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7 - The Case of Grexit and Assessing the Polls in Aggregate

from Part II - The Pollster as Data Scientist

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 November 2024

Clifford Young  and
Kathryn Ziemer
Clifford Young
Affiliation:
Ipsos Public Affairs
Kathryn Ziemer
Affiliation:
Ipsos Public Affairs
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Summary

This chapter applies the total error framework presented in Chapter 5 to a case example of aggregate polls in the 2015 Greek referendum. The focus here is on why the polls in aggregate predicted the wrong outcome.

Keywords

poll aggregation2015 Greek referendumGrexittotal error framework
Type
Chapter
Information
Polls, Pollsters, and Public Opinion
A Guide for Decision-Makers
 , pp. 94 - 108
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2024

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