Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-q99xh Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-24T03:29:12.832Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Economic losses in dairy farms due to heat stress in sub-tropics: evidence from North Indian Plains

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 May 2022

Bishwa Bhaskar Choudhary  and
Smita Sirohi
Bishwa Bhaskar Choudhary*
Affiliation:
ICAR-Indian Grassland and Fodder Research Institute, Jhansi, Uttar Pradesh 284003, India
Smita Sirohi
Affiliation:
Embassy of India to the EU, Belgium and Luxembourg, 217 Chaussee de Vleurgat, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
*
Author for correspondence: Bishwa Bhaskar Choudhary, Email: [email protected]
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

The present study assesses the sensitivity of dairy animals to thermal stress, and projects the economic losses due to heat stress in the Trans and Upper Gangetic plains region of India with Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 climate scenario for the time slice 2010–2039 and two subperiods, 2020–2029 and 2030–2039. The projections were carried out for two different scenarios of population and productivity growth of dairy animals, Business-as-Usual (BAU) and Alternate, whereby land, feed and fodder constraints were applied. The potential annual loss in milk production due to heat stress in the region was estimated to be around 361 and 377 thousand tons for the time slice 2010–2039 under BAU and Alternate scenario, respectively. In economic terms these losses, at current prices, would be equivalent to INR 11.93 billion and INR 12.44 billion, respectively. This gives an indication of the level of financial investment that can be made in adaptation measures to arrest the loss due to climate change.

Keywords

Economic lossesheat stressrepresentative concentration pathway
Type
Research Article
Information
Journal of Dairy Research , Volume 89 , Issue 2 , May 2022 , pp. 141 - 147
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Hannah Dairy Research Foundation

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Baltagi, BH (2005) Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. Chichester, England: John Wiley & Sons.Google Scholar
Chaturvedi, RK, Joshi, J, Jayaraman, M, Bala, G and Ravindranath, NH (2012) Multi-model climate change projections for India under representative concentration pathways. Current Science 103, 791–802.Google Scholar
Choudhary, BB (2017) Climate sensitivity of agriculture in trans and upper gangetic plains of India: Potential economic impact and vulnerability. Ph.D thesis, ICAR-National Dairy Research Institute, Karnal, Haryana.Google Scholar
Choudhary, BB and Sirohi, S (2019) How sensitive are buffaloes (Bubalus bubalis) to heat stress? Journal of Dairy Research 86, 399–405.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Choudhary, BB and Sirohi, S (2020) Modelling climate sensitivity of agriculture in trans and upper gangetic plains of India. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 142, 381–391.10.1007/s00704-020-03297-yCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Choudhary, BB and Sirohi, S (2022)Understanding vulnerability of agricultural production system to climatic stressors in north Indian plains: a meso-analysis. Environment, Development and Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01997-7.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
FICCI (2020) FICCI paper on development of dairy sector in India. Available at http://ficci.in/spdocument/23304/Development-Dairy-Sector.pdf (accessed 20 May 2021).Google Scholar
Fodor, N, Foskolos, A, Topp, CFE, Moorby, JM, Pa´sztor, L and Foyer, CH (2018) Spatially explicit estimation of heat stress-related impacts of climate change on the milk production of dairy cows in the United Kingdom. PLoS ONE 13, e0197076.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Gantner, V, Mijic, P, Kuterovac, K, Barac, Z and Potocnik, K (2015) Heat stress and milk production in first parity Holsteins: threshold determination in eastern Croatia. Poljoprivreda 21, 97–100.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Key, N, Sneeringer, S and Marquardt, D (2014) Climate change, heat stress and U.S. dairy production. A Report Summary from the Economic Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture. Available at http://www.ers.usda.gov/media/1679930/err175.pdf.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Linvill, DE and Pardue, FE (1992) Heat stress and milk production in the South Carolina coastal plains. Journal of Dairy Science 75, 2598–2604.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Mauger, G, Bauman, Y, Nebbich, T and Salathe, E (2015) Impacts of climate change on milk production in the United States. The Professional Geographer 67, 121–131.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
NAHMS-USDA (2014) Dairy 2014 – Dairy cattle management practices in the United States. Available at https://www.aphis.usda.gov/animal_health/nahms/dairy/downloads/dairy14/Dairy14_dr_PartI.pdf (accessed 20 May 2021).Google Scholar
Nakicenovic, N and Swart, R (2000) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.Google Scholar
Nasr, MAF and El-Tarabany, MS (2017) Impact of three THI levels on somatic cell count, milk yield and composition of multiparous Holstein cows in a subtropical region. Journal of Thermal Biology 64, 73–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ranjitkar, S, Dengpan, B, Wijk, MV, Ma, L, Zhao, L, Shi, J, Liu, C and Xu, J (2020) Will heat stress take its toll on milk production in China? Climatic Change 161, 637–652.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Saxena, R, Choudhary, BB and Joshi, D (2019) Enhancing farmer's income from livestock in eastern India with special emphasis on dairying: major drivers and strategies. Indian Journal of Dairy Science 72, 659–667.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sirohi, S and Michaelowa, A (2007) Sufferer and cause: Indian livestock sector and climate change. Climatic Change 85, 285–298.10.1007/s10584-007-9241-8CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sirohi, S, Sirohi, SK and Pandey, P (2009) Adapting smallholder dairy production system to climate change. In Jha, M (ed.), Natural and Anthropogenic Disasters: Vulnerability, Preparedness and Mitigation. Heidelberg, Germany: Springer Netherlands.Google Scholar
Sirohi, S, Bardhan, D and Chand, P (2016) Costs and returns in milk production: Developing standardized methodology and estimates for various production systems. A Project Report submitted to Department of Animal Husbandry, Dairying and Fisheries, New Delhi: Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India.Google Scholar
St-Pierre, NR, Cobanov, B and Schnitkey, G (2003) Economic losses from heat stress by US livestock industries. Journal of Dairy Science 86, 52–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Torshizi, ME, Aslamenejad, AA, Nassiri, MR and Farhangfar, H (2011) Comparison and evaluation of mathematical lactation curve functions of Iranian Primiparous Holsteins. South African Journal of Animal Science, 41104–41115.Google Scholar
Upadhyay, RC, Singh, SV, Kumar, A, Gupta, SK and Ashutosh, (2007) Impact of climate change on milk production of Murrah buffaloes. Italian Journal of Animal Science 6, 1329–1332.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
West, JW, Mullinix, BG and Bernard, JK (2003) Effects of hot, humid weather on milk temperature, dry matter intake, and milk yield of lactating dairy cows. Journal of Dairy Science 86, 232–242.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Wolfenson, D and Roth, Z (2018) Impact of heat stress on cow reproduction and fertility. Animal Frontiers 9, 32–38.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Supplementary material: PDF

Choudhary and Sirohi supplementary material

Choudhary and Sirohi supplementary material

Download Choudhary and Sirohi supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 129.7 KB