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Voter uncertainty, political institutions, and legislative turnover

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 September 2018

Yanna Krupnikov  and
Charles R. Shipan
Yanna Krupnikov*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, USA
Charles R. Shipan
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of Michigan
*
*Corresponding author. Email: [email protected]
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Abstract

The level of legislative turnover in a polity can have significant political consequences. Low turnover may increase the number of legislators who are out of touch with constituents, while high turnover can limit a legislature’s ability to fulfill its duties. Focusing on separation of powers arrangements, a factor overlooked by previous studies, we identify institutional conditions that affect turnover. When the executive and legislature are equally responsible for budgetary outcomes, we argue, this creates ambiguous contexts, leaving voters more likely to re-elect incumbents, thereby lowering turnover. We test our predictions using US state-level data.

Type
Original Articles
Information
Political Science Research and Methods , Volume 8 , Issue 1 , January 2020 , pp. 14 - 29
Copyright
Copyright © The European Political Science Association 2018 

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