The Isotope Temperature Record
Several factors may limit the validity of the reconstruction of the local temperature change from the isotope record (δ18O or δD), such as the influence of parameters other than this local temperature, isotopic noise of various origins, and change in ice thickness. Our confidence in such temperature reconstruction for central East Antarctic deep ice cores relies on the following facts:
(1) There is a very well-obeyed linear relationship between the annual averages of the surface temperature and the snow deuterium content over East Antarctica (Reference Lorius and MerlivatLorius and Merlivat 1977).
(2) The observed slope (6‰/°C) agrees well with that derived from a one-dimensional isotope model (Reference Jouzel and MerlivatJouzel and Merlivat 1984). This model also shows that the δD record is less affected by kinetic isotope effects than δ18O. As these effects are not directly temperature-related, it is suggested that δD rather than δ18O be used as the temperature index when both sets of data are available.
Using this 6‰/°C slope, the isotope record was translated into a temperature record after correction for the isotopic changes in sea-water. No corrections were made for the possible influence of the ice origin and changes in thickness of the ice cap. The isotope temperature curve shows that the shift associated with the last deglaciation was around 9°C. This compares quite well with the 11°C change derived independently from crystal-size variation with depth (Reference Petit, Duval and LoriusPetit and others 1987), thus providing independent support for our temperature interpretation. Such independent support also emerges from the good level of agreement between changes in accumulation ratio, derived from the temperature curve and from 10Be data (Reference Yiou, Raisbeck, Bourles, Lorius and BarkovYiou and others 1985).
The main features of this isotope temperature curve are the following:
(1) The last deglaciation is clearly a two-step process, with two warming-trend periods interrupted by a 2°C temperature reversal lasting about 1 ka.
(2) The last glacial complex is characterized by three well-marked temperature minima, with that occurring around 110 ka B.P. being about 2°C warmer than full glacial conditions. These cold periods are separated by two interstadials with temperatures up to 4° and 6° C respectively above the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). Conditions equivalent to those prevailing during this LGM were encountered only at the end of the penultimate glacial around 150 ka B.P.
(3) The peak of the last interglacial is significantly warmer than the Holocene period by about 2°C.
This core offers a unique opportunity to examine from a continental record the link between our atmospheric time series and astronomical forcing. The Vostok spectrum, obtained using the maximum entropy method (MEM), shows concentration of variance around 100, 40 and 20 ka. This spectral analysis very convincingly demonstrates that, apart from the ∽100 ka oscillation, the Vostok temperature record is dominated by a strong ∽40 ka component. It also suggests that it is influenced to a lesser degree by a component slightly above 20 ka. The two frequency bands can be associated with the obliquity and precession cycles respectively, thus supporting the role of astronomical forcing in determining the Late Pleistocene climate.
Comparison with other Records
The Vostok series is compared with time series of the estimated change in continental ice volume and of a Southern Hemisphere sea-surface temperature record: i.e. the stacked SPECMAP δ18O record, a proxy of the ice volume, and the estimated summer sea-surface temperature from the very well-documented and geographically relevant sub-polar Indian Ocean core RC11-120 (Reference Martinson, Pisias, Hays, Imbrie, Moore and ShackletonMartinson and others 1987). For these two series, the chronology established by Reference Martinson, Pisias, Hays, Imbrie, Moore and ShackletonMartinson and others (1987) stems explicitly from orbital tuning.
The transition from the LGM towards the Holocene takes place around 15 ka B.P. in the three records. Throughout the glacial period, there is generally good correspondence between the three climatic curves, with Vostok cold stages corresponding to marine stages 2, 4 and 5d. The first interstadial corresponds to stage 3 and the second (characterized by two well-marked temperature maxima) corresponds to 5a and 5c. Down to 110 ka B.P., the correlation between the Vostok and the δ18O marine record is excellent (r2 = 0.87). As this marine record is thought essentially to represent continental ice-volume changes, i.e. a parameter of global significance, this high correlation indicates that the Vostok temperature record is of relatively great geographical significance.
On the other hand, there is a major difference in the duration of the last interglacial, which is about twice as long in the Vostok record as in the marine record. As the associated climatic changes must be nearly synchronous, this difference is due to discrepancies between the ice and deep-sea core chronologies. Our present strategy is to keep the time-scale of Reference Yiou, Raisbeck, Bourles, Lorius and BarkovLorius and others (1985), well established from glaciological arguments, as long as there is no unavoidable argument for modifying it, and to search for a direct correlation between deep-sea cores and the Vostok record among common atmospheric indicators.
In comparison with other deep ice cores, there is good agreement between the three Antarctic records (Byrd Station, Dome C and Vostok) over the last deglaciation and the Holocene period. The temperature shift associated with this transition is around 9°C both at Dome C and at Vostok. Quantitative interpretation of the Byrd Station profile in terms of temperature changes would produce a reasonably comparable value, as the associated δ18O shift is similar in the three cores. Again, this supports the great geographical significance of the Vostok record as a whole. As for new dating, relevant information is now available for Dome C and Byrd Station, and the corresponding time-scale for the last glacial may be modified in the near future. Such re-dating must certainly be carried out to determine the closeness of the relationship, and thus the climatic significance of the oscillations registered during this period. Such comparisons between Vostok and Dome C are very promising (Reference Raisbeck, Yiou, Bourles, Lorius, Jouzel and BarkovRaisbeck and others 1987).
Finally, we also note that in the detailed Vostok curve there is nothing comparable with what has been recorded in the Dye 3, Greenland, ice core (Reference Dansgaard, Hansen and TakahashiDansgaard and others 1984), which shows (on the time-scale of a few decades) abrupt and vigorous isotopic changes almost equivalent to those accompanying the Pleistocene–Holocene shift.
Conclusion
We have now obtained a continuous deuterium record along the Vostok ice core, which we have interpreted in terms of local surface-temperature changes over the last 160 ka. Comparison with Antarctic records and with the marine record shows that this curve undoubtedly has great geographical significance. The Vostok record is dominated by the large ∽100 ka glacial–interglacial oscillation, with a total temperature amplitude of about 11°C; the long Last Glacial Period is very well documented and it is confirmed that the warmest part of the Last Interglacial Period was about 2°C warmer than the Holocene.
It is remarkable that without any radiometric dates or orbital tuning the Vostok temperature record shows concentration of variance near the obliquity and precession frequency band, which strongly supports the climatic role of orbital forcing. This aspect and the influence of other forcings (in particular atmospheric CO2) is examined in a companion contribution in this volume (Reference Barnola, Genthon, Raynaud, Jouzel, Korotkevich and LoriusBarnola and others 1988).