4 - Identifying influence strategies by time series

Summary

Bullying

1. Consistent upward trend in the escalation of conflictive action.

2. Escalation level is consistently higher than, or equal to, that of other side.

3. Leads the other party in escalatory movement.

4. No deviations in the form of unilateral deescalation or accommodation, except for modest spikes following an extended period of escalation.

Reciprocating

1. Behavior matches other party's pattern of escalation and deescalation.

2. Level of escalation, or deescalation equal to, or close to, that of the other side.

3. Lags the other party in escalation.

4. If the reciprocator takes the lead in deescalation, the moves will appear as short downward spikes, unless matched by the other side.

Appeasing

1. Consistent pattern of increasing deescalation.

2. Escalation level lower and leading other party in deescalation.

3. Deescalation as the other side's escalation level remains constant or moves upward.

Trial-and-Error

1. Low reciprocity.

2. Switching direction between escalation and deescalation.

Stonewalling

1. Very low level of activity for long periods.

2. Moves are strictly conflictive, lagging those of the other party.