1. Introduction
Increases in agricultural productivity can drive overall economic growth and development, and can also reduce poverty and hunger (Pingali, Reference Pingali2007). Productivity growth can imply environmental trade-offs as conventional farming practices can lead to problems with soil and water quality. Integrated crop management (ICM) has emerged as a response to these problems (Kumar and Shivay, Reference Kumar and Shivay2008). ICM comprises practices combined from the best traditional and modern farming methods for managing soils, water, and pests, and includes integrated pest management (IPM) methods as a subset. ICM involves judicious use of fertilizers and IPM practices to minimize pest-related losses, improve yields and crop quality, conserve soil and water resources, and preserve biodiversity (Brumfield, Rimal, and Reiners, Reference Brumfield, Rimal and Reiners2000). Since ICM involves a complex “package” of interrelated practices, farmers must be trained in their use prior to adoption. Insufficient training has been recognized as an important cause of limited ICM adoption in the developing world (Palis, Singleton, and Casimero, Reference Palis, Singleton and Casimero2010; Martínez-García, Dorward, and Rehman, Reference Martínez-García, Dorward and Rehman2016).
Substantial effort has gone into developing agricultural training programs to enhance farmers’ technical knowledge. Common approaches have been farmer field schools (FFS), field days, extension agent visits, observation visits, and mass media activities. FFS focuses on the transfer of information in a participatory way, involving weekly training sessions during a full crop season (Carrión Yaguana et al., Reference Carrión Yaguana, Alwang, Norton and Barrera2016; Feder, Murgai, and Quizon, Reference Feder, Murgai and Quizon2004). Field days are training events held on a working farm designed to provide information about specific topics and give participants an opportunity to see the practices as they are being implemented. Extension agent visits involve direct provision of information to farmers.
Literature on FFS highlights impacts on short-term knowledge improvement, decreased pesticide use, and increased productivity (Cole et al., Reference Cole, Sherwood, Crissman, Barrera and Espinosa2002; Godtland et al., Reference Godtland, Sadoulet, De Janvry, Murgai and Ortiz2004; Mauceri et al., Reference Mauceri, Alwang, Norton and Barrera2007). However, there is little evidence of long-term retention of the complex knowledge imparted by FFS training. Furthermore, the adoption of complex agricultural technologies among FFS participants remains low (Akudugu, Guo, and Dadzie, Reference Akudugu, Guo and Dadzie2012; Beaman et al., Reference Beaman, BenYishay, Fatch, Magruder and Mobarak2014; Bonabana-Wabbi, Reference Bonabana-Wabbi2002; Carrión Yaguana et al., Reference Carrión Yaguana, Alwang, Norton and Barrera2016; Ibrahim, Reference Ibrahim2013). FFS has also been found to be expensive per person reached (Mauceri et al., Reference Mauceri, Alwang, Norton and Barrera2007; Feder, Murgai, and Quizon, Reference Feder, Murgai and Quizon2004). Field days represent a compromise, costing less compared to FFS to providers and participants and enabling far wider participation. Evidence, however, shows that field day participants do not generally adopt complex technologies (Mauceri et al., Reference Mauceri, Alwang, Norton and Barrera2007).
Growing evidence shows that many supposedly profitable agricultural technologies are not widely adopted. Explanations for lack of adoption include constraints faced by farmers, such as knowledge/information (Drechsel et al., Reference Drechsel, Olaleye, Adeoti, Thiombiano, Barry and Vohland2005; Drost et al., Reference Drost, Long, Wilson, Miller and Campbell1996) and lack of inputs or credit for their purchase (Prudent et al., Reference Prudent, Loko, Deybe and Vaissayre2007; De Janvry, Reference De Janvry, Graff, Sadoulet and Zilberman2000); agroecological considerations such as heterogeneous conditions (Deguine and Penvern, Reference Deguine and Penvern2014); and others.
The behavioral economics literature is rife with examples of behavior that fails to conform to predictions of theory (DellaVigna, Reference DellaVigna2009). This literature provides hints about why the adoption of certain agricultural technologies is low. More often than not, individuals simplify complex decisions by processing only a subset of information. People fail to make rational choices because they might not think about all their choices or systematically mis-predict how they will feel in the future. Mullainathan and Shafir (Reference Mullainathan and Shafir2013) argue that scarcity captures individuals’ minds and prevents people from making trade-offs using a cost–benefit calculus; simple reminders may overcome such distractions. A final explanation is that most agricultural interventions have focused on increasing farmer knowledge as the only mechanism to induce behavioral change. Other mechanisms can contribute to behavioral change, and their neglect might limit adoptionFootnote 1.
We implement a low-costFootnote 2 intervention that tests whether behavioral factors such as simplified decision-making in the presence of complex technologies or simple reminders for time-sensitive practices influence decision-making. Objectives are to: (1) understand how the receipt of text messages complements training from a farmer field day; and (2) identify the behavioral paths by which text messages influence the adoption of ICM technologies.
This paper tests whether behavioral theory can help complement field days to promote the diffusion of relatively complex ICM technologies. As noted, field days represent a low-cost alternative to FFS, which are widely used in ICM promotion. In a world of increasingly tight budgets for outreach, this information may promote efficient use of resources. While there is some agreement that text messages can help stimulate technology adoption, closer attention to behavioral theory might increase their effectiveness. In the field of e-health, it has been shown that interventions with more behavior change techniques have larger effects compared to those that incorporate fewer techniques (Webb et al., Reference Webb, Joseph, Yardley and Michie2010). In this sense, this paper contributes to the literature by examining the factors that predict ICM adoption and how such factors can be implemented in effective behavior change interventions.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 draws from literature on behavioral change to identify pathways by which text message interventions can influence the adoption of agricultural technologies in the specific context of blackberry producers in the inter-Andean valleys of Ecuador. Section 3 describes the study site and the technologies. Sections 4 and 5 explain the intervention and shows how the influence of specific behavioral factors is tested in the context at hand. Section 6 examines the results, and Section 7 concludes.
2. Theories of behavioral change
Mechanisms to influence behavioral change can be derived from psychosocial theory. Such theories have commonalities that can be used to explain behavioral change in agriculture. Michie et al. (Reference Michie, Johnston, Abraham, Lawton, Parker and Walker2005) developed the theoretical domain framework (TDF) to categorize behaviors and their determinants. They identified 12 theoretical domainsFootnote 3 that encompass the range of current scientific explanations for human behavior. These can be condensed into three core components: capability, opportunity, and motivation. We focus on capability, which refers to the psychological or physical ability to enact the behavior. Elements of this component are: knowledge; memory, attention, and decision processes; behavioral regulation; and skills.
Capability factors that can generate behavioral change over the course of a brief, low-cost intervention are (1) knowledge and (2) memory, attention, and decision processes. Memory, attention, and decision processes refer to the ability to obtain and retain information and choose among alternatives (Lipworth, Taylor, and Braithwaite, Reference Lipworth, Taylor and Braithwaite2013). Research shows that individuals often simplify complex decisions by processing only a subset of information (DellaVigna, Reference DellaVigna2009). For simplicity, from now on, we will refer to this determinant as limited attention. Knowledge, on the other hand, is important because an individualʼs understanding of the scientific rationale and procedures associated with a behavior is likely to affect whether she decides to implement it (Lipworth et al., Reference Lipworth, Taylor and Braithwaite2013).
2.1. Reminders, knowledge, and technology adoption
Limited attention and knowledge can be manipulated within the context of a short intervention as shown in Figure 1. Psychologists agree that the most effective technique to address the knowledge determinant is to provide information regarding the behavior in question and possible outcomes from changes in such behavior. To target limited attention, prompts, triggers, and cues can be used to increase attentiveness (Michie et al., Reference Michie, Johnston, Francis, Hardeman and Eccles2008).
The adoption of a farming practice can be thought as knowledge learned and used as intended (Olsen, Reference Olsen1998). Because technologies are imperfectly known, farmers seek information about them before deciding whether to adopt (Conley and Udry, Reference Conley and Udry2010; Feder and Slade, Reference Feder and Slade1984). When learning takes place and returns are found to exceed those of existing technologies, the new information may affect behavior (Foster and Rosenzweig, Reference Foster and Rosenzweig2010). Learning occurs through experience, either oneʼs own or that of others (de Janvry, Macours, and Sadoulet, Reference De Janvry, Macours and Sadoulet2017).
Technology uptake is a conscious decision that requires attention. At one point in time, a farmer may have intended to adopt some or all ICM practices. However, at another point in time, those intentions may no longer be contemplated, buried by daily distractions. Prompts, triggers, and cues in the form of reminders can help farmers focus on their environment, and ignore competing stimuli. In other words, reminders directing attention to a particular action should make its execution more likely (Taubinsky, Reference Taubinsky2014). Timely text messages have been shown to be effective reminders of time-sensitive management practices increasing the adoption of IPM practices in Ecuador (Larochelle et al., Reference Larochelle, Alwang, Travis, Barrera and Dominguez Andrade2019). Simple cues have been shown to make people more attentive and increase savings (Ashraf, Karlan, and Yin, Reference Ashraf, Karlan and Yin2006; Karlan et al., Reference Karlan, McConnell, Mullainathan and Zinman2016). In health outcomes, text message reminders can improve compliance with chronic medication regimes (Vervloet et al., Reference Vervloet, Linn, van Weert, De Bakker, Bouvy and Van Dijk2012) and increase influenza vaccination rates (Stockwell et al., Reference Stockwell, Kharbanda, Martinez, Vargas, Vawdrey and Camargo2012).
2.2. Text messages as a tool for behavioral change
The widespread availability of cellphone plans that provide unlimited text messages has resulted in increased use of messaging throughout the world. Mobile phone penetration in developing countries now exceeds 90% and is projected to grow further (Global System for Mobile Communications Association, 2018). Mobile phone availability in rural areas has increased, opening opportunities for delivering information and reminders to farmers.
Several studies have evaluated the behavioral effects of text message-based interventions and the results are promising (Karlan et al., Reference Karlan, McConnell, Mullainathan and Zinman2016; Larochelle et al., Reference Larochelle, Alwang, Travis, Barrera and Dominguez Andrade2019; Stockwell et al., Reference Stockwell, Kharbanda, Martinez, Vargas, Vawdrey and Camargo2012; Vervloet et al., Reference Vervloet, Linn, van Weert, De Bakker, Bouvy and Van Dijk2012). The impacts of mobile phones on agriculture have been evaluated from different perspectives. To evaluate cellphones as a means of information provision, Nakasone (Reference Nakasone2014) conducted a randomized control trial (RCT) in Peru. Farmers were given detailed market price information via SMS corresponding to their main crops. Message recipients obtained higher prices for their products compared to those in the control group. The mechanism behind these effects is information availability. Cole and Fernando (Reference Cole and Fernando2012) conducted an impact evaluation of the Avaaj Otalo (AO) program among cotton farmers in Gujarat, India. This program used voice messages to push and pull content. Farmers received weekly information and were able to call in to a toll-free hotline and ask questions on topics of interest. Questions were answered by agronomists who delivered advice to farmers via recorded voice messages. Participants were found to increase adoption of the pesticide imidacloprid by 10%.
In an attempt to evaluate cellphones as a means of information and reminder providers, Fafchamps and Minten (Reference Fafchamps and Minten2012) implemented an RCT in Maharashtra, India, to assess the impact of price and weather information and crop advice distributed through the SMS. They found a positive but non-significant impact on prices received by farmers, crop losses, and changes in crop varieties. They found no evidence that treated farmers were more likely to adopt the practices recommended through the SMS. Larochelle et al. (Reference Larochelle, Alwang, Travis, Barrera and Dominguez Andrade2019) conducted an RCT among potato farmers in Carchi, Ecuador. They argue that uncertainty about the benefits of IPM and competing farming activities limit IPM adoption. Farmers who received SMS adopted IPM practices at higher rates. Treated farmers also exhibited more knowledge about IPM.
Contradictory findings from these different studies show that outcomes of an intervention depend on its design and context. Indiaʼs program experienced a rapid expansion following the introduction of the service in 2007–2009. However, during the study period (2009–2010), it showed a stagnation possibly related to a loss of interest on the part of participants. The knowledge determinant could be addressed by providing information regarding the behavior in question and possible outcomes from changes in it. Text messages might not only present information but also help shape a positive attitude towards behavior.
While most of this literature provides evidence of the efficacy of cellphones and text messages on agriculture, often the details of the theory are missing. Hence, there is still need for more research on interventions that comprehensively and accurately map intervention content with theoretical determinants. Such a mapping would allow us to understand which procedures are effective in which contexts and how programs have their effect.
3. Study site and ICM program
The increase in demand for blackberry (Rubus glaucus) in the United States and Europe has led to an expansion of area dedicated to the crop in several countries (Badenes and Byrne, Reference Badenes and Byrne2012). In Ecuador, blackberry farming occupies around 5,000 hectares and is grown by nearly 15,000 small- and medium-sized farmers in the Sierra region (Galarza et al., Reference Galarza, Garcés, Velásquez, Sánchez and Zambrano2016). Blackberry has been traditionally cultivated in Bolivar, Cotopaxi, and Tungurahua Provinces, and is now becoming a promising export crop (Alwang et al. Reference Alwang, Barrera, Andrango, Dominguez, Martinez, Escudero and Montufar2019). However, blackberry yields are low,Footnote 4 mainly due to a high incidence of insects and diseases,Footnote 5 moisture stress, and poor crop management (Delgado Orellana, Reference Delgado Orellana2012). Yields average 3 kg per plant per year, far below the 5 kg per plant per year potential yield (Espín Chico, Reference Espín Chico2013). Among the most damaging insect pests are mites, aphids, and spider mites. Common diseases are botrytis fruit rot (Botrytis cinerea), powdery mildew (Oidium sp.), downy mildew (Peronospora sparsa), wilt (Verticilium sp.), and blackberry rosette (Cercosporella rubi) (Yumbo and Elvia, Reference Yumbo and Elvia2014).
Since many farmers do not use pesticides or implement other modern management methods for blackberry, scientists of the National Autonomous Institute of Agricultural Research (INIAP) and the USAID-sponsored IPM Innovation Lab developed and tested several non-IPM and IPM practices for the control of common insect pests and diseases in blackberry.
Non-IPM practices do not have a particular focus on pest management. They aim to keep plants healthy and maximize yields and fruit quality. Examples of non-IPM practices are pruning, using a simple string trellis, and harvesting at the proper stage of maturity. IPM includes cultural4 and chemical practices, where chemicals used in IPM are less toxic than conventional ones.
Examples of IPM practices recommended by the research are use of bordeaux mixture (a fungicide and insecticide mixture of slaked lime [calcium hydroxide] and copper sulfate), fertilizers and low-toxicity pesticides, disposal of pruned plant material from the field, and disinfection of tools between uses. These practices were developed, validated, and calibrated for local conditions during 3 years of applied research. They were combined into a package and made available to farmers in March 2013. Biopesticides were not integrated in the package because in Ecuador there are few available for blackberry. Biopesticides face a high competition from synthetic pesticides since they are produced on a small scale at a relatively high cost.
Information from test plots shows that, given prevailing prices, the average net returns for a conventional blackberry production system is about $2,550 per ha in the first year, $8,492 in the second year, and $11,242 in the third year, while expected returns under the ICM regime are $3,760, $11,734, and $15,734, respectively. Blackberry plants continue fully productive more than 15 years under good management (Martinez, Reference Martinez2016).
In order to evaluate the effectiveness of text messages as information and task reminders, an RCT was conducted in Tungurahua and Bolivar provinces. RCTs, when feasible, are the preferred method for identifying the causal effects of interventions. Since random assignment equalizes treatment and control groups on all observable and unobservable variables, RCTs give confidence that differences in outcomes between treatment and control are actually caused by the treatment (Armijo-Olivo, Warren, and Magee, Reference Armijo-Olivo, Warren and Magee2009; Duflo, Glennerster, and Kremer, Reference Duflo, Glennerster and Kremer2007). We distinguish between the effects of intervention on adoption of non-IPM and IPM practices. This distinction is important because the nature of innovation can impact its adoption (Kimberly and Evanisko, Reference Kimberly and Evanisko1981).
The intervention consisted of training farmers in blackberry ICM during field day events followed up with text messages sent through the blackberry growing cycle. Three farmer field days were held in February 2014, two in Tungurahua and one in Bolivar. Blackberry farmers were invited to attend through a radio advertising campaign and contacts with extension agents from the Ministry of Agriculture. While attendance at the field day is not random, participation in the subsequent text message intervention was randomly assigned. The field days consisted of three stations where technicians demonstrated specific blackberry management practices: (1) preparation of bordeaux mixture, (2) proper pruning techniques, and (3) building a simple string trellis with just one twine. Farmers were organized into small groups to tour the demonstrations, and each participant received a companion brochure with detailed information on a complete set of blackberry ICM practices. All extension workers who collaborated on the project participated in the field days. They have higher education degrees in agriculture with practical work experience of more than 10 years.
The objective of demonstrating preparation and application of the bordeaux mixture was to teach methods for preparing chemical compounds. This knowledge would be useful when farmers need to prepare compounds, part of the ICM regime. Instructions were designed to be easy to follow even for those with little prior experience. The pruning station provided training on pruning techniques. Blackberry plants need to be pruned at various stages of growth. Three of the five recommended non-IPM practices refer to pruning. Trellising plants is necessary because trailing varieties are commonly planted in Ecuador. Scientists recommend using a string trellis with just one twine.
Aggregate attendance at the field days was 422 farmers from 77 villages. As part of a short baseline survey during the field day, participants were asked about mobile phone ownership, capability to receive text messages, socioeconomic characteristics (gender, age, and position in the family), and stage of their blackberry. The latter allowed us to distinguish between farmers with fully grown blackberry crops from those who just planted or had an intention to plant.
To be eligible for the intervention (receipt of text messages), a field day participant had to be literate, own a mobile phone capable of receiving text messages, and be growing blackberry. Two hundred ninety-two farmers from 68 villages were eligible to participate in the free text message program. The treatment was randomized at the village level to avoid potential problems of within-village spillovers (Duflo et al., Reference Duflo, Glennerster and Kremer2007). Thirty-two villages were assigned to the treatment group. The treated and control groups consisted of 154 and 138 farmers, respectively.
The blackberry fruit growing season in Bolivar and Tungurahua begins in March when the moisture is sufficient to guarantee a good harvest, which begins in May or June. Following the February field days, eligible farmers from treated villages received 33 text messages informing them about ICM practices. Messages provided ICM information and reminded recipients of tasks to optimize blackberry profits. An example of a text message is: “remember to dispose of pruned plant material to prevent spread of diseases.” The first part of the message provides the reminder: “remember to dispose of pruned plant material”, and the second part provides information: “to prevent spread of diseases.” These messages were sequenced according to the blackberry production calendar and also referred to the page of the brochure where more detailed information could be found about the task mentioned in the message.
Three messages were sent per week for 11 weeks. Messages were concise and easy to understand. No one who was offered the text message service declined to participate.
A follow-up survey was administered to participants at their farms following the intervention (June and July 2014). It contained four modules and included socioeconomic information, blackberry production data such as cultivated area and yields, and questions about ICM adoption. It also included an ICM knowledge test. Due to incomplete or incorrect addresses, enumerators were able to locate 229 farmers in 62 villages, of which 125 were intended to be treated.
4. Methods
The ICM information in the SMS focused on agricultural practices tailored to blackberry farming in the intervention areas. Over the course of the intervention, farmers received advice on 5 non-IPM practices and 15 IPM practices (Table 1) that required the use of 20 different chemical and organic fertilizers and low-toxicity pesticides (Table 2).
Ideally, the impact analysis should focus on differences in profits, because they correspond best to the overall economic impact of the interventions. However, we did not gather cost estimation information because the collection of such information would have required a far more involved survey. The analysis instead focuses on the impact on adoption of practices.
The adoption of technologies can be described as discrete (a farmer either is, or is not, an adopter) or continuous. We consider only the latter measures of adoption because partial adoption of ICM packages is the norm (Arslan et al., Reference Arslan, McCarthy, Lipper, Asfaw and Cattaneo2014). The adoption of non-IPM practices refers to the number of practices adopted out of five non-IPM recommended practices. To measure the adoption of IPM practices, we aggregate the adoption of cultural IPM practices (0–4) and the raw count of recommended low-toxicity pesticides (0–3) and fertilizers used (0–4).
Because the treatment is randomized, the impact of intervention can be estimated by a simple comparison of mean adoption rates for treatment and control groups. This comparison is only possible when balance between intervention and control groups is achieved. Balance means there are no significant differences in means of variables by treatment group and indicates that the randomization process worked (Duflo et al., Reference Duflo, Glennerster and Kremer2007). In addition to the comparison of means, impact is also estimated in a regression framework. The use of regression reduces idiosyncratic variation and increases precision (Glennerster and Takavarasha, Reference Glennerster and Takavarasha2013). For a continuous measure of adoption of non-IPM practices, a Poisson MLE analysis is the natural first step. Poisson uses the exponential mean function ensuring that the predicted values of the outcome variable are never negative (Wooldridge, Reference Wooldridge2006). Formally, we estimate:
where ${y_{n - IPM}}_i$ and ${y_{IPM}}_i$ are variables reflecting the adoption of non-IPM and IPM practices by the ith household, respectively. The key independent variable ${T_i}$ is a dummy indicating ITT. Since a significant percentage of treated farmers did not receive text messages due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification errors (discussed in the next section), we include a dummy variable ${T_1}_i$ to account for the fact that farmers in this group are less likely to adopt ICM. $X$ is a vector of observed socioeconomic characteristics including age, education, and gender of the farmer, household size, wealth, blackberry farming experience, and area per capita planted with blackberry; ${e_i}$ and ${v_i}$ are random error terms clustered by village, and assumed to be independent across clusters but correlated within clusters. The wealth index was created using principal component analysis (PCA) based on the ownership of selected household assets (TV set, refrigerator, microwave, washer, computer, landline, cellphone, home drinking water, toilet inside the house, motorcycle, car, and cattle). A cluster is defined as a group of interdependent farmers who operate in a geographically concentrated area.
Age, education, experience, and gender are characteristics often included as determinants of adoption of agricultural and IPM technologies. When tested empirically in the IPM literature, the impact of age on adoption has mixed results. On the one hand, older farmers over time have gained farming knowledge and experience and are better able to evaluate technology information compared to younger farmers (Mugisha et al., Reference Mugisha, Ogwal-O, Ekere and Ekiyar2005). On the other hand, theories that model adoption decision using risk contend that age is negatively correlated with adoption as risk tolerance decreases as a farmer grows older (Fernandez-Cornejo, Reference Fernandez-Cornejo1998; Mauceri et al., Reference Mauceri, Alwang, Norton and Barrera2007). To allow for a non-linear relationship between adoption and age, we include age and age-squared. Education is expected to be positively related to adoption because more educated farmers understand and respond better to new technologies (Fernandez-Cornejo, Reference Fernandez-Cornejo1998). The effect of blackberry farming experience is anticipated to be positive because more experienced farmers are more likely to be better able to access new technology (Blake et al., Reference Blake, Sandler, Coli, Pober and Coggins2007; Khanna, Epouhe, and Hornbaker, Reference Khanna, Epouhe and Hornbaker1999). In most contexts, age and farming experience are highly correlated. However, in our study, this is not the case since blackberry is a relatively new crop in the area.
Gender refers to the sex of the participant. This person was identified at the field day as one who plays the leading role in blackberry production. There are a high percentage of women blackberry farmers in Ecuador. It was observed during the fieldwork that female farmers showed special interest in blackberry ICM. For this reason, we expect the gender variable (1 = female and 0 = male) to positively affect adoption.
Area per capita planted with blackberry, household size, and wealth are expected to have positive effects on adoption. Farmers operating relative large farms can devote part of their land to try new technologies (Cuyno, Norton, and Rola, Reference Cuyno, Norton and Rola2001; Feder, Just, and Zilberman, Reference Feder, Just and Zilberman1985). We expect a positive effect of household size because large families have more labor available to perform on-farm activities (Bonabana-Wabbi, Reference Bonabana-Wabbi2002), enabling farmers to adopt practices requiring extra labor such as the application of organic homemade fertilizer and elimination of weeds. The wealth index is anticipated to have a positive effect, especially if the innovation requires cash input purchases such as recommended low-toxicity pesticides and fertilizers (Chaves and Riley, Reference Chaves and Riley2001; Teklewold, Kassie, and Shiferaw, Reference Teklewold, Kassie and Shiferaw2013).
Additionally, we evaluate the impact of the intervention on knowledge. To measure knowledge, each farmer was given a maximum score of 5 points based on correct responses to a five-question knowledge test. The questions referred to information presented at the field day and reinforced through the text messages. A Poisson regression is used for estimation:
where the knowledge score variable ${y_K}_i$ is a function of the treatment (${T_i}$ and ${T_1}_i$), and a vector of control variables $W$ that includes age, education and experience. These factors have been widely recognized as relevant for knowledge acquisition (Feder and Slade Reference Feder and Slade1984; Luh, Jiang, and Chien, Reference Luh, Jiang and Chien2014; Wozniak, Reference Wozniak1993). The term ${e_i}$ is a random error, assumed to be independent across clusters but correlated within clusters.
5. Results
We start our analysis using the intention-to-treat (ITT) principle. In ITT analysis, units randomly assigned to receive treatment are compared to those assigned to the control regardless of whether they completed the intervention (Armijo-Olivo et al., Reference Armijo-Olivo, Warren and Magee2009). ITT analysis is widely used to analyze experiments because it involves the purest experimental comparison. However, when units assigned to the treatment group do not receive the treatment, ITT results in a negatively biased treatment effect estimate (Dunning and Hyde, Reference Dunning and Hyde2008).
In this study, 29 ITT farmers reported not receiving the text messages, raising the question of whether these should be regarded as non-compliers. In the standard language of RCTs, non-compliers refers to participants who did not consistently exhibit the behavior required by the treatment under examination (Peugh et al., Reference Peugh, Strotman, McGrady, Rausch and Kashikar-Zuck2017). Within this group, we were able to distinguish two types of farmers who did not receive the text messages: (1) non-compliers—non-recipients due to individual behavior; and (2) treatment non-recipients—non-recipients due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification errors. The first group includes eight farmers whose phones were lost or damaged or who changed phone numbers. These farmers represent non-compliance that most likely occurs in every intervention of this kind and is difficult to overcome. The second group includes 21 farmers whose phone numbers were mistyped, those who gave a phone number belonging to a relative or friend, and those who did not know how to open text messages. This is not non-compliance in the traditional sense and is a barrier to treatment that might be easily overcome. One possibility would be to send a text message at the moment of enrollment to verify that information was recorded correctly and that the farmer knows how to operate the mobile phone.
To evaluate the impact of the intervention, we also estimate an adjusted version of ITT where the 21 non-recipients due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification errors are excluded from the calculation. The adjusted ITT analysis removes the unintended effect of a controllable non-compliance. As stated by Dunn et al. (Reference Dunn, Maracy, Dowrick, Ayuso-Mateos, Dalgard, Page and Lehtinen2003), “If we are really interested in assessing the size of the benefit of receipt of treatment, as opposed to merely the offer of it, then our statistical analysis needs to proceed beyond ITT.”
It may be argued that this estimation might deliver biased estimates because recipients and non-recipients (including non-compliers) may no longer be balanced on observed and unobserved characteristics. To rule out this possibility, we conduct a check of summary statistics of different groups (non-recipients due to individual behavior, non-recipients associated with technical problems due to data systematization and verification errors, and control group). Non-compliance is likely to be random because there are no statistically significant differences between the groups. Hence, our results are not biased by exclusion of these observations.
5.1. Mean comparison analysis
5.1.1. Household and farm characteristics
The socioeconomic characteristics of farmers in the treatment and control groups are presented in Table 3. For columns (1), (2), (3), (5), and (6), the mean and standard deviations of each variable are reported. In columns (4) and (7), we present the mean differences between control and treatment groups.
a Adjusted ITT excludes 21 non-recipients due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification.
Notes: In columns (4) and (7), the differences were calculated using the following regression: ${Y_i} = \alpha {\rm{\;treatment}} + {\mu _i}$. Clustered by village, standard errors are reported in parentheses. Significance levels: *10%, **5%, and ***1%.
Source: Regression results from study.
Statistics obtained using ITT analysis are presented in columns 2–4. Since treatment assignment was random, we expect to find statistical balance across the control and treatment groups. This balance was largely achieved. The only significant difference between the groups is that the control included 16 percentage point fewer women, a difference that is significant at the 10% level. This pretreatment difference is relatively minor and is not likely to be indicative of a systematic bias. The last three columns show the statistics for the adjusted ITT analysis. The difference between the percentages of women in the adjusted ITT and control group is still positive and large. The average farmer is about 44 years old and has an eighth grade education. She has 10 years of blackberry farming experience, and her blackberry plot measures 0.67 hectare.
5.1.2. ICM adoption and knowledge
ICM adoption and knowledge scores of farmers in the treatment and control groups are presented in Table 4. ITT was calculated using the following regression: $Y_i = \;{\rm{treatment}} + \mu _i$. Estimates are not significant at conventional levels. Under the adjusted ITT analysis, we find that farmers who received text messages have a higher adoption of IPM practices by 0.58 practice, a difference that is significant at the 10% level. IPM includes cultural practices, adoption of fertilizers, and adoption of pesticides. The raw count of recommended low-toxicity pesticides used by farmers in the treatment group is, on average, 0.76 compared to 0.47 in the control group. This result provides evidence that the intervention has been effective in increasing the use of recommended low-toxicity pesticide products, less harmful alternatives to toxic chemicals currently used. The effect of the intervention on non-IPM practices is not significant.
a Adjusted ITT excludes 21 non-recipients due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification.
Notes: For columns (1), (2), (4), and (5), the means and standard deviations of each variable in the treatment and control groups are reported. In columns (3) and (6), the differences were calculated using the following regression: ${Y_i} = \alpha {\rm{\;treatment}} + {\mu _i}$. Clustered standard errors are reported in parentheses. Significance levels: *10%, **5%, and ***1%.
As discussed in our theory of behavioral change, this intervention targeted two determinants of behavior: knowledge and limited attention. It aimed to increase the adoption of ICM practices among blackberry farmers by the provision of information, alongside reminders. Thus, the increased adoption rate of cultural ICM practices (Table 4) is expected to be caused by knowledge building and reminder effects. To further validate these results, we created a knowledge score, which measures the number of correctly answered knowledge questions. If text messages have a positive impact on the knowledge score, this implies a knowledge-building effect. If text messages have no impact on the knowledge score, we can infer that messages worked only by reminding farmers to engage in ICM practices.
Mean comparisons show no difference in the adoption of non-IPM practices and knowledge by receipt of treatment. To further understand these results, it is important to evaluate the adoption of individual cultural practices (Table 5) and mean differences in knowledge, question by question (Table 6). Statistically significant differences in adoption were found in one of five non-IPM practices and two of four IPM cultural practices: (1) remove unproductive branches, (2) dispose of pruned plant material, and (3) disinfect tools between uses. The intervention increases adoption of these practices by 13, 20, and 13 percentage points, respectively. These differences can be attributed to the receipt of text messages.
a Adjusted ITT excludes 21 non-recipients due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification.
Notes: For columns (1), (2), and (3), the means and standard deviations (in parenthesis) of each cultural practice in the treatment and control groups are reported. In columns (4) and (5), the differences were calculated using the following regression: ${y_{ICM\_practice}}_i = \alpha {\rm{\;treatment}} + {\mu _i}$. Clustered standard errors are reported in parentheses. Significance levels: *10%, **5%, and ***1%.
a Adjusted ITT excludes 21 non-recipients due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification.
Notes: For columns (1), (2), and (3), the means and standard deviations (in parenthesis) of each knowledge question in the treatment and control groups are reported. In columns (4) and (5), the differences were calculated using the following regression: ${y_{ICM\_practice}}_i = \alpha {\rm{\;treatment}} + {\mu _i}$. Clustered standard errors are reported in parentheses. Significance levels: *10%, **5%, and ***1%.
For knowledge questions, we only find a significant difference for the question about disposal of pruned material, which is related to the IPM cultural practice mentioned above. This practice has the highest adoption rate. This result indicates that, at least for this practice, text messages had a knowledge-building effect. It is worth noting, however, that there is not a one-to-one correspondence between knowledge questions and non-IPM and cultural IPM practices. Hence, we cannot verify whether the intervention had a knowledge-building effect for each of the nine non-IPM and cultural IPM practices.
The adoption of agricultural innovations is a dynamic process and depends on a range of factors. Time, resources, risk aversion, topography, climate, variation in soils, technology complexity, etc., are, at least in part, responsible for a limited adoption of ICM technologies. These factors affect on-farm costs and benefits of adoption. In this study, some practices are widely adopted. Virtually all farmers, whether in treatment or control groups, prune during the production season and eliminate weeds. This can be indicative of the success of this practice in maintaining yields. Some non-IPM practices may be perceived by farmers as relatively complex, and the benefits may not be clearly observable. For example, the benefits of building a simple string trellis do not emerge immediately, and only become apparent during harvest. This practice allows plants to grow more branches, resulting in higher yields. According to Franco et al. (Reference Franco, Estrada, Gallego Duque, Rodríguez Osorio, Monroy and Londoño1996), crop yields can be doubled by using this technique. Even though the benefits of implementing this practice outweigh the costs by a large margin (Franco et al., Reference Franco, Estrada, Gallego Duque, Rodríguez Osorio, Monroy and Londoño1996), if those gains are not realized by the farmer who bears the costs, the voluntary adoption of such practice may not occur or may take a long time.
A common feature of the three practices mentioned above is simplicity. It may be the case that farmers adopt simpler elements of the technology first on a trial basis and will add others later as the users either change their perceptions of risks and benefits or as they acquire resources needed for the adoption (i.e. labor, information, land, and credit) of additional components of the package.
Overall, statistically, a significant difference in the adoption of only one of four cultural IPM practices can be attributed to the knowledge-building effect of text messages. Given the small and non-significant effect of treatment on knowledge, the impact of the intervention should be attributed mostly to the reminder effect of text messages.
5.2. Multivariate regression analyses
5.2.1. Adoption of non-IPM practices
The comparison of means is complemented with multivariate regression analyses. In order to provide a more intuitive understanding of the factors affecting adoption of ICM, the incident rate ratios (irr) of the Poisson regression are presented in Table 7. These are obtained by exponentiating the Poisson regression coefficient and represent the effects on the count of outcomes of a one-unit change in x i with all of the variables in the model held constant.
Notes: Significance levels: *10%, **5%, and ***1%. Clustered standard errors in parentheses.
The dependent variable is the count of adopted non-IPM practices (0–5). Equation (1) includes the covariates treatment, age, age-squared, gender, a formal secondary education dummy variable, blackberry farming experience, household size, wealth, and area per capita planted with blackberry. Equation (2) adds a dummy variable representing treated farmers who did not receive text messages due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification. This variable is included to account for the fact that farmers in this group are less likely to adopt ICM. Equation (3) adds the interaction of education and treatment to explore whether text message differently affects farmers with different levels of education.
In equations (1) and (2), none of the variables is significant. In equation (3), where the interaction term is included, the coefficients for treatment becomes significant. The intervention increases the expected number of non-IPM practices adopted by a factor of 1.12, or equivalently, it increases the expected number of practices adopted by 12%.5
The equation chi-squares indicate that all three equations explain significant variance in the adoption of non-IPM practices. In equation (2) we argue that treated farmers who did not receive text messages due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification are less likely to adopt IPM. The results do not support this hypothesis as the coefficient of non-compliance is not significant. In equation (3), we hypothesized that treatment differently affects farmers with and without secondary education. The coefficient of interaction of treatment with education is not significant, giving no support to such hypothesis. For further confirmation, we conducted a likelihood ratio test,Footnote 6 comparing the likelihood functions of equations (1) and (3). This test statistic shows that non-compliance and interaction term do not increase the explanatory power relative to equation (1). These results suggest that equation (1) fits the data better. In accordance with mean comparison results, we conclude that treatment does not lead to significant differences in the adoption of non-IPM practices.
5.2.2. Adoption of IPM practices
We report the irr of Poisson regression in Table 8. The dependent variable, adoption of IPM practices, is the aggregation of the number of cultural IPM practices adopted added to the raw count of recommended low-toxicity pesticides and fertilizers used by each farmer. Equation (1) includes the same covariates used in the regression for non-IPM practices. Equation (2) adds a dummy variable representing treated farmers who did not receive text messages due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification. Equation (3) adds the interaction of education with the treatment.
Source: Regression results from the study. Significance levels: *10%, **5%, and ***1%. Clustered standard errors in parentheses.
In all three equations, education and wealth are significant. In equations (1) and (2) we observe that farmers with complete secondary education adopt 18% and 16% more IPM practices than farmers with elementary or incomplete secondary education, respectively. Wealthier farmers are more likely to adopt IPM practices. This reflects the fact that richest blackberry farmers have more access to resources and may be more able to take the risk. Being a part of the treatment is a significant positive predictor of adoption of IPM practices only when the effect of controllable non-compliance is included (equation 2), meaning that if non-compliance were ignored, we would underestimate the effect of receipt of text messages on IPM adoption. The estimated coefficient for the variable that represents people who were treated but failed to receive text messages due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification is approximately −24%, meaning that failure to receive the message is associated with lower adoption.
In equation (3), the coefficients for treatment and education are not the main effects but are conditional effects. The effect of education on adoption is calculated by computing the derivative of the adoption equation with respect to education. The effect of treatment on adoption represents a change in the intercept. Among farmers with secondary education, the intervention has no impact on adoption. To better understand the effect of intervention on groups with different education levels, we present marginal effects of the treatment and education variables in Table 9. We perform Wald tests for equality of the marginal values presented in this table. The Wald test on untreated farmers (treatment = 0) reveals that we can reject the hypothesis that these estimates are equal. More educated farmers in the control group adopt more IPM practices. However, the results concerning treated farmers indicate that intervention has a positive effect only among farmers without secondary education. On average, less-educated treated farmers adopted 0.77 more IPM practices compared to less-educated farmers in the control group. Among farmers with complete secondary education, the adoption of IPM practices stays the same (with an average marginal effect of 4.07 and 4.03 IPM practices) regardless of intervention. In other words, text messages have no effect on the adoption of IPM practices for well-educated farmers.
Source: Regression results from the study. Significance levels: *10%, **5%, and ***1%. Clustered standard errors in parentheses.
We again conducted likelihood ratio testsFootnote 7 comparing the likelihood functions of equations (1) and (3) in Table 7. Test statistics show that the addition of interaction term and non-compliance variable increases the explanatory power. For the adoption of IPM practices, equation (3) fits the data better.
In summary, treatment leads to increased adoption of IPM practices. Non-compliance is a major threat to obtaining power to detect the intervention effect and, in the case at hand, should not be ignored.
5.2.3. The effect of intervention on knowledge
The values of irr of Poisson regression are presented in Table 10. The overall knowledge score is based on a total of five knowledge questions and reflects the number of correctly answered knowledge questions, measured on a 0–5 scale. Equation (1) includes the co-variates such as treatment, age, a formal education dummy variable, and experience. Equation (2) adds a dummy variable representing treated farmers who did not receive text messages due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification. Equation (3) adds education/treatment interaction.
Significance levels: *10%, **5%, and ***1%. Clustered standard errors in parentheses.
The receipt of text messages does not have an impact on the knowledge score. In all three equations, the education coefficient is statistically significant with a large impact on knowledge. Having completed secondary education increases the expected knowledge score by a factor of 1.21 and 1.20 in equations (1) and (2); or equivalently, it increases the expected knowledge score by 21% and 20%.Footnote 8 Having not received text messages due to technical problems related to data systematization and verification (when assigned to the treatment group) is not associated with knowledge. The likelihood ratio testFootnote 9 leads to the conclusion that equation (1) fits the data significantly better than equation (3).
In line with the results discussed in Section 5.1.2, we observe that the intervention has a small but no significant effect on knowledge. These results suggest that messages, as sent in this study, do not have a knowledge-building effect.
6. Conclusions
Blackberry farmers in Ecuador face challenges, and some can be addressed by providing additional information. Farmerʼs knowledge and its application in a timely manner are critical determinants of farm productivity. Despite evidence that ICM is profitable for blackberry producers, the adoption is not widespread. Farmers may be inattentive to management sequencing and to the daily tasks necessary for improving their productive processes. They may forget what they have learned during training or may not have been adequately trained.
The results of this paper lend support to the idea that insights from psychology and behavioral economics have the potential to enhance the impact of agricultural training. Addressing specific psychological determinants of behavioral change increases the probability of adoption of some practices. Text messages sent to farmers affected their knowledge and their ability to remember the timing of certain activities. As providers of information, text messages have a small knowledge-building effect leading to the adoption of one IPM cultural practice—disposal of pruned plant material. As reminders, text messages effectively increase the adoption of practices, especially those that have an immediate observable effect such as pesticides. The intervention was effective in increasing the adoption among less-educated individuals, evidence that text messages increased farmers’ knowledge. It had no effect on the adoption of non-IPM practices. This may be because such practices do not yield an immediate result and are also labor-demanding.
The results show that text messages as task reminders have a larger effect on the adoption of ICM compared to text messages as providers of information. Given their low cost, messages are still cost-effective, even though their impact may be small. The nature of our experiment limits the extrapolation of its results to the whole population of blackberry farmers in the provinces of Tungurahua and Bolívar and to other areas. However, we believe that this approach is replicable and can be successfully implemented in different settings and crops. The intervention was implemented and evaluated during one blackberry growing season. Hence, it was not possible to ascertain the long-run effects of text messages. We suggest that, due to the marginal costs that approach zero, messaging be implemented and tested over longer periods and that field days and other training events be accompanied by a text message program. INIAP scientists are embracing some of these recommendations and taking advantage of ICT to reinforce other types of training.
Many intended recipients of messages (assigned to the treatment group) did not, for one reason or another, receive the messages. Non-compliance is a major threat to obtaining power to detect the intervention effect. In our case, it was caused, in part, by technical glitches. To reduce the rates of failure of receipt of messages, we suggest future researches undertake upfront verification to ensure reliability. One possibility would be to send a text message at the moment of enrollment, when the farmer is present, to verify that information was received and understood.
Acknowledgments
The authors thank Catherine Larochelle and George W. Norton for providing insightful comments. All errors are our own.
Financial disclosure
This material is based upon work supported by the US Agency for International Development under the Cooperative Agreement No. EPP-A-00-0400016.
Conflicts of interest
None.