressions for this class of dynamics are obtained for the two-agent case. However, the results can be used in mean-field models featuring several agents whose interaction rates depend on the empirical average of their opinions. The technique also applies to linear dynamics, namely with a constant interaction rate, on an interaction graph.

We consider a strictly substochastic matrix or a stochastic matrix with absorbing states. By using quasi-stationary distributions we show that there is an associated canonical Markov chain that is built from the resurrected chain, the absorbing states, and the hitting times, together with a random walk on the absorbing states, which is necessary for achieving time stationarity. Based upon the 2-stringing representation of the resurrected chain, we supply a stationary representation of the killed and the absorbed chains. The entropies of these representations have a clear meaning when one identifies the probability measure of natural factors. The balance between the entropies of these representations and the entropy of the canonical chain serves to check the correctness of the whole construction.

For a determinantal point process (DPP) X with a kernel K whose spectrum is strictly less than one, André Goldman has established a coupling to its reduced Palm process $X^u$ at a point u with $K(u,u)>0$ so that, almost surely, $X^u$ is obtained by removing a finite number of points from X. We sharpen this result, assuming weaker conditions and establishing that $X^u$ can be obtained by removing at most one point from X, where we specify the distribution of the difference $\xi_u: = X\setminus X^u$. This is used to discuss the degree of repulsiveness in DPPs in terms of $\xi_u$, including Ginibre point processes and other specific parametric models for DPPs.

We revisit the forward algorithm, developed by Irle, to characterize both the value function and the stopping set for a large class of optimal stopping problems on continuous-time Markov chains. Our objective is to renew interest in this constructive method by showing its usefulness in solving some constrained optimal stopping problems that have emerged recently.