Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Dedication
- Contents
- Preface
- Introduction
- 1 The 1953 Great Flood
- 2 The Space Shuttle Challenger Disaster
- 3 The 2007–2008 Financial Crisis
- 4 Earthquakes and Tsunamis
- 5 The L’Aquila Trial and the Public Communication of Risk
- 6 The Coronavirus Pandemic
- 7 Mathematical Wonderland
- 8 Stochastic Modeling
- 9 The Modeling of Extreme Events
- 10 On Climate Change and Related Risk
- 11 Further Examples from the World of Extremes
- 12 Networks
- 13 The Black Tulip and February 3, 1637
- A Note About the References
- References
- Index
2 - The Space Shuttle Challenger Disaster
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 April 2024
- Frontmatter
- Dedication
- Contents
- Preface
- Introduction
- 1 The 1953 Great Flood
- 2 The Space Shuttle Challenger Disaster
- 3 The 2007–2008 Financial Crisis
- 4 Earthquakes and Tsunamis
- 5 The L’Aquila Trial and the Public Communication of Risk
- 6 The Coronavirus Pandemic
- 7 Mathematical Wonderland
- 8 Stochastic Modeling
- 9 The Modeling of Extreme Events
- 10 On Climate Change and Related Risk
- 11 Further Examples from the World of Extremes
- 12 Networks
- 13 The Black Tulip and February 3, 1637
- A Note About the References
- References
- Index
Summary
It is January 28, 1986. While the world was watching, just 73 seconds after take-off, the Challenger Space Shuttle exploded, killing all seven astronauts on board. The crew included the teacher Christa McAuliffe who would have lectured schoolchildren from space. An important factor that contributed to the disaster was the extremely low temperature at launch. “Extreme” here means “well below temperatures experienced at previous launches”. In this chapter, we give a short overview of the errors that contributed to the explosion. These errors range from purely managerial errors to technical as well as statistical errors. Our discussion includes a statistical analysis of the malfunctioning of so-called rubber O-rings as a function of temperature at launch. As a prime example of efficient risk communication we also recall the press conference at which the physics Nobel Prize winner, Richard Feynman, made his famous “piece-of-rubber-in-ice-water” presentation. This exposed the cause of the accident in all clarity.
Keywords
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- Chapter
- Information
- Risk RevealedCautionary Tales, Understanding and Communication, pp. 13 - 23Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2024