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Gaussian expansions and bounds for the Poisson distribution applied to the Erlang B formula
- Part of
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- Journal:
- Advances in Applied Probability / Volume 40 / Issue 1 / March 2008
- Published online by Cambridge University Press:
- 01 July 2016, pp. 122-143
- Print publication:
- March 2008
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This paper presents new Gaussian approximations for the cumulative distribution function P(Aλ ≤ s) of a Poisson random variable Aλ with mean λ. Using an integral transformation, we first bring the Poisson distribution into quasi-Gaussian form, which permits evaluation in terms of the normal distribution function Φ. The quasi-Gaussian form contains an implicitly defined function y, which is closely related to the Lambert W-function. A detailed analysis of y leads to a powerful asymptotic expansion and sharp bounds on P(Aλ ≤ s). The results for P(Aλ ≤ s) differ from most classical results related to the central limit theorem in that the leading term Φ(β), with
is replaced by Φ(α), where α is a simple function of s that converges to β as s tends to ∞. Changing β into α turns out to increase precision for small and moderately large values of s. The results for P(Aλ ≤ s) lead to similar results related to the Erlang B formula. The asymptotic expansion for Erlang's B is shown to give rise to accurate approximations; the obtained bounds seem to be the sharpest in the literature thus far.
is replaced by Φ(