Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-vdxz6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-23T20:27:43.913Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Scope of IMF Conditionality

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 October 2008

Randall W. Stone
Affiliation:
University of Rochester, N.Y. E-mail: [email protected].
Get access

Abstract

International organizations are governed by two parallel sets of rules: formal rules, which embody consensual procedures, and informal rules, which allow exceptional access for powerful countries. A new data set drawn from the IMF's records of conditionality provides an opportunity to study the bargaining process within an important international organization and answer questions about the institution's autonomy. I find evidence of U.S. influence, which operates to constrain conditionality, but only in important countries that are vulnerable enough to be willing to draw on their influence with the United States. In ordinary countries under ordinary circumstances, broad authority is delegated to the IMF, which adjusts conditionality to accommodate local circumstances and domestic political opposition. The IMF has refrained from exploiting the vulnerability of particular countries to maximize the scope of conditionality.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The IO Foundation 2008

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Abbott, Kenneth W., and Snidal, Duncan. 2000. Hard and Soft Law in International Governance. International Organization 54 (3):421–56.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Alesina, Alberto, and Dollar, David. 2000. Who Gives Aid to Whom and Why? Journal of Economic Growth 5 (1):3363.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Alesina, Alberto, and Weder, Beatrice. 2002. Do Corrupt Governments Receive Less Foreign Aid? American Economic Review 92 (4):1126–37.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barnett, Michael, and Finnemore, Martha. 2004. Rules for the World: International Organizations in Global Politics. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Barro, Robert J., and Lee, Jong-Wha. 2005. IMF Programs: Who Is Chosen and What Are the Effects? Journal of Monetary Economics 52 (7):1245–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barton, John H., Goldstein, Judith L., Jostling, Timothy E., and Steinberg, Richard H.. 2006. The Evolution of the Trade Regime: Politics, Law, and Economics of the GATT and the WTO. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Bird, Graham, Hussain, Mumtaz, and Joyce, Joseph P.. 2004. Many Happy Returns? Recidivism and the IMF. Journal of International Money and Finance 23 (2):231–51.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blustein, Paul. 2001. The Chastening: Inside the Crisis that Rocked the Global Financial System and Humbled the IMF. New York: Public Affairs.Google Scholar
Blustein, Paul. 2005. And the Money Kept Rolling In (and Out): Wall Street, the IMF, and the Bankrupting of Argentina. New York: Public Affairs.Google Scholar
Boone, Peter. 1996. Politics and the Effectiveness of Foreign Aid. European Economic Review 40 (2):289329.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boughton, James M. 2001. Silent Revolution: The International Monetary Fund, 1979–1989. Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund.Google Scholar
Cohen, Benjamin J. 1986. In Whose Interest? International Banking and American Foreign Policy. New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Copelovitch, Mark. 2004. Private Debt Composition and the Political Economy of IMF Lending. Paper 04-05. Cambridge, Mass.: Weatherhead Center for International Affairs, Harvard University.Google Scholar
Cukierman, Alex, and Tommasi, Mariano. 1998. When Does It Take a Nixon to Go to China? American Economic Review 88 (1):180–97.Google Scholar
Drazen, Allan. 2002. Conditionality and Ownership in IMF Lending: A Political Economy Approach. CEPR Discussion Paper 3562. London: Center for Economic Policy Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dreher, Axel. 2004. The Influence of IMF Programs on the Reelection of Debtor Governments. Economics & Politics 16 (1):5375.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dreher, Axel, and Jensen, Nathan M.. 2007. Independent Actor or Agent? An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of U.S. Interests on IMF Conditions. Journal of Law & Economics 50 (1):105–24.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dreher, Axel, and Vaubel, Roland. 2004. The Causes and Consequences of IMF Conditionality. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade 40 (3):2654.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Easterly, William. 2001. The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists' Adventures and Misadventures in the Tropics. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Eichengreen, Barry J., Gupta, Poonam, and Mody, Ashoka. 2006. Sudden Stops and IMF-Supported Programs. IMF Working Paper 06/10. Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Feldstein, Martin. 1998. Refocusing the IMF. Foreign Affairs 77 (2):2033.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Garrett, Geoffrey. 1992. International Cooperation and Institutional Choice: The European Community's Internal Market. International Organization 46 (2):533–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldstein, Morris. 2001. IMF Structural Conditionality: How Much Is Too Much? Institute for International Economics Working Paper 01-04. Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics.Google Scholar
Gould, Erica R. 2003. Money Talks: Supplementary Financiers and International Monetary Fund Conditionality. International Organization 57 (3):551–86.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gould, Erica R. 2006. Money Talks: The International Monetary Fund, Conditionality, and Supplementary Financiers. Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Haggard, Stephan, and Kaufman, Robert R.. 1995. The Political Economy of Democratic Transitions. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Hawkins, Darren G., Lake, David A., Nielson, Daniel L., and Tierney, Michael J.. 2006. Delegation and Agency in International Organizations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hills, Carla A., Peterson, Peter G., and Goldstein, Morris. 1999. Safeguarding Prosperity in a Global Financial System: The Future International Financial Architecture. Washington, D.C.: Council on Foreign Relations and Institute for International Economics.Google Scholar
Independent Evaluation Office (IEO), International Monetary Fund. 2003. The IMF and Recent Capital Account Crises: Indonesia, Korea, Brazil. Washington, D.C.: IEO.Google Scholar
Independent Evaluation Office (IEO), International Monetary Fund. 2004. The IMF and Argentina, 1991–2001. Washington, D.C.: IEO.Google Scholar
International Monetary Fund (IMF). 2005. Review of the 2002 Conditionality Guidelines. Washington, D.C.: IMF. Available at ⟨http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2005/030305.pdf⟩. Accessed 27 June 2008.Google Scholar
Khan, Mohsin S., and Sharma, Sunil. 2001. IMF Conditionality and Country Ownership of Programs. IMF Working Paper 01/142. Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund.Google Scholar
King, Gary. 1989. Unifying Political Methodology: The Likelihood Theory of Statistical Inference. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Koremenos, Barbara, Lipson, Charles, and Snidal, Duncan. 2001. The Rational Design of International Institutions. International Organization 55 (4):761800.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krasner, Stephen D. 1985. Structural Conflict: The Third World Against Global Liberalism. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Kuziemko, Ilyana, and Werker, Eric D.. 2006. How Much Is a Seat on the Security Council Worth? Foreign Aid and Bribery at the United Nations. Journal of Political Economy 114 (5):905–30.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mansfield, Edward D., Milner, Helen V., and Rosendorff, B. Peter. 2000. Free to Trade: Democracies, Autocracies, and International Trade. American Political Science Review 94 (2):305–21.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Marchesi, Silvia, and Sabani, Laura. 2008. Agency and Communication Problems in IMF Conditional Lending. Paper presented at the Conference on Political Economy of International Organizations, February, Ascona, Switzerland.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Martin, Lisa L. 2000. Democratic Commitments: Legislatures and International Cooperation. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Martin, Lisa L. 2006. Distribution, Information, and Delegation to International Organizations: the Case of IMF Conditionality. In Delegating Authority to International Organizations, edited by Hawkins, Darren, Lake, David A., Nielson, Daniel, and Tierney, Michael J., 140–64. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Meltzer, Allan H. 2000. Report of the International Financial Institution Advisory Commission. Available at ⟨http://www.house.gov/jec/imf/meltzer.pdf⟩. Accessed 27 June 2008.Google Scholar
Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria. 1995. The Disadvantage of Tying Their Hands: On the Political Economy of Policy Commitments. Economic Journal 105 (433):1381–402.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mody, Ashoka, and Saravia, Diego. 2006. Catalyzing Private Capital Flows: Do IMF-Supported Programs Work as Commitment Devices? Economic Journal 116:126.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mosley, Paul. 1987. Conditionality as a Bargaining Process: Structural Adjustment Lending, 1980–86. Essays in International Finance 168. Princeton, N.J.: University.Google Scholar
Mussa, Michael. 2002. Argentina and the Fund: From Triumph to Tragedy. Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics.Google Scholar
Mussa, Michael, and Savastano, Miguel A.. 1999. The IMF Approach to Economic Stabilization. NBER Macroeconomics Annual 14:79122.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pauly, Louis W. 1997. Who Elected the Bankers? Surveillance and Control in the World Economy. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Poirier, Dale J. 1980. Partial Observability in Bivariate Probit Models. Journal of Econometrics 12:209–17.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Polak, Jacques J. 1991. The Changing Nature of IMF Conditionality. Essays in International Finance, 184. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Department of Economics.Google Scholar
Przeworski, Adam, and Vreeland, James Raymond. 2000. The Effect of IMF Programs on Economic Growth. Journal of Development Economics 62 (2):385421.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Przeworski, Adam, and Vreeland, James Raymond. 2002. A Statistical Model of Bilateral Cooperation. Political Analysis 10 (2):101112.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Putnam, Robert D. 1988. Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games. International Organization 42 (3):427–61.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sandholtz, Wayne, and Zysman, John. 1989. 1992: Recasting the European Bargain. World Politics 42 (1):95128.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stallings, Barbara. 1992. International Influence on Economic Policy: Debt, Stabilization, and Structural Reform. In The Politics of Economic Adjustment, edited by Haggard, Stephan and Kaufman, Robert R., 4188. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Steinwand, Martin C., and Stone, Randall W.. 2008. The International Monetary Fund: A Review of the Recent Evidence. Review of International Organizations. 3 (2):123–49.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stiglitz, Joseph E. 2002. Globalization and Its Discontents. New York: Norton.Google Scholar
Stone, Randall W. 2002. Lending Credibility: The International Monetary Fund and the Post-Communist Transition. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stone, Randall W. 2004. The Political Economy of IMF Lending in Africa. American Political Science Review 98 (4):577–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Strange, Susan. 1988. States and Markets. London: Pinter.Google Scholar
Taylor, John B. 2007. Global Financial Warriors: The Untold Story of International Finance in the Post-9/11 World. New York: Norton.Google Scholar
Thacker, Strom C. 1999. The High Politics of IMF Lending. World Politics 52 (1):3875.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ukraine. Memorandum of Economic Policies for July 1, 1998–June 30, 2001. 18 August 1998. Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund. Available at ⟨http://www.imf.org/external/np/loi/081198.htm⟩. Accessed 27 June 2008.Google Scholar
Vaubel, Roland. 1986. A Public Choice Approach to International Organization. Public Choice 51 (1):3957.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vaubel, Roland. 1991. The Political Economy of the International Monetary Fund: A Public Choice Analysis. In The Political Economy of International Organizations: A Public Choice Approach, edited by Vaubel, R. and Willett, T. D., 204–44. Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press.Google Scholar
Vreeland, James Raymond. 2002. The Effect of IMF Programs on Labor. World Development 30 (1):121–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vreeland, James Raymond. 2003. The IMF and Economic Development. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Williamson, John. 1983. IMF Conditionality. Washington, D.C.: Institute of International Economics.Google Scholar