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Bayesian animals sense ecological constraints to predict fitness and organize individually flexible reproductive decisions

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 May 2013

Patricia Adair Gowaty
Affiliation:
Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, and Institute of Environment and Sustainability, Los Angeles, CA 90095; and Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Unit 9100, BOX 0948, DPO AA 34002-9998. [email protected]://www.eeb.ucla.edu/[email protected]://www.eeb.ucla.edu/indivfaculty.php?FacultyKey=8416
Stephen P. Hubbell
Affiliation:
Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, and Institute of Environment and Sustainability, Los Angeles, CA 90095; and Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Unit 9100, BOX 0948, DPO AA 34002-9998. [email protected]://www.eeb.ucla.edu/[email protected]://www.eeb.ucla.edu/indivfaculty.php?FacultyKey=8416

Abstract

A quantitative theory of reproductive decisions (Gowaty & Hubbell 2009) says that individuals use updated priors from constantly changing demographic circumstances to predict their futures to adjust actions flexibly and adaptively. Our ecological/evolutionary models of ultimate causes seem consistent with Clark's ideas and thus suggest an opportunity for a unified proximate and ultimate theory of Bayesian animal brains, senses, and actions.

Type
Open Peer Commentary
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2013 

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References

Darwin, C. (1871) The descent of man and selection in relation to sex. John Murray.Google Scholar
Gowaty, P. A. & Hubbell, S. P. (2009) Reproductive decisions under ecological constraints: It's about time. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 106:10017–24.Google Scholar
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