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Religion as a Peacemaker? Peace Duration after Ethnic Civil Wars

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 November 2016

Mehmet Gurses  and
Nicolas Rost
Mehmet Gurses*
Affiliation:
Florida Atlantic University
Nicolas Rost
Affiliation:
United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
*
Address correspondence and reprint requests to: Mehmet Gurses, Department of Political Science, Florida Atlantic University, 777 Glades Road, Social Science 391E, Boca Raton, FL 33431-0991. E-mail: [email protected]; or to: Nicolas Rost, Humanitarian Affairs Officer, United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, 405 East 42nd Street, New York, NY, 10017. E-mail: [email protected].
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Abstract

What role does religion play in preventing civil war from recurring? Politicians have proposed that when warring groups share the same religion, achieving a durable peace will be easier. We test this hypothesis empirically using a large-n sample of all ethnic civil wars that began and ended between 1950 and 2006, and a measure of co-religiosity between the ethnic group in power and the main opposition group. The analysis shows that there is no positive relationship between co-religiosity and the duration of post-civil war peace, showing that sharing the same religion may not help to bring about peace following an ethnic civil war. To the contrary, the closer religious ties, the less likely it is that peace will last after the end of the conflict, and the higher the risk that conflict will recur.

Type
Articles
Information
Politics and Religion , Volume 10 , Issue 2 , June 2017 , pp. 339 - 362
Copyright
Copyright © Religion and Politics Section of the American Political Science Association 2016 

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Footnotes

We would like to thank Gail Choate, two anonymous reviewers, and Paul A. Djupe for their helpful comments. The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the United Nations.

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