Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-r5fsc Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-28T01:14:45.314Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Poultry production in 2025: learning from future scenarios

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 March 2011

C. JEZ ,
C. BEAUMONT  and
P. MAGDELAINE
C. JEZ*
Affiliation:
French National Institute for Agricultural Research (INRA), 147 rue de l'Université, 75338 Paris cedex 07, France
C. BEAUMONT
Affiliation:
French National Institute for Agricultural Research (INRA), 37380 Nouzilly, France
P. MAGDELAINE
Affiliation:
French Technical Institute for Poultry Production (ITAVI), 28 rue du Rocher, 75008 Paris, France
*
Corresponding author: [email protected]
Get access

Abstract

For approximately the past ten years, the European poultry sector has faced both competition from new poultry-exporting countries and growing societal concerns about animal welfare, food safety, and environmental impacts of production systems. On a global scale, poultry production increased nearly 4% per year during that period. Although it increased slightly in the European Union (EU) as a whole, largely owing to the integration of new EU member states, in some EU countries such as France it decreased by up to 20%. This caused concern among public and private stakeholders, especially poultry farmers, about the future of poultry farming in their countries. To help French stakeholders design strategies for the future, a technical institute (ITAVI) and a research institute (INRA) conducted a scenario-building exercise. Based on interviews with stakeholders and an 18-month-long series of discussions by a panel of poultry experts, four future scenarios were developed. Rather than simply extending current trends, they took into account uncertainties such as potential shifts in European policies and regulations, consumer attitudes, and stakeholder strategies. The main economic, social, environmental, and food-safety lessons of this exploration are presented here from a European perspective. More specifically, the implications of these scenarios for future research are highlighted. Although no scenario envisages strong production growth by 2025, all emphasise the importance of multidisciplinary research to characterise the quality and sustainability of poultry production, which in turn can improve its competitiveness.

Keywords

poultryscenariossustainabilityresearch
Type
Review Article
Information
World's Poultry Science Journal , Volume 67 , Issue 1 , March 2011 , pp. 105 - 114
Copyright
Copyright © World's Poultry Science Association 2011

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

BOYD, W. (2001) Making meat: Science, technology and American poultry production. Technology and Culture 42(4): 631-664.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
DE JOUVENEL, H. (2004) Invitation à la prospective/An invitation to foresight, Editions Futuribles, collection perspectives, Paris, 88p.Google Scholar
EUROPEAN COMMISSION, (2009) Circa public statistics, http://circa.europa.eu/Public/irc/agri/Home/main.Google Scholar
JEZ, C., BEAUMONT, C., MAGDELAINE, P. and PAILLARD, S. (2009) La filière avicole française à l'horizon 2025. INRA-ITAVI, Paris, 89p.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
MAGDELAINE, P., SPIESS, M.P. and VALCESCHINI, E. (2008) Poultry meat consumption trends in Europe. World's Poultry Science Journal 64: 53-64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
MAGDELAINE, P. (2008) La situation des filières avicoles françaises. Rapport réalisé dans le cadre du projet AVITER – ITAVI, Paris, 75p.Google Scholar
OECD, (2006) The implications of changing market structures in the poultry industry. AGR/CA/APM/CFS/MD/RD(2006)7.Google Scholar
OFFICE DE L'ELEVAGE, (2008) Le marché des produits laitiers, carnés et avicoles en 2008. Paris.Google Scholar
SPIESS, M.P. (2005) Evolution de la segmentation des principaux marchés européens de la volaille, Sixièmes journées de la recherche avicole, 30-31 March, St. Malo, France. UBIFRANCE, Paris 8p.Google Scholar
TREGARO, Y. and VALLIN, B. (2009) Les filières avicoles européennes face à la mondialisation des échanges. Huitièmes journées de la recherche avicole, 25-26 March, St. Malo, France. FRANCE AGRIMER, Paris, 7p.Google Scholar
VAN HORNE, P. (2009) Coûts de production des poulets de chair dans différents pays du Monde: étude comparative et perspectives. Huitièmes Journées de la Recherche Avicole, 25-26 March, St. Malo, France. LEI, Wageningen, 4p.Google Scholar