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Chapter 1 deals with two main topics. One is to assess the reasons for the outbreak of war in the Pacific. Japanese economic motivations for war as an investment in building a Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere are given particular weight. Second, the chapter analyzes Japan’s economic plans for Southeast Asia at the outset of occupation, how these changed as the war turned against Japan, and the implications for Southeast Asia of Japanese military reversals and heavy merchant shipping losses. Emphasis is placed on Japanese economic weakness compared to American and it is concluded that Japan had no prospect of winning a Pacific War and only limited chances of securing a favourable negotiated peace.
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