In wartime, people might not only be caught in the middle of hostilities. While trying to avoid fire, navigate fear and seek safety, people may also be surrounded by rampant false or hateful information spreading rapidly across social media platforms and messaging applications (hereinafter referred to simply as “social media”).Footnote 1 Far from being impalpable, such information can tangibly harm persons affected by armed conflict – which include but are not limited to civilians – in a variety of very real ways, some of which may violate international humanitarian law (IHL) or international human rights law (IHRL).Footnote 2 Such information, for example, may spur individualized violent action against persons protected by the 1949 Geneva Conventions like civilians or prisoners of war,Footnote 3 on top of the ongoing hostilities that are inherent to armed conflict.Footnote 4 It may foster hatred or discrimination against certain communities, leading to their members being cut off from essential services,Footnote 5 or it may compromise a person's situational awareness, causing that person to make harmful decisions like avoiding necessary aid or evacuating using improper routes.Footnote 6 Such information may also cause harm in and of itself; hateful narratives, for example, may induce significant anxiety, fear or depression among individuals who identify as the targeted category, and narratives spreading false or misleading information about particular individuals may injure such persons’ reputations, even if no further action is taken against them.Footnote 7 In short, the spreading of such information on social media can lead to a multitude of harms that affect people caught in the middle of conflict in discernible, visible ways.
Currently, no typology exists that maps out the full range of harms influenced by information circulating on social media – be it individual pieces of content or narratives that develop from consistent threads of information – in wartime. Far from being a merely academic exercise, mapping out a more complete picture of such harms can help inform stronger, better tailored and more complete policy and legal responses to harmful information spreading on social media in armed conflict settings.Footnote 8 Indeed, the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) considers understanding harms as integral to developing conflict-specific responses that reflect “the complex realities and vulnerability of people affected by war and violence”.Footnote 9
This article proposes a typology of harms related to the spread of harmful information on social media experienced by persons affected by armed conflict. The typology divides the harms into five categories: (1) harms to life and physical well-being, (2) harms to economic or financial well-being, (3) harms to psychological well-being, (4) harms to social inclusion or cultural well-being, and (5) society-wide harms. Each category of harm is presented in a table composed of three columns: examples of information that we classify as harmful, a subsequent offline harmful act, and the resulting harms.Footnote 10 The structure of the typology loosely follows existing typologies in other contexts that we have used for reference.Footnote 11
The typology was developed and populated using reported examples of harmful content or narratives on social media, along with documented subsequent harmful acts from current and past armed conflicts that occurred around the same time. We inferred connections between the content and the acts based on timing and content relevance, although in some instances, there is additional supporting evidence suggesting a link between the two. The examples are intended to provide concrete illustrations, but they are not meant to imply evidence of causality between the information and the harm. Instead, they are meant to demonstrate the range of possible harmful acts and/or subsequent harms that can be influenced by the spread of harmful information. In addition, the typology focuses on harms against people affected by conflict, and predominantly – though not exclusively – on harms affecting civilians. Given this focus, it is beyond the scope of this article to assess contexts other than armed conflict, such as disaster response or social unrest.
Information used for this typology is based entirely on open-source reporting, and no primary sources were used. The authors did not verify any reported incidents or narratives beyond what was included in cited sources. Throughout the report, sources have been redacted from citations where there is a risk of reprinting harmful information or further propagating it, and where redaction was necessary to avoid the impression that the authors were attributing acts to particular groups or actors.
Defining harmful information
The term “harmful information” as used in this article describes particular posts or pieces of content, or narratives (collection of posts or pieces of content espousing a consistent argument or idea), that are (1) false, misleading or hateful, or consist of or encourage violations of international law, in particular IHL, and (2) have the potential to influence harmful acts or otherwise contribute to harm against protected persons in conflict settings.Footnote 12 This definition, which relies on the ICRC's working description of information that is considered potentially harmful to persons affected by armed conflict, includes misinformation,Footnote 13 disinformation,Footnote 14 malinformationFootnote 15 and hate speechFootnote 16 as well as other forms of information that consist of or encourage violations of international law.Footnote 17 The definition intentionally focuses on the harmful effects of information in conflict.Footnote 18 For example, harmful information may not encompass all forms of wartime propaganda, even though such propaganda may involve deception;Footnote 19 however, it may include wartime propaganda when such propaganda has the potential to influence harmful acts or otherwise contribute to harm against people affected by armed conflict.
Theories underpinning the typology
Harmful information, be it particular posts or pieces of content, or else narratives that emerge from consistent threads, can influence the occurrence of harm via subsequent acts committed by an information consumer, or simply by leading to harm by itself with no intervening act. The theoretical assumptions underpinning the typology are that harmful information may be an influential contributor to intervening acts (referred to as “harmful acts” in this typology), or else to harm directly where no intervening act occurs.
Though it is difficult to prove linkages between information and harmful acts, this typology infers connections between the two by looking at timing and content relevance: should a harmful narrative or piece of content be circulating around the time certain harmful acts occur, and the information appears on its face to be relevant to the harmful act, we treat the harmful information as having potentially influentially contributed to the harmful act's occurrence. For example, in an armed conflict, a belligerent may regularly intentionally target civilians from a particular ethnic group at the same time that a harmful narrative targeting this same group is circulating on social media. The typology would assume, in this situation, that the harmful narrative is influentially contributing to the belligerent's behaviour, even where no further evidence exists of such a link. Where no act occurs, we similarly look to the timing and relevance between the information and resulting harm.
In addition, it is inapt to say that harmful information on its own directly causes harmful acts (see Figure 1), because that assertion ignores additional contextual factors that push people to interpret content in a certain light and act on it. Take this example: a piece of content about a man who is a member of an ethnic minority circulates on social media, falsely accusing him of committing an act of sexual violence against a woman who is a member of the ethnic majority group.Footnote 20 The content stokes so much furore that groups of people who read – and believe – the narrative are moved to subsequently attack and injure the falsely accused man and other members of his ethnic group.Footnote 21
In this example, it may seem like the content that was aimed at the man on social media directly caused the harm. However, that interpretation is misleading because it ignores the broader contextual factors that shape the behaviour of those consuming the narrative. In this case, there was a long-standing history of discrimination, stigmatization of the minority group was widespread, and the online information environment was made up of tens of thousands of hateful narratives directed at the minority ethnic group with which the man identified.Footnote 22 Given these various contextual factors, it is misleading to say that the content on its own caused people to take harmful action, although it likely played an important role. Instead, as noted earlier, we consider harmful information spreading on social media to be an influential contributor to harmful acts. Harmful information is part of a broader information environment at or around the time of the event, and this information environment is itself situated within a particular socio-political environment. In situations of armed conflict, the socio-political environment may be particularly fraught, made up of underlying causes of conflict like historical grievances, systematic inequalities, discrimination, intercommunal or ethnic rivalry, or poor governance. These contextual elements – both the information environment and the socio-political environment – form the context within which readers consume information, priming them to interpret content with particular biases and potentially even encouraging them to take action (see Figure 2).Footnote 23
For example, in a long-standing conflict already rife with distrust between two adversaries caused by a history of political violence, a singular hateful post on social media – such as calling for a village inhabited by one side to be “erased” – can be a trigger for violent riots that cause death, injury and property destruction.Footnote 24
Additionally, harmful information spreading on social media platforms can sometimes influentially contribute to harm without a harmful act at all (see Figure 3). For example, malinformation or disinformation about an individual accused of treason can lead to reputational damage and ostracization for that person, as well as triggering psychological distress. This type of harm exists regardless of whether certain acts are committed after such information spreads. Moreover, just like in cases where there are harmful acts, we understand harmful information to be situated within a broader information environment and socio-political context which may cause readers to experience resulting harms in varying ways. For example, referring to a prominent individual as a “traitor” may in some information environments and socio-political contexts result in that person being socially ostracized.
In sum, harmful information may influentially contribute to harm, often (though not exclusively) through subsequent acts. However, harmful information, whether in the form of individual pieces of content or threads that form narratives, does not on its own cause harmful acts or resulting harm. Instead, information is consumed by users within a broader information environment and socio-political context that encourage users to interpret information in particular ways.
The typology of harms influenced by harmful information on social media in conflict settings
The typology presented in this article includes five categories of harm that may result from harmful information spreading on social media: physical, psychological, economic/financial, social/cultural and society-wide. These categories are presented in Table 1, together with the potential harmful acts covered by each category. In Tables 2–6, each category is arranged according to the subsequent harmful act that was or may have been influenced by the spread of harmful information on social media. This structure allows the reader to see how the identified harmful information might influentially contribute to particular harmful acts. Where there is no harmful act, that column is marked as [N/A] to indicate no applicable harmful act. Possible resulting harms are detailed in the furthest right-hand column. Each entry in every row is derived from an example from current or past armed conflicts, based on open-source information researched and decontextualized for the purpose of this typology.
Importantly, in reality, harmful acts often result in a multitude of harms that cross various categories. For example, torture may lead not just to physical harm but also to psychological, financial, social and even society-wide harms. Similarly, harmful information spreading on social media may lead to a multitude of harmful acts, and not just one type of act. In extricating these harmful acts and resulting harms from each other, our intention is to clarify how each may be influenced by information spreading on social media platforms, and not to imply that certain information may have influentially contributed only to particular acts, or that an act only causes a limited range of harms.
Harms to the life and physical well-being of people affected by armed conflict
Harms to the life and physical well-being of people affected by conflict (who are often but not exclusively civilians) are typically readily identifiable, involving acts that result in a person's death, illness or physical injury (see Table 2).Footnote 25 The typology presented in this article identifies the following subsequent harmful acts in armed conflict settings that may result in physical harm and that may potentially be influenced by harmful information on social media: (i) small arms attacks or extrajudicial killings by individuals, communities, police, militia, armed groups and/or parties to an armed conflict; (ii) attacks amounting to genocide; (iii) attacks amounting to crimes against humanity; (iv) torture and other forms of ill-treatment; (v) sexual or gender-based violence; (vi) abductions, including but not limited to forced disappearances or other arbitrary deprivations of liberty; (viii) destruction of goods essential to the survival of the civilian population, such as food or water supplies; (ix) blocking or limiting of access to asylum procedures; (x) denial of life-saving humanitarian assistance; and (xii) taking incorrect and/or unsafe routes for evacuation.Footnote 26 Item (x) refers to situations where life-saving humanitarian and/or medical assistance is blocked or otherwise rendered inaccessible. This could happen through, for example, a physical blockade, the revocation of approval for certain organizations’ operations, or the targeting of humanitarian workers. It could also happen by skewing the decision-making of civilians who believe misinformation or disinformation about certain organizations and choose to avoid their services as a result.
Harms to the economic or financial well-being of people affected by armed conflict
Economic or financial harms to people affected by armed conflict involve monetary losses incurred by individuals as well as broader economic harms on communities.Footnote 80 Those harms could include loss of financial resources, loss of physical property, impoverishment, lack of livelihood, lack of access to economic opportunities or lack of access to necessary services like housing, health care or childcare (see Table 3). Acts that could result in economic or financial harm in armed conflict settings and that may potentially be influenced by harmful information on social media include (i) theft, (ii) property destruction, (iii) blocking or limiting access to employment, (iv) forced evictions (which are cross-listed as social and cultural harms), (v) State-imposed restrictions on social media sites, broadband, telecommunications and/or the internet, and (vi) limiting access to essential services.
Harms to the psychological well-being of people affected by armed conflict
Psychological harms refer to a range of negative responses such as anxiety, fear of bodily harm or injury, fear of retaliation, powerlessness, depression, sleeplessness or an inability to make day-to-day decisions (see Table 4).Footnote 98 It is not uncommon for harms to physical well-being or economic harms of the kind described above to be accompanied by psychological harms.Footnote 99 Moreover, being subjected to a narrative or specific piece of content may cause harm in and of itself without an intermediary harmful act. Other harmful acts that may cause psychological harm in armed conflict settings and that may potentially be influenced by harmful information on social media include (i) security threats such as death threats or bomb threats, (ii) the denial of the occurrence of harmful events, and (iii) corpse desecration.
Harms to the social or cultural well-being of people affected by armed conflict
This category merges two closely related categories of harms: social harms and cultural harms. Harms to the social well-being of people affected by conflict include those that involve their relationships, life activities, and functioning in society.Footnote 110 They typically involve marking an individual or group as “blemished” so that they are viewed as “other” and thereby distinct from mainstream society.Footnote 111 Social harms in this context include reputational harm,Footnote 112 social ostracization, stigmatization and discrimination, while cultural harms include degrading or destroying peoples’ cultural identity, cultural practices or cultural expressions (see Table 5).Footnote 113 Acts in armed conflict settings that may be influenced by harmful information on social media and that may result in social or cultural harms include (i) acts of discrimination; (ii) deportation, displacement, forced evictions or refoulement; and (iii) desecration of cultural property. Note that here, harms in certain cases listed in Table 5 resulted from the harmful information itself without an intervening harmful act.
Society-wide harms
Finally, society-wide harms are those that cause societal unrest and destabilization at scale. They include epistemic insecurity, or the erosion of trust in truth, evidence and evaluative standards;Footnote 124 spreading of societal fear;Footnote 125 “chilling effects” that limit the exercise of certain civil liberties, such as free speech, political participation, religious activity, free association, freedom of belief and freedom to explore ideas;Footnote 126 lack of access to the internet; perpetuating instability or conflict; and entrenching into society disadvantages to and stigmatization of certain groups (see Table 6). The acts examined in this section were potentially influenced by harmful information on social media that can result in such society-wide harms, and include (i) restriction of access to the internet, (ii) patterns of discriminatory acts, and (iii) rejecting peace deals. Again, harms in certain cases resulted from the harmful information itself without an intervening act.
Implications of the typology of harms
This typology is not intended to prove correlation or causation between the spread of a specific narrative or piece of content/post and a particular harm or harmful act. Instead, the typology illustrates how, in the wake of such harmful information spreading on social media, people experienced harm, many times through subsequent acts that appear to have been influenced by the harmful information. In doing so, the typology reinforces the notion that harmful information spreading in times of conflict must be treated as a humanitarian concern because it may influentially contribute to the unnecessary suffering of people affected by armed conflict, undermining their safety and well-being in the process.
While this typology does not attempt to outline possible interventions in response to harmful information spreading during situations of armed conflict, there are several important implications from the typology worth highlighting.
Harmful information is a protection risk
The spread of harmful information presents serious protection risks for people affected by armed conflict. As shown throughout this typology, harmful information can influentially contribute to violent behaviour, it can aggravate discrimination or persecution of minority communities, it can intensify psychological distress, and it can undermine people's ability to make informed decisions about their safety and well-being, to name a few.
These are risks requiring responses that focus not only on the information itself, but also on addressing or preventing potential harmful acts, including risk mitigation strategies that prioritize affected persons’ safety, well-being and resilience.Footnote 140 This means that strategies ought to focus not only on addressing or curbing the information itself, but also on protection approaches that address the behaviour of stakeholders in armed conflict and factors that exacerbate the vulnerabilities of affected people. As a first step, protection-focused organizations working in such contexts should incorporate the spread of harmful information in their risk assessments and protection operations. For other humanitarian organizations operating in such contexts, efforts to detect and/or understand the spread of harmful information in conflict settings will be critical to ensuring that their mandates are carried out. More broadly, protection work should encompass harms related to access to information or exposure to harmful information, and ensure that the full spread of potential harms from such information is addressed.
Addressing harmful information requires a conflict-specific approachFootnote 141
Armed conflict settings have fewer protective guardrails that, in times of peace, might otherwise prevent harmful information from spilling over into offline violence or other harmful acts. Responding to harmful information must therefore incorporate the unique risks and dynamics present during armed conflict by embracing a conflict-specific approach.Footnote 142
Such an approach may require, for example, focusing on information that may not be false, misleading or hateful but still poses serious protection risks.Footnote 143 For instance, political and war-related narratives that escalate existing tensions between two groups may not be false, misleading or hateful, but in armed conflict settings can still trigger acts of violence, and thus would likely fall within the category of harmful information. Another example is a narrative that discourages humanitarians from providing care to people who live in an area controlled by an opposition group. Such information is not necessarily false, misleading or hateful, but it may actively impact certain communities’ access to care, and thus could have deleterious effects. Information should be approached with these and other risks that are unique to armed conflict settings in mind.
A conflict-specific approach should also respect different identities and grievances, and should, in doing so, be sensitive to certain counter-speech or fact-checking interventions that could further fuel tensions. For example, recent research has found that fact-checks may further polarize attitudes if they include vitriolic or contentious language.Footnote 144 In an armed conflict, what language is considered vitriolic or contentious may vary depending on a person's identity or grievances, and sensitivity around such issues must be incorporated into any response strategy. One generic approach that may avoid such risks might simply be to prioritize access to reliable information and connectivity, taking active measures to address information vacuums that may otherwise give space for the spread of harmful information.Footnote 145 In addition, intervenors may seek to empower users directly, giving them tools that help them identify false or provocative narratives, raise their awareness about the risks associated with spreading harmful content, and assist with protecting their mental and psychological well-being.Footnote 146
Relatedly, a conflict-specific approach will require a deep understanding of the local socio-political context. This is important because, as discussed earlier in this article, information is not simply shared and interpreted in a vacuum. Instead, users share and interpret information within a particular socio-political context, and in an armed conflict setting, this context often includes underlying tensions and grievances. Understanding this context will help stakeholders, including content moderators, civil society actors, protection officials and humanitarians, determine which information is more likely to influentially contribute to harmful acts and thus react more effectively.
Finally, though social media platforms are not content generators themselves, their models and policies directly influence the reach, promotion or demotion of certain information.Footnote 147 Social media companies should adapt their policies to armed conflict situations to address the spread of information that is potentially harmful to people's physical safety and psychological integrity, as others have argued.Footnote 148 This may require, for example, serious investment in adequate content moderation capacities for particular languages, context-specific implementation of platform policies, and crisis response teams focused on particular armed conflict settings, equipped with a deep local understanding of that context and able to respond swiftly to identified harmful information that risks influencing harmful acts.Footnote 149
Harmful information could trigger certain provisions under international law
As detailed in the above typology, harmful information may influentially contribute to harm experienced by people affected by armed conflict, including but not limited to civilians. Some of these contributions could conceivably trigger certain provisions under international law, including under IHL, IHRL and international criminal law.Footnote 150 Such provisions include the IHL prohibition on threats of violence whose primary purpose is to spread terror among civilians;Footnote 151 the IHRL prohibition on speech that incites violence or discrimination, along with IHRL's prohibition on propaganda for war;Footnote 152 and the war crime under international criminal law that prohibits “willfully causing great suffering, or serious injury to body or health” for international armed conflicts.Footnote 153 Although spelling out all applicable international laws and their varying jurisdictional reaches is beyond the scope of this typology, responses to harmful information in times of armed conflict should connect various protective legal frameworks where relevant.
In addition, freedom of expression rights under IHRL should be incorporated into any response strategy. Admittedly, however, the proper balance between protecting freedom of expression rights and protecting people from other harms prohibited by IHRL that may be influenced by harmful information, such as torture or extrajudicial killings, is not altogether clear.Footnote 154 Indeed, each aim suggests seemingly opposite approaches for handling protection risks that arise from harmful information, and while IHRL acknowledges the potential need to curtail freedom of expression where the rights of others are implicated, it does not clarify the extent to which freedom of expression can or should be curtailed.Footnote 155 What is clear is that blunt information restrictions based on vague information categories would likely simply exacerbate the harm experienced by people affected by armed conflict, for example by restricting their access to reliable information.Footnote 156 Instead, strategies with clearly defined, limited restrictions curbing the spread of harmful information could minimize the impact on freedom of expression rights.Footnote 157
Finally, although many relevant international law provisions may not implicate social media companies directly,Footnote 158 such companies should further their own commitments under IHRL by conducting heightened due diligence, as recommended in the United Nations (UN) Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights, and evaluating the human rights and humanitarian impacts of their operations in armed conflict contexts.Footnote 159
Harmful information may have long-term consequences for societies
Finally, the spread of harmful information in conflict settings can have consequences beyond an individual event or incident. As described in the typology, such long-term society-wide consequences include, but are not limited to, the erosion of trust in truth,Footnote 160 long-term societal spreading of fear,Footnote 161 and “chilling effects” that effectively silence people's speech and expression.Footnote 162 Of equal importance in the context of armed conflict, the spread of harmful information may also reinforce group stigmatization or promote patterns of discrimination and polarization between opposing sides.Footnote 163 These and other societal consequences may be unintended, delayed, or difficult to recognize, but they are important to highlight because they may have serious secondary repercussions in situations of armed conflict, like lowering prospects for conflict resolution or decreasing respect for IHL.Footnote 164
To safeguard societal resilience and protect people from repeated manipulation, investments should be made into programmes that reinforce critical thinking and equip people with the awareness, literacy and skills to address information-related risks themselves.Footnote 165 Information alone is not harmful, but it becomes so when people's grievances are exploited, their beliefs polarized, or their trust manipulated or otherwise diminished. Reinforcing people's ability to discern the information they consume should be a response priority, and particularly so during situations of armed conflict, when people and societies are vulnerable to information manipulation and exploitation. Doing so not only minimizes harmful effects from information now but also promotes societal resilience for the future.
Conclusion
Harm to people affected by conflict – including but not exclusively civilians – is often caused by the means and methods of warfare, along with supplementary violent behaviour by belligerents. Yet in the digital age, information-related threats pose additional protection risks to people affected by conflict. Harmful information, as mapped in the typology presented in this article, can contribute to a multitude of harms to individuals, communities and even societies at large during armed conflict. Harms may be physical, but they may also be economic or financial, psychological, cultural or social, or even society-wide. Information may influentially contribute to harmful acts, but it may also influentially contribute to harm in and of itself, with no intervening act at all. These information-related harms occur on top of harms already experienced from the inherently violent and destabilizing nature of conflict, increasing the suffering experienced by people caught in the middle of conflict. By mapping such information-related harms, this typology frames harmful information as a protection risk and not just a communications concern.
Though a full discussion of potential responses to harmful information that spreads during armed conflict is beyond the scope of this article, at a minimum, such responses must be conflict-specific. As detailed above, this means that curbing the spread of harmful information should be complemented by harm mitigation measures and efforts to address the behaviour of State and non-State actors who may act on harmful information. Efforts to improve access to connectivity and to trusted information in times of conflict should be prioritized. Finally, activities that foster media literacy and assist people in discerning false, hateful or misleading content may help to mitigate some of the harmful effects of harmful information, and ought to be pursued even before an armed conflict arises. More research should be pursued that measures the efficacy of certain interventions, but one thing is certain: harmful information produces a wide range of harms, and it should be taken seriously as a protection risk for civilians, prisoners of war and others caught in the middle of armed conflict.