Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-fscjk Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-28T01:28:32.593Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

ENDOGENOUS FERTILITY WITH A SIBSHIP SIZE EFFECT

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 October 2015

Elise S. Brezis
Affiliation:
Bar-Ilan University
Rodolphe Dos Santos Ferreira*
Affiliation:
BETA, CNRS and University of Strasbourg
*
Address correspondence to: Rodolphe Dos Santos Ferreira, BETA, Université Louis Pasteur, 61, avenue de la Forêt Noire, 67085 Strasbourg Cedex, France; email: [email protected].

Abstract

Since the seminal work of Becker, the dynamics of endogenous fertility has been based on the trade-off faced by parents between the quantity and the quality of their children. However, in developing countries, where child labor is an indispensable source of household income, parents actually incur a negative cost by having an extra child, so that the trade-off disappears. The purpose of this paper is to restore the Beckerian quantity–quality trade-off when intergenerational transfers are upstream, in order to keep fertility endogenous. We do that by adding a negative “sibship size effect” on human capital formation to the standard Becker model. With a simple specification, we obtain multiplicity of steady states or, more fundamentally, the possibility of a jump from a state with high fertility and low income to a state with low fertility and high income, triggered by a continuous increase in the productivity of human capital formation.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2015 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Aaby, Peter (1988) Malnutrition and overcrowding/intensive exposure in severe measles infection: Review of community studies. Reviews of Infectious Diseases 10, 478491.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Aaby, Peter, Bukh, Jette, Lisse, Ida Maria, and Smits, Arjon J. (1984) Overcrowding and intensive exposure as determinants of measles mortality. American Journal of Epidemiology 120, 4963.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Baland, Jean-Marie and Robinson, James A. (2000) Is child labor inefficient? Journal of Political Economy 108, 663679.Google Scholar
Barro, Robert J. and Becker, Gary S. (1989) Fertility choice in a model of economic growth. Econometrica 57, 481501.Google Scholar
Basu, Kaushik and Van, Pham Hoang (1998) The economics of child labor. American Economic Review 88, 412427.Google Scholar
Becker, Gary S. (1960) An economic analysis of fertility. In Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries, pp. 209231. Princeton, NJ: National Bureau of Economic Research.Google Scholar
Becker, Gary S. (1981) A Treatise on the Family. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Becker, Gary S. and Robert, J. Barro (1988) A reformulation of the economic theory of fertility. Quarterly Journal of Economics 103, 125.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Becker, Gary S. and Lewis, H. Gregg (1974) Interaction between quantity and quality of children. In Schultz, Theodore W. (ed.), Economics of the Family: Marriage, Children, and Human Capital, pp. 8190. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Becker, Gary S., Murphy, Kevin M., and Tamura, Robert (1990) Human capital, fertility and economic growth. Journal of Political Economy 98, S12S37.Google Scholar
Becker, Gary S. and Tomes, Nigel (1976) Child endowments and the quantity and quality of children. Journal of Political Economy 84, S143S162.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Birdsall, Nancy (1983) Fertility and economic change in eighteenth and nineteenth century Europe: A comment. Population and Development Review 9, 111123.Google Scholar
Blackburn, Keith and Cipriani, Giam Pietro (2005) Intergenerational transfers and demographic transition. Journal of Development Economics 78, 191214.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boucekkine, Raouf, de la Croix, David, and Licandro, Omar (2002) Vintage human capital, demographic trends, and endogenous growth. Journal of Economic Theory 104, 340375.Google Scholar
Boucekkine, Raouf, de la Croix, David, and Peeters, Dominique (2007) Early literacy achievements, population density, and the transition to modern growth. Journal of the European Economic Association 5, 183226.Google Scholar
Caldwell, John C. (1981) The mechanisms of demographic change in historical perspective. Population Studies 35, 527.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Chakraborty, Shankha and Das, Mausumi (2005) Mortality, fertility, and child labor. Economics Letters 86, 273278.Google Scholar
Dasgupta, Partha (1995) The population problem: Theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Literature 33, 18791902.Google Scholar
Desai, Sonalde (1995) When are children from large families disadvantaged? Evidence from cross-national analyses. Population Studies 49, 195210.Google Scholar
Dessy, Sylvain E. (2000) A defense of compulsive measures against child labor. Journal of Development Economics 62, 261275.Google Scholar
Downey, Douglas B. (2001) Number of siblings and intellectual development: The resource dilution explanation. American Psychologist 56, 497504.Google Scholar
Downey, Douglas B., Powell, Brian, Steelman, Lala Carr, and Pribesh, Shana (1999) Much ado about siblings: Change models, sibship size, and intellectual development. Comment on Guo and VanWey. American Sociological Review 64, 193198.Google Scholar
Edmonds, Eric V. and Pavcnik, Nina (2005) Child labor in the global economy. Journal of Economic Perspectives 19, 199220.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Evans, Clare (1990) Unemployment and the making of the feminine during the Lancashire cotton famine. In Hudson, Pat and Lee, W. Robert (eds.), Women's Work and the Family Economy in Historical Perspective. Manchester, UK: Manchester University Press.Google Scholar
Galor, Oded and Weil, David N. (2000) Population, technology and growth: From Malthusian stagnation to the demographic transition and beyond. American Economic Review 90, 806828.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guo, Guang and VanWey, Leah K. (1999) Sibship size and intellectual development: Is the relationship causal? American Sociological Review 64, 169187.Google Scholar
Hanushek, Eric A. (1992) The trade-off between child quantity and quality. Journal of Political Economy 100, 84117.Google Scholar
Hazan, Moshe and Berdugo, Binyamin (2002) Child labour, fertility, and economic growth. Economic Journal 112, 810828.Google Scholar
Horrell, Sara and Humphries, Jane (1997) The origins and expansion of the male breadwinner family: The case of nineteenth-century Britain. International Review of Social History 42, 2564.Google Scholar
ILO Report (2006) Child Labour: Targeting the Intolerable. Geneva: International Labour Office.Google Scholar
ILO Report (2010) Accelerating Action against Child Labour. Geneva: International Labour Office.Google Scholar
Jones, Larry E. and Schoonbroodt, Alice (2010) Complements versus substitutes and trends in fertility choice in dynastic models. International Economic Review 51, 671699.Google Scholar
King, Elizabeth M. (1987) The effect of family size on family welfare: What do we know? In Johnson, D. Gale and Lee, Ronald D. (eds.), Population Growth and Economic Development: Issues and Evidence, pp. 373412. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.Google Scholar
Klemp, Marc P.B. and Weisdorf, Jacob L. (2012) Fecundity, Fertility and Family Reconstitution Data: The Child Quantity-Quality Trade-Off Revisited. CEPR discussion paper 9121.Google Scholar
Knodel, John, Havanon, Napaporn, and Sittitrai, Werasit (1990) Family size and the education of children in the context of rapid fertility decline. Population and Development Review 16, 3162.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lampi, Elina and Nordblom, Katarina (2012) Nature and nurture: The relation between number of siblings and earnings. Applied Economics Letters 19, 759762.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Li, Hongbin, Zhang, Junsen, and Zhu, Yi (2008) The quantity–quality trade-off of children in a developing country: Identification using Chinese twins. Demography 45, 223243.Google Scholar
Nardinelli, Clark (1990) Child Labor and the Industrial Revolution. Bloomington: Indiana University Press.Google Scholar
Okpukpara, Benjamin Chiedozie and Odurukwe, Ngozi (2006) Incidence and Determinants of Child Labour in Nigeria: Implications for Poverty Alleviation. African Economic Research Consortium research paper 156.Google Scholar
Phillips, Meredith (1999) Sibship size and academic achievement: What we now know and what we still need to know. Comment on Guo and VanWey. American Sociological Review 64, 188192.Google Scholar
Psacharopoulos, George and Arriagada, Ana Maria (1989) The determinants of early age human capital formation: Evidence from Brazil. Economic Development and Cultural Change 37, 683708.Google Scholar
Schellekens, Jona (1993) Wages, secondary workers, and fertility: A working-class perspective of the fertility transition in England and Wales. Journal of Family History 18, 117.Google Scholar
Shammas, Carole (1984) The eighteenth-century English diet and economic change. Explorations in Economic History 21, 254269.Google Scholar
Strauss, Ester (2007) Factors Effecting Health Behavior, Related to Breast Cancer Screening, among Jewish Ultra Orthodox Women in Comparison to Jewish Non-Ultra Orthodox Women. Ph.D. thesis, Department of Epidemiology, Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University.Google Scholar
Sugawara, Kouki (2010) Intergenerational transfers and fertility: Trade-off between human capital and child labour. Journal of Macroeconomics 32, 584593.Google Scholar
Taha, Wael, Chin, Daisy, Silverberg, Arnold I., Lashiker, Larisa, Khateeb, Naila, and Anhalt, Henry (2001) Reduced spinal bone mineral density in adolescents of an ultra-orthodox Jewish community in Brooklyn. Pediatrics 107, e-79.Google Scholar
Tamura, Robert (1994) Fertility, human capital and the wealth of families. Economic Theory 4, 593603.Google Scholar
Tuttle, Carolyn and Wegge, Simone (2002) The Role of Child Labor in Industrialization. Mimeo, Lake Forest College.Google Scholar
Varvarigos, Dimitrios and Zakaria, Intan Zanariah (2013) Endogenous fertility in a growth model with public and private health expenditures. Journal of Population Economics 26, 6785.Google Scholar
Wigniolle, Bertrand (2002) Fertility, intergenerational transfers and economic development. Journal of International Trade and Economic Development 11, 297321.Google Scholar
Wright, Charlotte M., Stone, David H., and Parkinson, Kathryn N. (2010) Undernutrition in British Haredi infants within the Gateshead Millennium cohort study. Archives of Disease in Childhood 95, 630633.Google Scholar