Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gvvz8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-24T11:03:26.407Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Rulers of the game: central bank independence during the interwar years

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 May 2009

Beth A. Simmons
Affiliation:
Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Get access

Abstract

Central bank independence is associated with restrictive monetary choices that can be deflationary within fixed exchange-rate regimes. Because central banks act to counteract domestic inflation, they put a premium on domestic price stability at the expense of international monetary stability. Evidence from fifteen countries between 1925 and 1938 shows that the more independent central banks took more deflationary policies than were necessary for external adjustment. Central banks in general were more restrictive under left-wing governments than they were under more conservative regimes and often were more restrictive than required for external equilibration. This suggests that policies of independent central banks designed to enhance domestic price stability may force deflationary pressures onto other states in the system and potentially destabilize a fixed exchange-rate regime.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © The IO Foundation 1996

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Bade, Robert, and Parkin, Michael 1982. Central bank laws and monetary policy. University of Western Ontario. Typescript.Google Scholar
Banks, Arthur S. 1971. Cross-polity time series data. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Banaian, King, Laney, Leroy O., and Willett, Thomas D. 1983. Central bank independence: An international comparison. Economic Review (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas), 03 1–13.Google Scholar
Barro, Robert J., and Gordon, David B. 1983. A positive theory of monetary policy in a natural rate model. Journal of Political Economy 91: 589610.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernanke, Ben 1993. The world on a cross of gold: Review of golden fetters. Journal of Monetary Economics 31: 251–67.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernhard, William T. 1994. Governments, parties, and bureaucratic structure: Explaining central bank independence. Paper presented at the ninetieth annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, 1–4 09, New York.Google Scholar
Bjerke, Kjeld 1955. “The national product of Denmark.” In Income and wealth. Series 5. Cambridge: Bowes and Bowes.Google Scholar
Bloomfield, Arthur 1959. Monetary policy under the international gold standard: 1880–1914. New York: Federal Reserve Bank of New York.Google Scholar
Clark, William Robert 1994. Party structure, regime stability, and the government supply of central bank independence. Paper presented at the ninetieth annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, 1–4 09, New York.Google Scholar
Clarke, S.V.O. 1967. Central bank cooperation, 1924–1931. New York: Federal Reserve Bank of New York.Google Scholar
Cukierman, Alex 1992. Central bank strategy, credibility, and independence: theory and evidence. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Cukierman, Alex, Webb, Steven B., and Neyapti, Bilin 1992. Measuring the independence of central banks and its effect on policy outcomes. World Bank Economic Review 4: 353–98.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dam, Kenneth 1982. The rules of the game: Reform and evolution in the international monetary system. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Davidson-Schmich, , Louise, K. 1994. German policy and the recent ERM crises. Department of Political Science, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina. Typescript.Google Scholar
Derbyshire, Ian 1987. Politics in West Germany: From Schmidt to Kohl. Cambridge: Chambers.Google Scholar
Eichengreen, Barry, ed. 1985. The gold standard in theory and history. New York: Methuen.Google Scholar
Eichengreen, Barry, 1989. International monetary instability between the wars: Structural flaws or misguided policies? NBER working paper no. 3124, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Mass.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eichengreen, Barry, 1992. Golden fetters: The gold standard and the great depression, 1919–1939. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Epstein, Gerald 1991. Profit squeeze, rentier squeeze, and macroeconomic policy under fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes. Economies et Sociétés 25 (1112): 219–57.Google Scholar
Epstein, Gerald 1992. Political economy and comparative central banking. Review of Radical Political Economics 24: 130.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Epstein, Gerald, and Ferguson, Thomas 1984. Monetary policy, loan liquidation, and industrial conflict: The Federal Reserve and the open market operations of 1932. Journal of Economic History 44: 957–83.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Flora, Peter 1983. State, economy, and society in Western Europe, 1815–1975. Frankfurt am Main: Campus Verlag.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fratianni, Michele, and Huang, Haizhou 1992. Central bank independence and optimal conservativeness. Working paper in economics no. 92–030, Indiana University, Bloomington.Google Scholar
Frieden, Jeffry 1988. Capital politics: Creditors and the international political economy. Journal of Public Policy 8: 265–86.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Friedman, Milton, and Schwartz, Anna 1963. A monetary history of the United States, 1867–1960. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Gowa, Joanne 1983. Closing the gold window. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Grilli, Vittorio, Masciandaro, Donato, and Tabellini, Guido 1991. Political and monetary institutions and public financial policies in the industrial countries. Economic Policy 13: 342–92.Google Scholar
Hefeker, Carsten 1994. German monetary union, the Bundesbank, and the EMS collapse. Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review 191: 379–98.Google Scholar
Hibbs, Douglas A. 1977. Political parties and macroeconomic policy. American Political Science Review 71: 1467–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Keohane, Robert O. 1984. After hegemony: Cooperation and discord in the world political economy. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Keynes, John Maynard 1980. Activities 1940–1944: The collected writings of John Maynard Keynes. Vol. 25. Edited by Moggridge, DonaldCambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Kindleberger, Charles P. 1986. The world in depression, 1929–1939. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Kirschen, E. S., Bernard, J., Besters, H., Blackaby, F., Eckstein, D., Faaland, J., Hartog, F., Morissens, L., and Tosco, E. 1964. Economic policy in our time, vol. I: general theory. Amsterdam: North Holland.Google Scholar
Kydland, Finn, and Prescott, Edward C. 1977. Rules rather than discretion: The inconsistency of optimal plans. Journal of Political Economy 85: 473–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
League of Nations 1932. World Economic Survey, 1931–1932. Geneva: Economic Intelligence Unit.Google Scholar
Lohmann, Susanne 1992. Optimal commitment in monetary policy: Credibility versus flexibility. American Economic Review 82: 273.Google Scholar
Marsh, David 1992. The Bundesbank: The bank that rules Europe. London: William Heinemann.Google Scholar
Maxfield, Sylvia 1994. The politics of central banking in developing countries. Department of Political Science, Yale University. Typescript.Google Scholar
McHale, Vincent E., and Skowronski, Sharon, eds. 1983. Political parties of Europe. Greenwood Historical Encyclopedia of the World's Political Parties. Westport, Conn.: Greenwood Press.Google Scholar
Michaely, Michael 1971. Responsiveness of demand policies to balance of payments: Postwar patterns. New York: National Bureau of Economic Research.Google Scholar
Mitchell, B. R. 1962. Abstract of British historical statistics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Mitchell, B. R. 1980. European Historical Statistics, 1750–1975. 2d rev. ed.New York: Facts on File.Google Scholar
Mlynarski, Feliks 1929. Gold and central banks. New York: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Mussa, Michael, and Goldstein, Morris 1993. The integration of world capital markets. In The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, changing capital markets: implications for monetary policy. Symposium. Kansas City, Mo.: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.Google Scholar
Nordhaus, William 1975. The political business cycle. Review of Economic Studies 42: 169–90.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nurkse, Ragnar 1944. International currency experience: Lessons from the intenvar period. Geneva: League of Nations, Economic, Financial, and Transit Department.Google Scholar
Odell, John 1982. Markets, power, and ideas. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Oye, Kenneth A. 1992. Economic discrimination and political exchange. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Rogoff, Kenneth 1985. The optimal degree of commitment to an intermediate monetary target. Quarterly Journal of Economics 100: 1169–89.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rose, Richard, ed. 1974. Electoral behavior: A comparative handbook. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
Sauvy, Alfred 1987. Histoire economique de la France entre les deux guerres (Economic history of France between the two wars). Paris: Economica.Google Scholar
Simmons, Beth A. 1994. Who adjusts? Domestic sources of foreign economic policy during the interwar years, 1924–1939. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Snidal, Duncan 1985. The limits of hegemonic stability theory. International Organization 39: 579614.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Triffin, Robert 1960. Gold and the dollar crisis. New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
U. K. Parliament 1918. First interim report of the Committee on Currency and Foreign Exchanges After the War [Cunliffee Committee]. Cd. 9182.Google Scholar
U. K. Parliament 1931. Report of the Committee on Finance and Industry [Macmillan Committee], Cmd. 3897.Google Scholar
United Nations (UN) Secretariat 1949. International capital movements during the interwar period. New York: UN Department of International Affairs.Google Scholar
U.S. Bureau of the Census Various years. Statistical abstract of the United States. Washington, D.C.Google Scholar
Walter, Andrew 1991. World power and world money. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Willis, , Parker, Henry 1936. The theory and practice of central banking. New York: Harper and Brothers.Google Scholar
Woolley, John T. 1984. Monetary politics: The Federal Reserve and the politics of monetary policy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yeager, Leland B. 1976. International monetary relations: Theory, history, and policy. 2d ed.New York: Harper and Row.Google Scholar