We examine the similarities and differences between
two widely used knowledge-based potentials, which are expressed
as contact matrices (consisting of 210 elements) that gives
a scale for interaction energies between the naturally
occurring amino acid residues. These are the Miyazawa–Jernigan
contact interaction matrix M and the potential matrix
S derived by Skolnick J et al., 1997, Protein Sci
6:676–688. Although the correlation between
the two matrices is good, there is a relatively large dispersion
between the elements. We show that when Thr is chosen as
a reference solvent within the Miyazawa and Jernigan scheme,
the dispersion between the M and S matrices is reduced.
The resulting interaction matrix B gives hydrophobicities
that are in very good agreement with experiment. The small
dispersion between the S and B matrices, which arises
due to differing reference states, is shown to have dramatic
effect on the predicted native states of lattice models
of proteins. These findings and other arguments are used
to suggest that for reliable predictions of protein structures,
pairwise additive potentials are not sufficient. We also
establish that optimized protein sequences can tolerate
relatively large random errors in the pair potentials.
We conjecture that three body interaction may be needed
to predict the folds of proteins in a reliable manner.