Hostname: page-component-6bf8c574d5-gr6zb Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2025-02-28T11:32:56.971Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Politics of Police Reform in the States

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 February 2025

Michael W. Sances*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, Temple University, Political Science, Philadelphia, PA, USA

Abstract

The 2020 Black Lives Matter protests dramatically increased the salience of police reform, yet the US Congress failed to pass any reforms. In contrast, state governments have passed hundreds of police-related bills since 2020. I summarize the plethora of state reforms passed over this period by grouping them into 18 key areas, including 14 I classify as pro-reform and four I classify as anti-reform. Next, I describe how party control and public opinion relate to state reforms. I find that state party control is a robust predictor of enacting pro-police reform policies, and that reforms are more likely in states with more Democratic and more pro-reform publics. While police reforms are responsive to public opinion, they are also typically incongruent.

Type
Original Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the State Politics and Policy Section of the American Political Science Association

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Ace Metrix. 2020. “Black Lives Matter Themed Ads See Success.” Acemetrix.com, July 14. https://www.acemetrix.com/insights/blog/black-lives-matter-themed-ads-see-success/.Google Scholar
Achen, Christopher H. 1978. “Measuring Representation.” American Journal of Political Science 22(3): 475510.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anzia, Sarah F. 2021. “Party and Ideology in American Local Government: An Appraisal.” Annual Review of Political Science 24(1): 133–50.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Banks, Duren, Hendrix, Joshua, Hickman, Matthew, and Kyckelhahn, Tracey. 2016. “National Sources of Law Enforcement Employment Data.” Bureau of Justice Statistics. https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/nsleed.pdf.Google Scholar
Boudreau, Cheryl, MacKenzie, Scott A., and Simmons, Daniel J.. 2022. “Police Violence and Public Opinion After George Floyd: How the Black Lives Matter Movement and Endorsements Affect Support for Reforms.” Political Research Quarterly 75(2): 497511.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Buchanan, Larry, Bui, Quoctrung, and Patel, Jugal K.. 2020. “Black Lives Matter May Be the Largest Movement in U.S. History.” New York Times, July 3. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/07/03/us/george-floyd-protests-crowd-size.html.Google Scholar
Buehler, Emily D. 2021. “Justice Expenditures and Employment in the United States, 2017.” Bureau of Justice Statistics. https://bjs.ojp.gov/library/publications/justice-expenditures-and-employment-united-states-2017.Google Scholar
Caughey, Devin, and Warshaw, Christopher. 2018. “Policy Preferences and Policy Change: Dynamic Responsiveness in the American States, 1936–2014.” American Political Science Review 112(2): 249–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Caughey, Devin, Xu, Yiqing, and Warshaw, Christopher. 2017. “Incremental Democracy: The Policy Effects of Partisan Control of State Government.” Journal of Politics 79(4): 1342–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Congressional Research Service. 2023. “Congress and Law Enforcement Reform: Constitutional Authority.” Congressional Research Service. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/LSB/LSB10487#.Google Scholar
Dale, Daniel. 2022. “Fact Check: The GOP’s Dishonesty-Filled Barrage of ‘Defund the Police’ Attack Ads.” CNN.com, October 23. https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/23/politics/fact-check-defund-the-police-ads-2022-midterms/index.html.Google Scholar
Eckhouse, Laurel. 2019. “Race, Party, and Representation in Criminal Justice Politics.” Journal of Politics 81(3): 1143–52.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Edmondson, Catie, and Fandos, Nicholas. 2020. “G.O.P. Scrambles to Respond to Public Demands for Police Overhaul.” New York Times, June 9. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/09/us/politics/republicans-police-reform.html.Google Scholar
Enns, Peter K. 2014. “The Public’s Increasing Punitiveness and Its Influence on Mass Incarceration in the United States.” American Journal of Political Science 58(4): 857–72.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fandos, Nicholas, Edmondson, Catie, and Zraick, Karen. 2021. “The House Passes a Policing Overhaul Bill Named for George Floyd, Whose Death Spurred Nationwide Protests.” New York Times, March 4. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/04/us/george-floyd-act.html.Google Scholar
Friedrich, Michael. 2022. “Bipartisan Police Reform Sweeps All 50 States.” Arnold Ventures, September 15. https://www.arnoldventures.org/stories/bipartisan-police-reform-sweeps-all-50-states.Google Scholar
Garrett, Brandon. 2023. “The Laws That Regulate Police: The Wilson Center’s Policing Legislation Database.” https://wcsj.law.duke.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Policing-Database-Report-May-2023.pdf.Google Scholar
Gelman, Andrew, and Hill, Jennifer. 2007. Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Grynbaum, Michael M., Karni, Annie, and Peters, Jeremy W.. 2020. “What Top Conservatives Are Saying About George Floyd and Police Brutality.” New York Times, May 30. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/30/us/politics/george-floyd-tucker-carlson-rush-limbaugh.html.Google Scholar
Hopkins, Daniel J. 2018. The Increasingly United States: How and Why American Political Behavior Nationalized. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
James, Christina, and Stewart, Charles III. 2022. “Changing Access to Voting in the Aftermath of the 2020 Election.” Working Paper, Social Science Research Network. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4171019.Google Scholar
Kastellec, Jonathan P., Lax, Jeffrey R., and Phillips, Justin. 2019. “Estimating State Public Opinion with Multi-Level Regression and Poststratification Using R.” Unpublished manuscript, Princeton University. https://jkastellec.scholar.princeton.edu/publications/mrp_primer.Google Scholar
Lampe, Joanna R. 2023. “Congress and Police Reform: Recent Proposals.” Congressional Research Service. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/LSB/LSB10914.Google Scholar
Lax, Jeffrey R., and Phillips, Justin H.. 2012. “The Democratic Deficit in the States.” American Journal of Political Science 56(1): 148–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Luca, Michael, Malhotra, Deepak, and Poliquin, Christopher. 2020. “The Impact of Mass Shootings on Gun Policy.” Journal of Public Economics 181: 104083.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Matsusaka, John G. 2010. “Popular Control of Public Policy: A Quantitative Approach.” Quarterly Journal of Political Science 5(2): 133–67.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Monnay, Tatyana. 2022. “States Approved Nearly 300 Bills Affecting Policing in Wake of George Floyd’s Murder.” Howard Center for Investigative Journalism, October 28. https://cnsmaryland.org/2022/10/28/states-approved-nearly-300-bills-affecting-policing-in-wake-of-george-floyds-murder/.Google Scholar
National Conference of State Legislatures. 2021. “Law Enforcement Legislation: Significant Trends 2021.” National Conference of State Legislatures, October 20. https://www.ncsl.org/civil-and-criminal-justice/law-enforcement-legislation-significant-trends-2021.Google Scholar
National Conference of State Legislatures. 2024. “Policing Legislation Database.” National Conference of State Legislatures, January 15. https://www.ncsl.org/civil-and-criminal-justice/policing-legislation-database.Google Scholar
Nguyen, Terry. 2020. “Consumers Don’t Care About Corporate Solidarity. They Want Donations.” Vox, June 3. https://www.vox.com/the-goods/2020/6/3/21279292/blackouttuesday-brands-solidarity-donations.Google Scholar
Reny, Tyler T., and Newman, Benjamin J.. 2021. “The Opinion-Mobilizing Effect of Social Protest Against Police Violence: Evidence from the 2020 George Floyd Protests.” American Political Science Review 115(4): 1499–507.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Robinson, Laurie O. 2020. “Five Years After Ferguson: Reflecting on Police Reform and What’s Ahead.” The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 687(1): 228–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rogers, Steven. 2017. “Electoral Accountability for State Legislative Roll Calls and Ideological Representation.” American Political Science Review 111(3): 555–71.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ruggles, Steven, Flood, Sarah, Sobek, Matthew, Backman, Daniel, Chen, Annie, Cooper, Grace, Richards, Stephanie, Rodgers, Renae, and Schouweiler, Megan. 2024. IPUMS USA: Version 15.0 [dataset]. Minneapolis: IPUMS. https://doi.org/10.18128/D010.V15.0Google Scholar
Sances, Michael W. 2024a. “Attitudes Toward Police and Police Spending.” Public Opinion Quarterly 88(2): 431–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sances, Michael W. 2024b. “Replication Data for: The Politics of Police Reform in the States.” https://doi.org/10.15139/S3/ALJDQX, UNC Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:QOjpNthXEIMVx/EZgXuB2A== [fileUNF]CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Simonovits, Gabor, Guess, Andrew M., and Nagler, Jonathan. 2019. “Responsiveness Without Representation: Evidence from Minimum Wage Laws in US States.” American Journal of Political Science 63(2): 401–10.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Snell, Kelsey. 2020. “How George Floyd’s Death Made Republicans On Capitol Hill Shift Their Rhetoric.” National Public Radio, June 23. https://www.npr.org/2020/06/23/882481264/how-george-floyds-death-made-republicans-on-capitol-hill-shift-their-rhetoric.Google Scholar
Tesler, Michael. 2020. “Support for Black Lives Matter Surged During Protests, But Is Waning Among White Americans.” FiveThirtyEight, August 19. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/support-for-black-lives-matter-surged-during-protests-but-is-waning-among-white-americans/.Google Scholar
Thomson-DeVeaux, Amelia, and Koerth, Maggie. 2020. “Is Police Reform a Fundamentally Flawed Idea?” FiveThirtyEight, June 22. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-police-reform-a-fundamentally-flawed-idea/.Google Scholar
Wooley, John, and Peters, Gerhard. 2021. “2020.” The American Presidency Project. https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/elections/2020.Google Scholar
Wright, Gerald C. Jr., Erikson, Robert S., and McIver, John P.. 1987. “Public Opinion and Policy Liberalism in the American States.” American Journal of Political Science 31(4): 9801001.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zimring, Franklin E. 2020. “Police Killings as a Problem of Governance.” The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 687(1): 114–23.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Sances supplementary material

Sances supplementary material
Download Sances supplementary material(File)
File 444.9 KB
Supplementary material: Link

Sances Dataset

Link