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Book contents
- There Will Be the Devil to Pay
- Studies in Macroeconomic History
- There Will Be the Devil to Pay
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Frontispiece
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Central Bankers and Their World
- 3 Preparing for Crisis (May 11–May 19)
- 4 Foreign Creditors (May 16–May 25)
- 5 Moratorium or Guarantee? (May 25–May 27)
- 6 Guarantee at Last? (May 26–June 1)
- 7 Releasing the BIS Credit (May 29–June 5)
- 8 Surrounded with Trouble (June 5–June 10)
- 9 Where and How to Place? (June 8–June 13)
- 10 A World Political Problem (June 11–June 16)
- 11 Francis Rodd Makes Sense – and a Plot (June 9–June 20)
- 12 To Act Now If We Are to Act at All (June 16–June 27)
- 13 Germany Will Collapse (June 19–July 10)
- 14 Anxiety within Germany at Climax (July 11–July 23)
- 15 Going Off the Gold Standard? (July 14–August 21)
- 16 We Must Not Fool Ourselves Now (August 21–September 17)
- 17 As for the Future of England (September 16–October 23)
- The End (2024)
- Timeline
- Actors in the 1931 Financial Crisis Archives
- Acknowledgements
- Archives
- Notes
- Bibliography
- Index
3 - Preparing for Crisis (May 11–May 19)
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 21 December 2024
- There Will Be the Devil to Pay
- Studies in Macroeconomic History
- There Will Be the Devil to Pay
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Frontispiece
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Central Bankers and Their World
- 3 Preparing for Crisis (May 11–May 19)
- 4 Foreign Creditors (May 16–May 25)
- 5 Moratorium or Guarantee? (May 25–May 27)
- 6 Guarantee at Last? (May 26–June 1)
- 7 Releasing the BIS Credit (May 29–June 5)
- 8 Surrounded with Trouble (June 5–June 10)
- 9 Where and How to Place? (June 8–June 13)
- 10 A World Political Problem (June 11–June 16)
- 11 Francis Rodd Makes Sense – and a Plot (June 9–June 20)
- 12 To Act Now If We Are to Act at All (June 16–June 27)
- 13 Germany Will Collapse (June 19–July 10)
- 14 Anxiety within Germany at Climax (July 11–July 23)
- 15 Going Off the Gold Standard? (July 14–August 21)
- 16 We Must Not Fool Ourselves Now (August 21–September 17)
- 17 As for the Future of England (September 16–October 23)
- The End (2024)
- Timeline
- Actors in the 1931 Financial Crisis Archives
- Acknowledgements
- Archives
- Notes
- Bibliography
- Index
Summary
In chapter 3, preparing for crisis, the narrative begins. It is told mainly chronologically and this chapter deals with the period between May 11 and May 19, but only after a brief focus on January 1931 where Harry Siepmann on the basis of the socalled Bagehot model considers what to do in case of a major financial crisis in Europe. The Bagehot model for a lender of last resort and its inadequacy in the face of an international crisis, is a theme that goes through the book’s narrative. On May 11 the Credit Anstalt failure is made known and the central bankers get ready to make sense of the information they get from Austria and elsewhere. The BIS sends Francis Rodd to Vienna and the chapter follows him closely as he communicates his findings back to the BIS and Bank of England. In a world where debt is abundant and credit scarce, Rodd presents a plan to the upcoming BIS board meeting.
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- There Will Be the Devil to PayCentral Bankers, Uncertainty and Sensemaking in the European Financial Crisis of 1931, pp. 47 - 65Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2025