Published online by Cambridge University Press: 09 December 2016
John Graunt's pioneering study, Natural and Political Observations Made upon on the Bills of Mortality (1662) has been overlooked as a source for ideas about the importance of child mortality in an urban environment. Graunt seems to have been the first to arrive at an infant mortality rate (IMR), but this has been little explored. Graunt helped to define ‘the urban penalty’, but not in terms of the IMR. The article explains Graunt's focus on other aspects of urban mortality in relation to his need to reassure those in government, his methodology, and above all his gender. For context, the article looks at attitudes to childhood among members of the influential Hartlib circle of reformers, with which Graunt was connected. These male writers were greatly concerned about children, but seem to have shared with Graunt the traditional idea that children under the age of about seven were the responsibility of women.
L’étude pionnière de John Graunt, Natural and Political Observations Made upon on the Bills of Mortality (1662) a été fort négligée comme source d'idées sur l'importance de la mortalité infantile en contexte environnemental urbain. Graunt semble avoir été le premier à formuler un taux de mortalité infantile, mais le fait en a été peu exploré. Graunt a certes contribué à définir la ville ‘pénalisante’ comme mouroir, mais non en termes de mortalité infantile. L'article explique que Graunt a mis l'accent sur d'autres aspects de la mortalité en milieu urbain car il avait besoin de rassurer les membres du gouvernement, de conforter sa méthode, et surtout sa propre masculinité. Pour ce qui est du contexte, l'auteur observe comment les membres du cercle réformateur de Samuel Hartlib considéraient l'enfance: ils étaient fort influents et Graunt était en relation avec eux. Ces hommes de plume étaient assurément très préoccupés par les enfants, mais ils semblent avoir partagé avec Graunt l'idée alors traditionnelle que les enfants, jusqu’à l’âge de sept ans environ, demeuraient sous la responsabilité des femmes.
John Graunt's Pionierwerk Natural and Political Observations Made upon on the Bills of Mortality (1662) ist bislang als Quelle für die Vorstellungen zur Bedeutung der Kindersterblichkeit im städtischen Umfeld übersehen worden. Graunt scheint erstmals zu einer Säuglingssterblichkeitsrate gelangt zu sein, aber das ist noch kaum erforscht. Graunt half auch dabei, den demographischen ‘Stadtnachteil’ (urban penalty) zu bestimmen, aber nicht im Zusammenhang mit der Säuglingssterblichkeitsrate. Der Beitrag erläutert Graunts Konzentration auf andere Aspekte der städtischen Sterblichkeit im Hinblick auf seinen Einfluss in Regierungskreisen, seine Methodologie und vor allem sein Geschlecht. Um diese Zusammenhänge zu verdeutlichen, werden die Einstellungen zur Kindheit unter den Mitgliedern des einflussreichen Kreises von Reformern um Hartlib beleuchtet, mit dem Graunt verbunden war. Diese männlichen Autoren waren ernsthaft um Kinder besorgt, scheinen aber mit Graunt die traditionelle Vorstellung geteilt zu haben, dass für Kinder im Alter von unter sieben Jahren allein Frauen verantwortlich seien.
1 The foundational study of the Hartlib circle remains Webster, C., The great instauration: science, medicine and reform 1626–1660, 2nd edn (Oxford, 2002 [orig. pub. London, 1975])Google Scholar. Sections on Baconianism, education and ‘the prolongation of life’ are particularly relevant here. On Hartlib's London network see also Iliffe, R., ‘Hartlib's world’, in Davies, M. and Galloway, J. A. eds., London and beyond: essays in honour of Derek Keene (London, 2002), 103–22Google Scholar. The programmatic writings of Francis Bacon (1561–1626), lord chancellor, politician and philosopher, were published in the 1620s.
2 The term ‘statistician’ is used here for convenience. Kreager argues cogently for its inappropriateness in the seventeenth century: ‘The emergence of population’ (unpublished). I am grateful to Philip Kreager for allowing me to see this paper before publication.
3 On the uses of the Bills by Londoners before Graunt, see most recently Sullivan, E., ‘Physical and spiritual illness: narrative appropriations of the Bills of Mortality’, in Totaro, R. and Gilman, E. B. eds., Representing the plague in early modern London (New York and London, 2011), 76–94 Google Scholar.
4 This debate was sparked by the work of Philippe Ariès and became over-simplified and misrepresentative as it became influential. For an incisive assessment of Ariès, his sources and his critics, see Wilson, A., ‘The infancy of the history of childhood: an appraisal of Philippe Ariès’, History and Theory 19, 2 (1980), 132–53CrossRefGoogle Scholar. Schooling outside the family was a crucial element in Ariès's argument, but as Wilson points out, it has been largely ignored by his critics. See also Meckel, R. A., ‘Childhood and the historians’, Journal of Family History 9, 4 (1984), 415–24CrossRefGoogle Scholar. For a more recent, indicative overview, see Stearns, P. N., Childhood in world history (New York, 2006), ch. 5Google Scholar.
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8 Hull, C. H. ed., The economic writings of Sir William Petty together with the Observations on the Bills of Mortality more probably by Captain John Graunt, 2 vols. (New York, 1963–4 [orig. pub. 1899])Google Scholar, ii, 314–435. Hull reprints the 5th edition (1676) and this edition, which for present purposes is not materially different from the first of 1662, will be quoted here. Hull's edition includes the page references of the original.
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17 Ibid., ii, 320–1 (Epistle Dedicatory), 347, 396.
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21 Graunt, Observations, ed. Hull, ii, 349. Hull's notes point to discrepancies between the totals in the text and those in the tables.
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24 See, for example, Hull ed., Economic writings of Petty, i, p. lxxvi; Glass, ‘John Graunt and his Observations’, 69, 74, 88; and Kargon, ‘Graunt, Bacon’, 341, all of whom leave Graunt's priority in this respect unclear. Sutherland, ‘John Graunt’, 545, states clearly that Graunt ‘was the first to direct attention to the extremely high rates of mortality in infancy’; on the life table, which Sutherland calls ‘Graunt's masterpiece’, see 550–2. For an appreciation of Graunt's argument about different age groups, see R. Titmuss, Birth, poverty and wealth: a study of infant mortality (London, 1943), 94. I owe this last reference to John Stewart.
25 Graunt, Observations, ed. Hull, ii, 350, 352. Cf. 348, where he puts the aged as above 60.
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29 Ibid., ii, 347, 366, 368, 372–4, 383–94.
30 Ibid., ii, 363, 347–8.
31 Ibid., ii, 320, 351, 352. For a preceding protest about children starving in the streets as evidenced by the Bills, see M. S. [Sparke, Michael], The poor orphans court, or orphans cry (London, 1636)Google Scholar, Preface.
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34 For Graunt, even suicides, drownings and accidents bore a constant proportion to burials, but epidemic diseases did not: Observations, ed. Hull, ii, 352.
35 Ibid., ii, 357–8, emphasis added.
36 Ibid., ii, 358–9.
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38 Hull ed., Economic writings of Petty, i, p. xxxvi. Petty was a member of this committee; Glisson was not.
39 For more on Graunt's attitudes to women, including the searchers, see Pelling, ‘Far too many women’.
40 Smerdon, ‘Daniel Whistler’, 401.
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44 Aubrey, Brief lives, 60. The Early Modern Medical Practitioners project, based at Exeter University, has so far been unable to identify a practitioner of this name. I thank Peter Elmer for searching the EMP database for me.
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48 Bird, Ostenta Carolina, 52–69, 78–81. Bird cites his own experience in the person of his ‘little son’: 68–9.
49 Bird, Ostenta Carolina, 78; Graunt, Observations, ed. Hull, ii, 358. Gill Newton of CAMPOP is investigating the later recording of rickets as part of a project, ‘The age structure and meaning of causes of death in London and other English urban areas between 1583 and 1812’. My thanks to Dr Newton for allowing me to see her draft case study on rickets.
50 Graunt, Observations, ed. Hull, ii, 360–1.
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61 Slack, From reformation to improvement, 83.
62 HP, Ephemerides 1649 Pt 2, 28/1/16B.
63 HP, Ephemerides 1652 Pt 2, 28/2/43A-B; ibid., 1653 Pt 2, 28/2/55A, 28/2/56B (on utopias); HP, letter from Petty to Hartlib, 23 October 1652, and letter from Petty to Hartlib, 1 March 1653, both from James Marshal and Marie-Louise Osborn Collection, Beinecke Library, Yale University, Docs. 23 and 24. Graunt is given as Grant in these sources.
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