Published online by Cambridge University Press: 12 April 2016
It took Seth Carlo Chandler Jr. just one year to discover the 14 month and annual components of the variation of latitude (polar motion) that had eluded the most talented astronomers for more than a century. He succeeded where those before him had failed because: he used a global set of observations that had been painstakingly collected by astronomers of many nationalities over more than 150 years; he ignored the common wisdom that unexpected annual variations in astronomical observations were always caused by temperature effects on instruments or atmospheric refraction anomalies; and he was not misled by the theory, which predicted that the Eulerian wobble must have a period of approximately 10 months. Chandler was a true amateur only in the sense that he pursued astronomy out of love, while making his living as an actuary. He began his scientific training at the youthful age of 15 under the tutelage of Benjamin Pierce, perhaps the greatest American mathematician of that time. He then became: a private assistant to Benjamin Apthorp Gould, Jr., an aide to Gould while employed by the US Coast Survey, and Assistant Editor to Gould for the Astronomical Journal. It would be impossible to understand and appreciate Chandler’s achievements without recognizing his relationship with Gould, his brilliant mentor and lifelong colleague — the man he once described as his “Magnus Apollo.”
In 1901 Chandler announced that the 14 month motion was not a simple oscillation but was in itself a compound motion consisting of the previously discovered 428 day component, and a much smaller 436 day component, whose reality was “beyond reasonable doubt.” The beating of two such components would result in a rapid change in the phase and amplitude of the Chandler motion at intervals of about 80 years. If Chandler was correct, in about 2010, give or take perhaps five years, we should see the next occurrence of this phenomenon. With the International Earth Rotation Service in operation there should be no difficulty in detecting and quantifying such an event, very nearly one century after Chandler’s death.