A model of the development of L/M cone ratios in
the Old World primate retina is presented. It is supposed that during
gestation, the cone cycles randomly between states in which it transcribes
either L or M opsin. The current state determines and
increases the probability that it will transcribe the same opsin in future
cycles. These assumptions are sufficient to formalize the process as a
Markov chain that can be modeled as an urn containing two types of balls,
L and M. Drawing one ball results in the increase of its
species and the decrease of the other. Over the long run, the urn will
become populated with a single type of ball. This state corresponds to the
photoreceptor adopting a fixed identity for its lifetime. We investigate
the effect of the number of states and the rule that regulates the
advantage of transition toward one cone type or another on the relation
between fetal and adult L/M cone ratios. In the
range of 100 to 1000 states, small variations of the initial
L/M ratio or the transition advantage can each
generate large changes in the final L/M ratio, in
qualitative accord with the variation seen in human adult retinas. The
time course to attain stable L/M ratios also varies
with these parameters. If it is believed that the cycling follows a
circadian rhythm, then final L/M cone ratios would
be expected to stabilize shortly after birth in the human being and the
macaque.