Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-fscjk Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T12:26:39.819Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Evangelicals, Issues, and the 2008 Iowa Caucuses

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 November 2009

Kimberly H. Conger*
Affiliation:
Iowa State University
*
Address correspondence and reprint requests to: Kimberly H. Conger, Department of Political Science, 515 Ross Hall, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011. E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

Evangelicals form the core of Republican constituencies in many states. This has been particularly true in Iowa, where the Christian Right has held significant influence in the Republican party for almost 20 years. However, recent scholarship has suggested that evangelicals, particularly younger ones, may be changing their candidate choices and partisanship due to dissatisfaction with Republican policies. Based on a unique study surveying caucus-goers' opinions after the January 2008 caucuses, I examine respondents' candidate preferences in light of their religious beliefs, issues preferences, and demographic identities. The results indicate that while evangelicals remain more conservative on social issues than their co-partisans in both parties, issues seem to make little difference in candidate choice. This conclusion suggests that Republican evangelicals remain committed to the importance of social issues – or at least to their evangelical identity – in their voting choices.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Religion and Politics Section of the American Political Science Association 2009

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Abramowitz, Alan I. 1987. “Candidate Choice before Convention.” Political Behavior 9:4961.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Adams, Greg D. 1997. “Abortion: Evidence of an Issue Evolution.” American Journal of Political Science 41:718737.Google Scholar
Aldrich, John R., and Alvarez, R. Michael. 1994. “Issues and the Presidential Primary Voter.” Political Behavior 16:289317.Google Scholar
Barstow, David. 2000. “McCain Denounces Political Tactics of the Christian Right.” The New York Times, February 29.Google Scholar
Bartels, Larry M. 1985. “Expectations and Preferences in Presidential Nominating Campaigns.” American Political Science Review 79:804–815.Google Scholar
Bartels, Larry M. 1988. Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Bendavid, Naftali. 2006. “The House that Rahm Built.” The Chicago Tribune; November 12. 1.Google Scholar
Bolce, Louis, and Maio, Gerald De. 2002. “Our Secularist Democratic Party.” The Public Interest 149:320.Google Scholar
Brady, Henry E., and Johnston, Richard. 1987. “What's the Primary Message: Horse Race or Issue Journalism.” In Media and Momentum, ed. Orren, Gary R., and Polsby, Nelson W.. Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.Google Scholar
Brams, Steven J. 1978. The Presidential Election Game. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Conger, Kimberly H., and Racheter, Donald P.. 2006. “Iowa: In the Heart of Bush Country.” In The Values Campaign? The Christian Right in the 2004 Election, ed. Green, John C., Rozell, Mark, and Wilcox, Clyde. Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press. pp. 128142.Google Scholar
Faith in Public Life. 2008. “The Young and the Faithful.” http://www.faithinpubliclife.org/tools/polls/faps/The Young and the Faithful.pdf (Accessed on October 8, 2008).Google Scholar
Gopoian, J., David, . 1982. “Issue Preferences and Candidate Choice in Presidential Primaries.” American Journal of Political Science 26:523546.Google Scholar
Green, John C., and Guth, James L.. 1988. “The Christian Right in the Republican Party: The Case of Pat Robertson's Supporters.” Journal of Politics 50:150165.Google Scholar
Green, John C., Rozell, Mark J., and Wilcox, Clyde. 2003. The Christian Right in American Politics: Marching to the Millennium. Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press.Google Scholar
Highton, Benjamin. 2004. “Policy Voting in Senate Elections: The Case of Abortion.” Political Behavior 26:181200.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Keeter, Scott. 2006. “Evangelicals and the GOP: An Update.” Pew Research Center for the People and the Press Survey Report. http://pewresearch.org/pubs/78/Evangelicals-and-the-gop-an-update (Accessed on October 18, 2006).Google Scholar
Kirkpatrick, David D. 2004. “Some Democrats Believe the Party Should Get Religion.” The New York Times, November 17, A20.Google Scholar
Layman, Geoffrey. 2001. The Great Divide: Religious and Cultural Conflict in American Party Politics. New York, NY: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Leege, David C., and Kellstedt, Lyman A.. 1993. Rediscovering the Religious Factor in American Politics. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe.Google Scholar
Long, J. Scott, and Freese, Jeremy. 2005. Regression Models for Categorical Outcomes Using Stata. Second Edition.College Station, TX: Stata Press.Google Scholar
Marshall, Thomas R. 1984. “Issues, Personalities, and Presidential Primary Voters.” Social Science Quarterly 65:750760.Google Scholar
Norrander, Barbara. 1986. “Correlates of Vote Choice in the 1980 Presidential Primaries.” Journal of Politics 48:156166.Google Scholar
Rickershauser, Jill, and Aldrich, John H.. 2007. “‘It's the electability, stupid’ – or maybe not? Electability, substance, and strategic voting in presidential primaries.” Electoral Studies 26:371380.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rozell, Mark J., and Wilcox, Clyde. 1995. God at the Gross Roots: The Christian Right in the 1994 Elections. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers.Google Scholar
Stone, Walter J., Rapoport, Ronald B., and Abramowitz, Alan I.. 1992. “Candidate Support in Presidential Nomination Campaigns: The Case of Iowa in 1984.” Journal of Politics 54:10741097.Google Scholar
The Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life Survey Report. (2008). “More Americans Question Religion's Role in Politics.” http://pewforum.org/docs/?DocID=338 (Accessed on August 21, 2008).Google Scholar
Winebrenner, Hugh. 1998. Iowa Precinct Caucuses: The Making of a Media Event. Ames, IA: Iowa State University Press.Google Scholar