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9 - Tail Analysis for Positive Recurrent Markov Chains with Drift Going to Zero More Slowly Than 1/x

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  aN Invalid Date NaN

Denis Denisov
Affiliation:
University of Manchester
Dmitry Korshunov
Affiliation:
Lancaster University
Vitali Wachtel
Affiliation:
Universität Bielefeld, Germany
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Summary

In Chapter 9 we consider a recurrent Markov chain possessing an invariant measure which is either probabilistic in the case of positive recurrence or σ-finite in the case of null recurrence. Our main aim here is to describe the asymptotic behaviour of the invariant distribution tail for a class of Markov chains with asymptotically zero drift going to zero more slowly than 1/x. We start with a result which states that a typical stationary Markov chain with asymptotically zero drift always generates a heavy-tailed invariant distribution which is very different from the case of Markov chains with asymptotically negative drift bounded away from zero. Then we develop techniques needed for deriving precise tail asymptotics of Weibullian type.

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Markov Chains with Asymptotically Zero Drift
Lamperti's Problem
, pp. 281 - 305
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2025

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