With the rapid development of the national economy, the demand for electricity is also growing. Thermal power generation accounts for the highest proportion of power generation, and coal is the most commonly used combustion material. The massive combustion of coal has led to serious environmental pollution. It is significant to improve energy conversion efficiency and reduce pollutant emissions effectively. In this paper, an extreme learning machine model based on improved Kalman particle swarm optimization (ELM-IKPSO) is proposed to establish the boiler combustion model. The proposed modeling method is applied to the combustion modeling process of a 300 MWe pulverized coal boiler. The simulation results show that compared with the same type of modeling method, ELM-IKPSO can better predict the boiler thermal efficiency and NOx emission concentration and also show better generalization performance. Finally, multi-objective optimization is carried out on the established model, and a set of mutually non-dominated boiler combustion solutions is obtained.

This paper is concerned with the preliminary localisation, orbit determination and model-based path forecasting of space debris based on a robust procedure. In this work, an in-orbit observer utilises only relative bearing observations iteratively. To this end, the problem is first formulated in order to calculate the distance vector between the space debris and any orbiting observer. Afterwards, the obtained position vector is corrected through an Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) for shrinking the sensor and process errors and increasing robustness of the computations in the presence of uncertainties. After preliminary positioning, the related classical orbital elements are acquired via the predicted position and velocity vectors using a hybrid technique. Extensive simulations demonstrate the efficacy and robustness of the aforementioned method, and in particular it is verified that the proposed scheme is capable of producing a suitable solution for preliminary localisation and orbit determination of space debris based on the presented space-based observation, which is practical in phasing and chasing manoeuvres of any grabber space robot.

The Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) is a well-known nonlinear state estimation method. It shows superior performance at nonlinear estimation compared to the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF). This paper is devoted to an investigation between UKF and EKF with different feedback control modes in vehicle navigation. Theoretical formulation, simulation and field tests have been carried out to compare the performance of UKF and EKF. The simulation and test results demonstrate that the estimated state of a UKF relies on the measurements and is less sensitive to historical model information. The results also indicate that UKF has benefits for prototype model design due to avoidance of calculation of a Jacobian matrix. EKF, however, is more computationally efficient and more stable.

This paper reports on a new navigation algorithm for fixed-wing Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) to bridge Global Position System (GPS) outages, based on a common navigation system configuration. The ground velocity is obtained from wind-compensated airspeed, and a centripetal force model is introduced to estimate the motion acceleration. Compensated by this acceleration, the gravity vector can be extracted from the accelerometer measurement. Finally, fusing the information of the ground velocity, magnetic heading, barometric height, and gravity vector, the Integrated Navigation System (INS) is reconstructed, and an Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) is used to estimate INS errors. Hardware-in-loop simulation results show that compared with INS-only solutions, the proposed method effectively resists long-term drift of INS errors and significantly improves the accuracy for dynamic navigation during GPS outages.

This paper reports on the potential application of interval Kalman filtering techniques in the design of a navigation system for an uninhabited surface vehicle named Springer. The interval Kalman filter (IKF) is investigated for this task since it has had limited exposure for such usage. A state-space model of the Springer steering dynamics is used to provide a framework for the application of the Kalman filter (KF) and IKF algorithms for estimating the heading angle of the vessel under erroneous modelling assumptions. Simulations reveal several characteristics of the IKF, which are then discussed, and a review of the work undertaken to date presented and explained in the light of these characteristics, with suggestions on potential future improvements.

The paper examines the problem of dynamic ship positioning with the use of Kalman Filter- and Particle Filter-based sensor fusion algorithms. The proposed approach enables to estimate accurately the ship's state vector by fusing the vessel's position and heading measurements coming from on-board sensors together with distance measurements coming from sensors located at the coast (e.g. radar). The estimated state vector is used in turn, in a control loop, to regulate the horizontal position and heading of the vessel. The performance of dynamic positioning of the ship based on Kalman and Particle Filtering is evaluated through simulation experiments.

Trajectories of individual molecules moving within complex environments such as cell cytoplasm and membranes or semiflexible polymer networks provide invaluable information on the organization and dynamics of these systems. However, when such trajectories are obtained from a sequence of microscopy images, they can be distorted due to the fact that the tracked molecule exhibits appreciable directed motion during the single-frame acquisition. We propose a new model of image formation for mobile molecules that takes the linear in-frame motion into account and develop an algorithm based on the maximum likelihood approach for retrieving the position and velocity of the molecules from single-frame data. The position and velocity information obtained from individual frames are further fed into a Kalman filter for interframe tracking of molecules that allows prediction of the trajectory of the molecule and further improves the precision of the position and velocity estimates. We evaluate the performance of our algorithm by calculations of the Cramer-Rao Lower Bound, simulations, and model experiments with a piezo-stage. We demonstrate tracking of molecules moving as fast as 7 pixels/frame (12.6 μm/s) within a mean error of 0.42 pixel (37.43 nm).

This paper argues that most of the problems that actuaries have to deal with in the context of non-life insurance can be usefully cast in the framework of computational intelligence (a.k.a. artificial intelligence), the discipline that studies the design of agents which exhibit intelligent behaviour. Finding an adequate framework for actuarial problems has more than a simply theoretical interest: it also allows a technological transfer from the computational intelligence discipline to general insurance, wherever techniques have been developed for problems which are common to both contexts. This has already happened in the past (neural networks, clustering, data mining have all found applications to general insurance) but not in a systematic way. One of the objectives of this paper will therefore be to introduce some useful techniques such as sparsity-based regularisation and dynamic decision networks that are not yet known to the wider actuarial community.

Whilst in the first part of this paper we dealt mainly with data-driven loss modelling under the assumption that all the data were accurate and fully relevant to the exercise, in this second part of the paper we explore how to deal with uncertain knowledge, whether this uncertainty comes from the fact that the data are not fully reliable (e.g. they are estimates) or from the fact that the knowledge is “soft” (e.g. expert beliefs) or not fully relevant (e.g. market information on a given risk). Most importantly, we will deal with the problem of making pricing, reserving and capital decisions under uncertainty. It will be concluded that a Bayesian framework is the most adequate for dealing with uncertainty, and we will present a number of computational intelligence techniques to do this in practice.

This study aims to create a prediction model for state-space estimation and to elucidate the required information processing for identifying an external space in prism adaptation. Subjects were 57 healthy students. The subjects were instructed to rapidly perform reaching movements to one of the randomly illuminating light-emitting diode lights. Their movements were measured while wearing prism glasses and after removing that. We provided the following four conditions and control. In target condition, reaching error distance was visually fed back to the subject. In trajectory condition, the trajectory of fingertip movement could be seen, and the final reaching error was not fed back. Two restricted visual feedback conditions were prepared based on a different presentation timing (on-time and late-time conditions). We set up a linear parametric model and an estimation model using Kalman filtering. The goodness of fit between the estimated and observed values in each model was examined using Akaike information criterion (AIC). AIC would be one way to evaluate two models with different number of parameters. In the control, the value of AIC was 179.0 and 154.0 for the linear model and Kalman filtering, respectively, while these values were 173.6 and 161.1 for the target condition, 202.8 and 159.7 for the trajectory condition, 192.7 and 180.8 for the on-time condition, and 206.9 and 174.0 for the late-time condition. Kalman gain in the control was 0.07–0.26. Kalman gain relies on the prior estimation distribution when its value is below 0.5. Kalman gain in the trajectory and late-time conditions was 0.03–0.60 and 0.08–0.95, respectively. The Kalman filter, a state estimation model based on Bayesian theory, expressed the dynamics of the internal model under uncertain feedback information better than the linear parametric model. The probabilistic estimation model can clearly simulate state estimation according to the reliability of the visual feedback.

A novel design of a three dimensional localiser intended for autonomous robot vehicles is presented. A prototype is implemented in air using ultrasonic beacons at known positions, and can be adapted to underwater environments where it has important applications, such as deep sea maintenance, data collection and reconnaissance tasks. The paper presents the hardware design, algorithms for position and orientation determination (six degrees of freedom), and performance results of a laboratory prototype. Two approaches are discussed for position and orientation determination – (i) fast single measurement set techniques and (ii) computationally slower Kalman filter based techniques. The Kalman filter approach allows the incorporation of robot motion information, more accurate beacon modelling and the capability of processing data from more than four beacons, the minimum number required for localisation.

This paper presents a Kalman filtering technique for reducing errors in locating 3-D objects using a sensor system. The location information is employed to control the motion of an industrial robot to pick up the objects. The sensor consists of a rigid platform mounted on a flexible column. Each object to be located is placed on the sensor. The static deflections and natural frequencies of vibrations of the sensor are measured and processed to determine the position and orientation of the object. In practice, the sensor signals obtained are corrupted with noise leading to errors in location determination. A Kalman filter is used to reduce the noise present in the sensor system.

This paper presents a performance comparison of different estimation and prediction techniques applied to the problem of tracking multiple robots. The main performance criteria are the magnitude of the estimation or prediction error, the computational effort and the robustness of each method to non-Gaussian noise. Among the different techniques compared are the well-known Kalman filters and their different variants (e.g. extended and unscented), and the more recent techniques relying on Sequential Monte Carlo Sampling methods, such as particle filters and Gaussian Mixture Sigma Point Particle Filter.

A localization system using GPS, ABS sensors and a driving wheel encoder is described and tested through real experiments. A new odometric technique using the four ABS sensors is presented. Due to the redundancy of measurements, the precision is better than the method using differential odometry on the rear wheels only. The sampling is performed when necessary and when a GPS measurement is performed. This implies a noticeable reduction of the GPS latency, simplifying the data-fusion process and improving the quality of its results.

For outdoor mobile robots localisation, GPS has obvious advantages: position data are directly given in an absolute frame, and the required infrastructure is reduced to a sole fixed station in the case of differential systems. Yet, the use of this solution raises a number of issues, such as the satellite maskings, or the existence of the so-called GPS latency which delays the output of the localisation data. This paper deals with the latter problem, and proposes a method to identify this parameter without using other exteroceptive sensors. Experimental results are presented based on trials carried out at the Centre d'Expérimentations Routières (CER) in Rouen, in collaboration with the Laboratoire Central des Ponts et Chaussées (LCPC).

This paper describes an extension of the SDM scheme introduced by Priestley (1980) to the problem of the identification of non-linear systems using only input/output records. It is shown that, under quite general assumptions on the structure of the system, it is possible to identify a non-linear relationship between the input and output processes via a modified version of the Kalman-type algorithm previously applied to the study of non-linear time series models. The paper includes a numerical study of data generated from various types of non-linear systems.