Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rcrh6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-24T19:28:24.989Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

What, If Anything, Have We Learned from Presidential Election Forecasting?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 April 2014

William G. Mayer
William G. Mayer*
Affiliation:
Northeastern University
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content.
Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Symposium: US Presidential Election Forecasting
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 47 , Issue 2 , April 2014 , pp. 329 - 331
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2014 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Abramowitz, Alan I. 1988. “An Improved Model for Predicting Presidential Election Outcomes.” PS: Political Science and Politics 21 (Autumn): 843–47.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2013. “A First Party-Term Incumbent Survives: The Fundamentals of 2012.” In Barack Obama and the New America: The 2012 Election and the Changing Face of Politics. Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E., and Wink, Kenneth A.. 1990. “Trial-Heat Forecasts of the Presidential Vote.” American Politics Quarterly 18 (July): 251–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1981. Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Gelman, Andrew, and King, Gary. 1993. “Why Are American Presidential Election Campaigns So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable?” British Journal of Political Science 23 (October): 409–51.Google Scholar
Mayer, William G. 2012. “How the Romney Campaign Blew It.” The Forum 10 (December): 40–50.Google Scholar