Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-fscjk Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T10:16:36.669Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Computer Modeling for Predicting and Planning for Worldwide and Regional Problems

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 June 2012

Donald R. Lesh
Donald R. Lesh
Affiliation:
From the USA Association of the Club of Rome, 1525 New Hampshire Avenue, NW, Washington DC 20036,USA. (Telephone: 202745-7115.)
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Extract

How can the results of computer modeling be used most effectively to serve the public policy decision-making process? In considering that question, I find it useful to keep two factors very clearly in mind:

First, simulation models never provide any final answers; they simply offer an accurate, rapid, and mathematically precise means of analyzing a number of complex variables and tracing their dynamic interactions over time.

Second, the use of computer modeling therefore presupposes—even demands—an ultimate higher level of decision —political, medical, or what have you—among the policy alternatives analyzed and compared in the model.

Type
Part III: International Organizations - Planning - Disaster Events
Information
Prehospital and Disaster Medicine , Volume 1 , supplement S1: Disaster Resuscitology , 1985 , pp. 319 - 320
Copyright
Copyright © World Association for Disaster and Emergency Medicine 1985

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)