Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-mkpzs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-25T07:25:50.670Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Decision to Establish a Foreign Bank Branch or Subsidiary: An Application of Binary Classification Procedures

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 April 2009

Extract

This paper has two purposes. First, we model a key decision for international banks using data on the foreign direct investment (FDI) behavior of foreign banks in Japan and California. Second, we examine the utility of linear discriminant analysis and maximum likelihood logit analysis as statistical techniques for relating a qualitative dependent variable to a vector of independent variables.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1982

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

[1]Anderson, T. W.An Introduction to Multivariate Statistical Analysis. New York: Wiley and Sons, Inc. (1958).Google Scholar
[2]Buckley, Peter J. and Casson, Mark. The Future of the Multinational Corporation. London: Macmillan (1976).Google Scholar
[3]Cox, D. R.Analysis of Binary Data. London: Methuen and Co. Ltd, (1970).Google Scholar
[4]Davidson, William H.The Location of Foreign Direct Investment Activity: Country Characteristics and Experience Curve Effects.” Journal of International Business Studies (Fall 1980), pp. 922.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[5]Dunning, J. H.Towards an Eclectic Theory of International Production.” Journal of International Business Studies Vol. 11, No. 1 (1980), pp. 931.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[6]Efron, Bradley. “The Efficiency of Logistic Regression Compared to Normal Discriminant Analysis.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 70, No. 352 (1975), pp. 892898.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[7]Goldberg, Lawrence G., and Saunders, Anthony. “The Growth of Organizational Forms of Foreign Banks in the U.S.Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 13, No. 3 (1981), pp. 365374.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[8]Goldberg, Lawrence G., and Saunders, Anthony. “A Model of Foreign Market Entry by the International Banking Firm.” Unpublished paper, University of Miami and New York University (1981).Google Scholar
[9]Grubel, Herbert G. “A Theory of Multinational Banking.” Banca Rationale del Lavoro Quarterly Review (12 1977), pp. 349364.Google Scholar
[10]Hymer, Stephen H.The International Operations of National Firms: A Study of Direct Investment. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press (1976).Google Scholar
[11]Johanson, J., and Vahlne, J. E.. “The International Process of the Firm– –A Model of Knowledge Development and Increasing Foreign Market Commitments.” Journal of International Business Studies(Spring–Summer 1977), pp. 2343.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[12]Johnson, Harry G. “The Efficiency and Welfare Implications of the International Corporation.” In The International Corporation, Kindleberger, Charles P., ed. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press (1970).Google Scholar
[13]Khoury, Sarkis J.International Banking: A Special Look at Foreign Banks in the U.S.Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 10, No. 3 (1979), pp. 3652.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[14]Kohlhagen, Steven W.Exchange Rate Changes, Profitability, and Direct Foreign Investment.” Southern Economic Journal Vol. 44, No. 1 (1977), pp. 4352.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[15]Ladd, George W.Linear Probability Functions and Discriminant Functions.” Eoonometrica, Vol. 34, No. 4 (1966), pp. 873885.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[16]Lessard, Donald R. “Transfer Prices, Taxes, and Financial Markets: Implications of Internal Financial Transfers within the Multinational Firm.” In Research in International Business and Finance, Vol. 1, Hawkins, Robert G., ed. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, Inc. (1979).Google Scholar
[17]Magee, Stephen P. “Information and the Multinational Corporation: An Appropriabi1ity Theory of Foreign Direct Investment.” In The New International Economic Order: The North-South Debate, Bhagwati, Jagdish N., ed. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press (1977).Google Scholar
[18]McFadden, Daniel. “Quantal Choice Analysis: A Survey.” Annals of Economic and Social Measurement Vol. 5, No. 6 (1976), pp. 363390.Google Scholar
[19]Morrison, Donald G.Upper Bounds of Correlations between Binary Outcomes and Probabilistic Predictions.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 67, No. 37 (1972), pp. 6870.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[20]O'Neill, Terence J.The General Distribution of the Error Rate of a Classification Procedure with Application to Logistic Regression Discrimination.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 75, No. 369 (1980), pp. 15160.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[21]Press, S. James, and Wilson, Sandra. “Choosing between Logistic Regression and Discriminant Analysis.” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 73, No. 364 (1978), pp. 699705.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[22]Terrell, Henry S. “US Banks in Japan and Japanese Banks in the United States: An Empirical Comparison.” Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (Summer 1978), pp. 1830.Google Scholar
[23]Tschoegl, Adrian E. “Essays in Foreign Direct Investment in Banking.” Unpublished Ph.D. dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Alfred P. Sloan School of Management (1980).Google Scholar
[24]Wiginton, John C.A Note on the Comparison of Logit and Discriminant Models of Consumer Credit Behavior.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 15, No. 3 (1980), pp. 757770.CrossRefGoogle Scholar