The Impact of Public Opinion on U.S. Foreign Policy Since
Vietnam. By Richard Sobel. New York: Oxford University Press,
2001. 288p. $24.95.
International Public Opinion and the Bosnia Crisis. Edited
by Richard Sobel and Eric Shiraev. Lanham, MD: Lexington Books, 2003.
344p. $80.00 cloth, $25.95 paper.
In 2001, Richard Sobel published four case studies chronicling the
impact of public opinion on U.S. foreign policy since the start of the
Vietnam War. He used public opinion surveys and interviews with senior
policymakers, including three secretaries of state and four secretaries
of defense, to document how opinions fluctuated throughout each crisis
and how various movers and shakers felt about the weight that they
should assign to public opinion in their deliberations. The
crises—the Vietnam War, the Nicaraguan Contra-funding
controversy, the Persian Gulf War, and the Bosnia
crisis—demonstrate that public opinion did constrain policy
options, but did not determine the specific policies that were chosen.
This finding confirms V. O. Key's theory, first expressed in his
pathbreaking study Public Opinion and American Democracy
(1961) that public opinion operates like a system of dikes. These dikes
limit how far policymakers can go in committing the country to actions
in the policy sphere.