Policy makers in the United States have increasingly recognized the deficiencies in information related to technology assessment and quality assessment. This growing consensus resulted in the passage of legislation in 1989 to create a new Agency for Health Care Policy and Research and to expand substantially funding for assessment activities.

Technology today is often seen as the tail wagging the dog. Discoveries or inventions are made, new devices or techniques are developed, and the move to capitalize on them follows immediately. This rush to market is especially evident in the United States, where there is a long-established tradition of investing in technological advances to deal with problems in science and health.

Decision analysis is used to compare the cost and disability of alternative treatment strategies for asymptomatic mandibular third molars. The analysis shows that extracting only those third molars that remain impacted and become pathologically involved is always associated with less expected cost and disability than prophylactic removal of asymptomatic wisdom teeth.

The contrasting cycles of changing caries prevalence in developing and industrialized countries are described, as they relate to differing needs in technology. Using this contrast as a background, the selective needs for technology in measurement, adequate quality of treatment and materials, appropriate personnel, and simplicity and mobility in equipment are discussed.

The use of large data bases in technology assessment offers a number of attractive possibilities for the future. This article outlines the major approaches to technology assessment and how data bases can be used to enhance each approach.

Advances in science and technology are generally the product of multiple investigations. This article discusses statistical methods for combining empirical results from a series of different experiments or clinical investigations. We delineate the steps an assessor might take in combining data from different studies and provide references for topics not discussed in detail. The article reviews some of the most commonly used statistical techniques for combining results in the medical and social sciences.

The expression meta-analysis refers to the practice of using statistical methods to combine the outcomes of a series of different experiments or investigations. The terminology arises because a meta-analysis uses a study as the unit of observation, and, thus, the data point for each study is itself a statistical summary based on an analysis of primary data.

Orthognathic surgery is a rapidly growing biotechnologic interaction involving alterations of facial form and dental occlusion. This article describes some of the important and complex psychological, sociological, ethical, and public policy issues involved. Advances in the latter issues are necessary for advancement of the field.

Analysis of epidemiologic studies reveals that even with advances in preventive dentistry, edentulism continues to be a pressing problem especially in a rapidly expanding senior population. As an alternative to traditional removable dentures, dental implants can provide fixed support for crowns and bridges. A recent National Institutes of Health Consensus Development Conference revealed significant growth in implant technology and established that, although a complex treatment alternative, implants can function for 10 years or more. Continued development in basic and clinical research, federal regulations, professional education, public awareness, insurance, and marketing will shape the future of the field.

This article describes a collection of meta-analysis techniques based on Bayesian statistics for interpreting, adjusting, and combining evidence to estimate parameters and outcomes important to the assessment of health technologies. The result of an analysis by the Confidence Profile Method is a joint posterior probability distribution for the parameters of interest, from which marginal distributions for any particular parameter can be calculated. The method can be used to analyze problems involving a variety of types of outcomes, a variety of measures of effect, and a variety of experimental designs. This article presents the elements necessary for analysis, including prior distributions, likelihood functions, and specific models for experimental designs that include adjustment for biases.

Toxicity implies an adverse effect. It may be caused by an overdose of any substance or combination of substances, either by an initial high dose or by the accumulation of a toxic substance over a long period of time. Thus, toxicity is dose dependent. It is also a relative term in that therisk involved must be evaluated and the available alternatives assessed.

This article describes the findings of an ongoing assessment of prostatectomy that relied on the use of administrative data bases. Examples of the use of claims data for monitoring outcomes and treatment comparisons are provided, as well as a discussion of the strengths and limitations of administrative data for technology assessment.

The complexities and nuances of evaluating the costs associated with providing medical technologies are often underestimated by analysts engaged in economic evaluations. This article describes the theoretical underpinnings of cost estimation, emphasizing the importance of accounting for opportunity costs and marginal costs. The various types of costs that should be considered in an analysis are described; a listing of specific cost elements may provide a helpful guide to analysis. The process of identifying and estimating costs is detailed, and practical recommendations for handling the challenges of cost estimation are provided. The roles of sensitivity analysis and discounting are characterized, as are determinants of the types of costs to include in an analysis. Finally, common problems facing the analyst are enumerated with suggestions for managing these problems.

This article reviews the development, composition, chemistry, recent technological advances, and extent of use of composite resin restorative materials, adhesives, and pit and fissure sealants. The problems related to the clinical behavior of these materials in the oral environment are dealt with, and methods of minimizing their present deficiencies are suggested. Future directions that might be taken to improve these materials and solve some of the inadequacies that these materials exhibit are also discussed.

Large registries have been used by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute to evaluate a number of medical procedures. Two of these, the Coronary Artery Surgery Study (CASS) and the Balloon Valvuloplasty Registry (BVR), are described to illustrate potential problems in using registry data to compare medical procedures.

The growing evidence of the efficacy and effectiveness of dental implants calls for economic evaluations to determine the economic efficiency of this technology for different indications. Such studies must be integrated with the clinical evaluations in order to produce the relevant data. In most cases, dental implants will produce a better outcome than the best alternative technology, but this improvement will only come at greater cost. Cost–benefit evaluations of dental implants must therefore address the difficult task of assessing the value of the improvement in oral health.

This article reviews the methods of economic evaluation of health technology. The different forms of evaluation are outlined and the importance of assessing costs and benefits at the margin stressed. The approaches used by economists to analyze priorities for health technologies are discussed and a number of key managerial and policy issues identified. It is concluded that, while further methodological improvements can be made, a clear methodology for economic evaluation of health technologies has been established. However, attention needs to be paid to the timeliness and relevance of economic evaluation in order to ensure its maximum impact

The dramatic decrease in dental caries among children in the United States has been well documented and widely reported. In the early 1970s, only approximately 28% of children were free of dental caries; by 1980, this figure increased to 36.6% (53). The most recent national survey results reported by the National Institute of Dental Research found approximately 50% of all school children to be free of caries (50).

Although there have been numerous technological devices introduced for the diagnosis and treatment of temporomandibular disorders, many are either ineffective or are research tools without direct clinical application. This article reviews the various modalities and makes recommendations regarding their effectiveness based on the available clinical and scientific evidence.

Large data sets are an attractive source of information for outcome assessment, but their use involves certain problems and risks. Data base evaluations are retrospective and unblinded; they often represent the result of multiple analyses of multiple endpoints, and it is difficult to identify the procedures used and analytic choices made because critical details are often omitted. While data bases can suggest problems and offer answers, they cannot prove them; data base analyses must be followed by trials.