We present a method for constructing and interpreting weighted premium principles. The method is based on modifying the underlying risk distribution in such a way that the risk-adjusted expected value (or premium) is greater than the expected value of some conveniently chosen function of claims, which defines the insurer’s perception of the risk. Under some assumptions on the function of claims, the method produces distortion premium principles. We provide several examples under different assumptions on the claim arrival process and different functions of claims, including record claims and kth record claims.

The proportional hazards (PH) model and its associated distributions provide suitable media for exploring connections between the Gini coefficient, Fisher information, and Shannon entropy. The connecting threads are Bayes risks of the mean excess of a random variable with the PH distribution and Bayes risks of the Fisher information of the equilibrium distribution of the PH model. Under various priors, these Bayes risks are generalized entropy functionals of the survival functions of the baseline and PH models and the expected asymptotic age of the renewal process with the PH renewal time distribution. Bounds for a Bayes risk of the mean excess and the Gini's coefficient are given. The Shannon entropy integral of the equilibrium distribution of the PH model is represented in derivative forms. Several examples illustrate implementation of the results and provide insights for potential applications.

Consider a haploid population of fixed finite size with a finite number of allele types and having Cannings exchangeable genealogy with neutral mutation. The stationary distribution of the Markov chain of allele counts in each generation is an important quantity in population genetics but has no tractable description in general. We provide upper bounds on the distributional distance between the Dirichlet distribution and this finite-population stationary distribution for the Wright–Fisher genealogy with general mutation structure and the Cannings exchangeable genealogy with parent independent mutation structure. In the first case, the bound is small if the population is large and the mutations do not depend too much on parent type; 'too much' is naturally quantified by our bound. In the second case, the bound is small if the population is large and the chance of three-mergers in the Cannings genealogy is small relative to the chance of two-mergers; this is the same condition to ensure convergence of the genealogy to Kingman's coalescent. These results follow from a new development of Stein's method for the Dirichlet distribution based on Barbour's generator approach and a probabilistic description of the semigroup of the Wright–Fisher diffusion due to Griffiths and Li (1983) and Tavaré (1984).

In this paper we consider an M/M/c queue modified to allow both mass arrivals when the system is empty and the workload to be removed. Properties of queues which terminate when the server becomes idle are firstly developed. Recurrence properties, equilibrium distribution, and equilibrium queue-size structure are studied for the case of resurrection and no mass exodus. All of these results are then generalized to allow for the removal of the entire workload. In particular, we obtain the Laplace transformation of the transition probability for the absorptive M/M/c queue.

We consider a queueing loss system with heterogeneous skill based servers with arbitrary service distributions. We assume Poisson arrivals, with each arrival having a vector indicating which of the servers are eligible to serve it. An arrival can only be assigned to a server that is both idle and eligible. Assuming exchangeable eligibility vectors and an idle time ordering assignment policy, the limiting distribution of the system is derived. It is shown that the limiting probabilities of the set of idle servers depend on the service time distributions only through their means. Moreover, conditional on the set of idle servers, the remaining service times of the busy servers are independent and have their respective equilibrium service distributions.

We discuss a class of counting distributions motivated by a problem in discrete surplus analysis, and special cases of which have applications in stop-loss, discrete Tail value at risk (TVaR) and claim count modelling. Explicit formulas are developed, and the mixed Poisson case is considered in some detail. Simplifications occur for some underlying negative binomial and related models, where in some cases compound geometric distributions arise naturally. Applications to claim count and aggregate claims models are then given.

In this paper we are concerned with the equilibrium distribution ∏n of the nth element in a sequence of continuous-time density-dependent Markov processes on the integers. Under a (2+α)th moment condition on the jump distributions, we establish a bound of order O(n-(α+1)/2√logn) on the difference between the point probabilities of ∏n and those of a translated Poisson distribution with the same variance. Except for the factor √logn, the result is as good as could be obtained in the simpler setting of sums of independent, integer-valued random variables. Our arguments are based on the Stein-Chen method and coupling.

For a GI/G/c queue, a full busy period is an interval that begins when an arrival finds c − 1 customers in the system, and ends when, for the first time after that, a departure leaves behind c − 1 customers in the system. We present a probabilistic proof of conditions for full busy periods to have finite moments. For queues that empty, this result may be deduced from results in the literature, but our proof is much easier. For queues that do not empty, our proof still applies, and this result is new.

We demonstrate that the residual lifetime distribution of a compound geometric distribution convoluted with another distribution, termed a compound geometric convolution, is again a compound geometric convolution. Conditions under which the compound geometric convolution is new worse than used (NWU) or new better than used (NBU) are then derived. The results are applied to ruin probabilities in the stationary renewal risk model where the convolution components are of particular interest, as well as to the equilibrium virtual waiting time distribution in the G/G/1 queue, an approximation to the equilibrium M/G/c waiting time distribution, ruin in the classical risk model perturbed by diffusion, and second-order reliability classifications.

Recently, several authors have studied the transient and the equilibrium behaviour of stochastic population processes with total catastrophes. These models are reasonable for modelling populations that are exposed to extreme disastrous phenomena. However, under mild disastrous conditions, the appropriate model is a stochastic process subject to binomial catastrophes. In the present paper we consider a special such model in which a population evolves according to a compound Poisson process and catastrophes occur according to a renewal process. Every individual of the population survives after a catastrophe with probability p, independently of anything else, i.e. the population size is reduced according to a binomial distribution. We study the equilibrium distribution of this process and we derive an algorithmic procedure for its approximate computation. Bounds on the error of this approximation are also included.

This paper considers a Markovian bulk-arriving queue modified to allow both mass arrivals when the queue is idle and mass departures which allow for the possibility of removing the entire workload. Properties of queues which terminate when the server becomes idle are developed first, since these play a key role in later developments. Results for the case of mass arrivals, but no mass annihilation, are then constructed with specific attention being paid to recurrence properties, equilibrium queue-size structure, and waiting-time distribution. A closed-form expression for the expected queue size and its Laplace transform are also established. All of these results are then generalised to allow for the removal of the entire workload, with closed-form expressions being developed for the equilibrium size and waiting-time distributions.

A new structure with the special property that instantaneous resurrection and mass disaster are imposed on an ordinary birth-death process is considered. Under the condition that the underlying birth-death process is exit or bilateral, we are able to give easily checked existence criteria for such Markov processes. A very simple uniqueness criterion is also established. All honest processes are explicitly constructed. Ergodicity properties for these processes are investigated. Surprisingly, it can be proved that all the honest processes are not only recurrent but also ergodic without imposing any extra conditions. Equilibrium distributions are then established. Symmetry and reversibility of such processes are also investigated. Several examples are provided to illustrate our results.

The average delay for the GI/G/1 queue is often approximated as a function of the first two moments of interarrival and service times. For highly irregular arrivals, however, it varies widely among queues with the same first two moments, even in moderately heavy traffic. Empirically, it decreases as the interarrival time third moment increases. For GI/M/1 queues, a heavy-traffic expression for the average delay with this property has been previously obtained. The method, however, sheds little light on why the third moment arises. We analyze the equilibrium idle-period distribution in heavy traffic using real-variable methods. For GI/M/1 queues, we derive the above heavy-traffic result and also obtain conditions under which it is either an upper or lower bound. Our approach provides an intuitive explanation for the result and also strongly suggests that similar results should hold for general service. This is supported by empirical evidence. For any given service distribution, it has been conjectured that the expected delay under pure-batch arrivals, where interarrival times are scaled Bernoulli random variables, is an upper bound on the average delay over all interarrival distributions with the same first two moments. We investigate this conjecture and show, among other things, that pure-batch arrivals have the smallest third moment. We obtain conditions under which this conjecture is true and present a counterexample where it fails. Arrivals that arise as overflows from other queues can be highly irregular. We show that interoverflow distributions in a certain class have decreasing failure rate.

A new structure with the special property that an instantaneous reflection barrier is imposed on the ordinary birth—death processes is considered. An easy-checking criterion for the existence of such Markov processes is first obtained. The uniqueness criterion is then established. In the nonunique case, all the honest processes are explicitly constructed. Ergodicity properties for these processes are investigated. It is proved that honest processes are always ergodic without necessarily imposing any extra conditions. Equilibrium distributions for all these ergodic processes are established. Several examples are provided to illustrate our results.

This paper concentrates on investigating ergodicity and stability for generalised Markov branching processes with resurrection. Easy checking criteria including several clear-cut corollaries are established for ordinary and strong ergodicity of such processes. The equilibrium distribution is given in an elegant closed form for the ergodic case. The probabilistic interpretation of the results is clear and thus explained.

An explicit convolution representation for the equilibrium residual lifetime distribution of compound zero-modified geometric distributions is derived. Second-order reliability properties are seen to be essentially preserved under geometric compounding, and complement results of Brown (1990) and Cai and Kalashnikov (2000). The convolution representation is then extended to the nth-order equilibrium distribution. This higher-order convolution representation is used to evaluate the stop-loss premium and higher stop-loss moments of the compound zero-modified geometric distribution, as well as the Laplace transform of the kth moment of the time of ruin in the classical risk model.

In a similar spirit to the probabilistic generalization of Taylor's theorem by Massey and Whitt [13], we give a probabilistic analogue of the mean value theorem. The latter is shown to be useful in various contexts of reliability theory. In particular, we provide various applications to the evaluation of the mean total profits of devices having random lifetimes, to the mean total-time-on-test at an arbitrary order statistic of a random sample of lifetimes, and to the mean maintenance cost for the second room of queueing systems in steady state characterized by two serial waiting rooms.

In this article we define the s-order equilibrium distribution of a life distribution and establish some interesting properties regarding moments for s-order equilibrium distributions. Results are expected to be useful in reliability and renewal processes.

The time-dependent virtual waiting time in a M/G/1 queue converges to a proper limit when the traffic intensity is less than one. In this paper we give precise rates on the speed of this convergence when the service time distribution has a heavy regularly varying tail.

The result also applies to the classical ruin problem. We obtain the exact rate of convergence for the ruin probability after time t for the case where claims arrive according to a Poisson process and claim sizes are heavy tailed.

Our result supplements similar theorems on exponential convergence rates for relaxation times in queueing theory and ruin probabilities in risk theory.

Several queueing processes may be modeled as random walks on a multidimensional grid. In this paper the equilibrium distribution for the case of a two-dimensional grid is considered. In previous research it has been shown that for some two-dimensional random walks the equilibrium distribution has the form of an infinite series of products of powers which can be constructed with a compensation procedure. The object of the present paper is to investigate under which conditions such an elegant solution exists and may be found with a compensation approach. The conditions can be easily formulated in terms of the random behaviour in the inner area and the drift on the boundaries.