Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-8ctnn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-24T03:29:25.117Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

A Note on the Factors Affecting Corn Basis Relationships

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 February 2017

Gopal Naik
Affiliation:
Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, India
Raymond M. Leuthold
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Abstract

Empirical tests were made of components of the corn basis in the U.S. utilizing a general theory of intertemporal price relationships for storable commodities. These tests showed that the basis consists of a risk premium, a speculative component, and a maturity basis apart from other factors such as storage costs for storable commodities. The results provide insights into factors affecting basis patterns for corn.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 1991

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Belsley, D.A., Kuh, E., and Welsch, R.E.. Regression Diagnostics, Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1980.Google Scholar
Blau, G.Some Aspects of the Theory of Futures Trading.” Rev. Econ. Stud., 22(1944-1945): 130.Google Scholar
Bodie, Z. and Rosansky, V.L.. “Risk and Return in Commodity Futures.” Financial Analysts J., 36(1980):314.Google Scholar
Breeden, D.T.Consumption Risk in Futures Markets.” J. Finance, 35(1980):503520.Google Scholar
Carter, A.C., Rausser, G.C. and Schmitz, A.. “Efficient Asset Portfolios and the Theory of Normal Backwardation.J. Pol. Econ., 91(1983):319331.Google Scholar
Cootner, P.H.Rejoinder.J. Pol. Econ., 68(1960b):415418.Google Scholar
Cootner, P.H.Returns to Speculators: Telser Versus Keynes.J. Pol. Econ., 68(1960a):396404.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dusak, K.Futures Trading and Investor Return: An Investigation of Commodity Market Risk Premiums.J. Pol. Econ., 81(1973):13871406.Google Scholar
Feder, G., Just, R.E., and Schmitz, A.. “Futures Markets and the Theory of the Firm under Price Uncertainty.Quarterly J. Econ., 95(1980):317328.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Freund, R.J.The Introduction of Risk into a Programming Model.Econometrica, 24(1956):253264.Google Scholar
Grauer, F.L.Equilibrium in Commodity Futures Markets: Theory and Tests.” Ph.D. dissertation, Stanford University, 1977.Google Scholar
Gray, R.WThe Characteristic Bias in Some Thin Futures Markets.” FoodRes. Inst. Stud., 1(1960):296313.Google Scholar
Gray, R.W.Search for a Risk Premium.J. Pol. Econ., 69(1961):250260.Google Scholar
Hicks, J.R. Value and Capital. London: Oxford University Press, 1953.Google Scholar
Holthausen, D.M.Hedging and the Competitive Firm under Price Uncertainty.Am. Econ. Rev., 69(1979):989995.Google Scholar
Houthakker, H.S.Can Speculators Forecast Prices?Rev. Econ. and Stat., 39(1957): 143151.Google Scholar
Johnson, L.L.The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures.Rev. Econ. Stud., 27(1960):139151.Google Scholar
Kahl, K.H.An Analysis of Intertemporal Basis Movements, 1960-1975.” International Futures Trading Seminar, vol. 5. Chicago Board of Trade, 1978, pp. 123.Google Scholar
Kahl, K.H.Changes in Chicago Corn Basis.Agr. Econ. Res., 34(1982):2529.Google Scholar
Keynes, J.M.Some Aspects of Commodity Markets.” Manchester Guardian Commercial: European Reconstruction Series, Section 13, 1923.Google Scholar
Keynes, J.M. A Treatise on Money. Vol 2. London: MacMillan, 1930.Google Scholar
Lee, C.F. and Leuthold, R.M.. “Investment Horizon, Risk, and Return in Commodity Futures Markets: An Empirical Analysis with Daily Data.Quarterly Rev. Econ. and Bus., 23(1983):618.Google Scholar
Naik, G. and Leuthold, R.M.. “Cash and Futures Price Relationships for Storable Commodities: A Theoretical Development.” University of Illinois, Department of Agricultural Economics Staff Paper No. 88 E-402, February, 1988.Google Scholar
Rockwell, C.S.Normal Backwardation, Forecasting, and the Returns to Commodity Futures Traders.” Food Res. Inst. SIMJ., 7(1967):107130.Google Scholar
Telser, L.G.Futures Trading and Storage of Cotton and Wheat.J. Pol. Econ., 66(1958):233255.Google Scholar
Telser, L.G.Reply.J. Pol. Econ., 68(1960):404415.Google Scholar
Working, H.Futures Trading and Hedging.” Am. Econ. Rev., 43(1953):314343.Google Scholar
Working, H.The Theory of Price of Storage.Am. Econ. Rev., 39(1949): 12541262.Google Scholar