Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dsjbd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-28T15:28:26.704Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Is California’s Electric Vehicle Rebate Regressive? A Distributional Analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 March 2022

Arthur L. Ku*
Affiliation:
Center for Global Sustainability, University of Maryland, 3101 Van Munching Hall, College Park, MD20742, USA
John D. Graham
Affiliation:
Paul H. O’Neill School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN47405, USA
*
*Corresponding author: e-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

Economic incentives are in widespread use to stimulate the development of the electric vehicle industry. However, the distributional effects of such incentives have been subject to little empirical inquiry. This study examines how California’s electric vehicle rebate program impacts different income groups financially. Two effects are considered: the income distribution of rebate beneficiaries and the income distribution of the rebate payers. The results reveal that the overall net financial impacts of the electric vehicle rebate program are regressive: the benefit distribution is highly regressive while the cost distribution is slightly progressive. Recent efforts to improve the fairness of the rebate program do not alter our findings. Policy implications are discussed.

Type
Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Archsmith, James, Kendall, Alissa, and Rapson, David. 2015. “From Cradle to Junkyard: Assessing the Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Benefits of Electric Vehicles.” Research in Transportation Economics, 52: 7290. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2015.10.007.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bento, Antonio M. 2013. “Equity Impacts of Environmental Policy.” Annual Review of Resource Economics, 5(1): 181196. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-091912-151925.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carpenter, Susan. 2021. “California Considers Changes to EV Rebate Program, Sets Car Price Limits.” Spectrum News 1. August 27, 2021. https://spectrumnews1.com/ca/la-west/transportation/2021/08/27/california-considers-changes-to-ev-rebate-program--including-lower-refunds-and-car-price-limits.Google Scholar
Center for Sustainable Energy. 2016. “Clean Vehicle Rebate Project.” February 9, 2016. https://energycenter.org/program/clean-vehicle-rebate-project.Google Scholar
Center for Sustainable Energy. 2018. “California Air Resources Board Clean Vehicle Rebate Project, Rebate Statistics.”Google Scholar
DeShazo, J. R., Sheldon, Tamara L., and Carson, Richard T.. 2017. “Designing Policy Incentives for Cleaner Technologies: Lessons from California’s Plug-in Electric Vehicle Rebate Program.” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 84: 1843. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2017.01.002.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
EGallon. 2018. “Energy.Gov.” October 22. https://www.energy.gov/maps/egallon.Google Scholar
Freire-González, Jaume. 2018. “Environmental Taxation and the Double Dividend Hypothesis in CGE Modelling Literature: A Critical Review.” Journal of Policy Modeling, 40(1): 194223. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2017.11.002.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fullerton, Don. 2008. Distributional Effects of Environmental and Energy Policy: An Introduction. NBER Working Paper, 14241. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w14241.Google Scholar
Fullerton, Don. 2011. “Six Distributional Effects of Environmental Policy.” Risk Analysis 31(6): 923929. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01628.x.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Gianessi, Leonard P., Peskin, Henry M., and Wolff, Edward. 1979. “The Distributional Effects of Uniform Air Pollution Policy in the United States.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 93(2): 281301.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Graham-Rowe, Ella, Gardner, Benjamin, Abraham, Charles, Skippon, Stephen, Dittmar, Helga, Hutchins, Rebecca, and Stannard, Jenny. 2012. “Mainstream Consumers Driving Plug-in Battery-Electric and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Cars: A Qualitative Analysis of Responses and Evaluations.” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 46(1): 140153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2011.09.008.Google Scholar
Grainger, Corbett A., and Kolstad, Charles D.. 2010. “Who Pays a Price on Carbon?Environmental and Resource Economics, 46(3): 359376. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-010-9345-x.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hardman, Scott, Chandan, Amrit, Tal, Gil, and Turrentine, Tom. 2017. “The Effectiveness of Financial Purchase Incentives for Battery Electric Vehicles – A Review of the Evidence.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 80(C): 11001111.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hassett, Kevin A., Mathur, Aparna, and Metcalf, Gilbert E.. 2007. The Incidence of a U.S. Carbon Tax: A Lifetime and Regional Analysis. Working Paper 13554. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w13554.Google Scholar
Höckner, Jonas, Voswinkel, Simon, and Weber, Christoph. 2020. “Market Distortions in Flexibility Markets Caused by Renewable Subsidies – The Case for Side Payments.” Energy Policy, 137: 111135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111135.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hwang, Jenn Jiang. 2010. “Promotional Policy for Renewable Energy Development in Taiwan.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 14(3): 10791087. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2009.10.029.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jenn, Alan, Inês, M. L. Azevedo, and Michalek, Jeremy J.. 2016. “Alternative Fuel Vehicle Adoption Increases Fleet Gasoline Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emissions under United States Corporate Average Fuel Economy Policy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards.” Environmental Science & Technology, 50(5): 21652174. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5b02842.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Jones, Christopher, and Kammen, Daniel M.. 2014. “Spatial Distribution of U.S. Household Carbon Footprints Reveals Suburbanization Undermines Greenhouse Gas Benefits of Urban Population Density.” Environmental Science & Technology, 48(2): 895902. https://doi.org/10.1021/es4034364.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Lambert, Fred. 2017. “Electric Car Sales Crash Is Predicted by Edmunds Due to the End of the Federal Tax Credit.” Electrek (blog). April 11, 2017. https://electrek.co/2017/04/11/electric-car-sales-crash-edmunds/.Google Scholar
Langbroek, Joram H. M., Franklin, Joel P., and Susilo, Yusak O.. 2016. “The Effect of Policy Incentives on Electric Vehicle Adoption.” Energy Policy, 94(C): 94103.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ming, Zeng, Ximei, Liu, Yulong, Li, and Lilin, Peng. 2014. “Review of Renewable Energy Investment and Financing in China: Status, Mode, Issues and Countermeasures.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 31: 2337. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2013.11.026.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Muehlegger, Erich, and Rapson, David. 2018. Subsidizing Low- and Middle-Income Adoption of Electric Vehicles: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from California. Working Paper w25359. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w25359.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Muehlegger, Erich, and Rapson, David. 2019. “Understanding the Distributional Impacts of Vehicle Policy: Who Buys New and Used Electric Vehicles?” https://doi.org/10.7922/G21Z42N.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Muehlegger, Erich, and Rapson, David. 2020. Correcting Estimates of Electric Vehicle Emissions Abatement: Implications for Climate Policy. Working Paper w27197. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27197.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Neubauer, Jeremy, and Wood, Eric. 2014. “The Impact of Range Anxiety and Home, Workplace, and Public Charging Infrastructure on Simulated Battery Electric Vehicle Lifetime Utility.” Journal of Power Sources, 257 1220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpowsour.2014.01.075.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Parry, I. W. H., and Small, K. A.. 2005. “Does Britain or the United States Have the Right Gasoline Tax?The American Economic Review, 95(4): 12761289.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Prenzler, Christian. 2016. “Tesla Owner Survey Results.” Clean Technica. April 20, 2016. https://evannex.com/blogs/news/116150725-tesla-owner-survey-results.Google Scholar
Prenzler, Christian. 2017. “New Survey Compares Demographic of Tesla Model X vs. Model S Buyer.” TESLARATI (blog). January 12, 2017. https://www.teslarati.com/survey-model-x-owners-income-double-model-s/.Google Scholar
Robinson, Glen O. 1985. “Probabilistic Causation and Compensation for Tortious Risk.” The Journal of Legal Studies, 14(3): 779798.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rubin, Dana, and St-Louis, Evelyne. 2016. “Evaluating the Economic and Social Implications of Participation in Clean Vehicle Rebate Programs: Who’s In, Who’s Out?Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2598(1): 6774. https://doi.org/10.3141/2598-08.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sandler, Ronald L., and Pezzullo, Phaedra C. (Eds.) 2007. “Environmental Justice and Environmentalism: The Social Justice Challenge to the Environmental Movement.” In Urban and Industrial Environments. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Sierzchula, Will, Bakker, Sjoerd, Maat, Kees, and van Wee, Bert. 2014. “The Influence of Financial Incentives and Other Socio-Economic Factors on Electric Vehicle Adoption.” Energy Policy, 68: 183194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.01.043.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Van Haaren, Rob. 2011. Assessment of Electric Cars’ Range Requirements and Usage Patterns Based on Driving Behavior Recorded in the National Household Travel Survey of 2009. New York: Earth and Environmental Engineering Department.Google Scholar
Xing, Jianwei, Leard, Benjamin, and Li, Shanjun. 2021. “What Does an Electric Vehicle Replace?Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 107: 102432. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2021.102432.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yang, Xiaolei, He, Lingyun, Xia, Yufei, and Chen, Yufeng. 2019. “Effect of Government Subsidies on Renewable Energy Investments: The Threshold Effect.” Energy Policy, 132: 156166. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.05.039.CrossRefGoogle Scholar