Published online by Cambridge University Press: 09 February 2009
For over thirty years demography has featured prominently on the urban history agenda. As long ago as 1963, in an article subtitled ‘On broadening the relevance and scope of urban history’, Eric Lampard emphasized that ‘An autonomous social history ought to begin with a study of population: its changing distribution in time and space’. In 1968 Leo Schnore suggested concentration upon ‘the demographic and ecological aspects of urban life’, according demography the number one priority. Leading British urban historians and historical geographers repeated such injunctions in the 1970s, emphasizing how little was known about even the most basic aspects of pre-industrial urban populations and how far British researchers lagged behind their continental colleagues in the field of urban demography. Unfortunately the response of the last generation of researchers to these precepts has been decidedly muted, and pre-industrial urban demography in England remains in its infancy.
My thanks to Peter Borsay and Rab Houston for their very helpful comments on an earlier draft of this paper.
1 Lampard, E.E., ‘Urbanisation and social change: on broadening the scope and relevance of urban history’, in Handlin, O. and Burchard, J. (eds), The Historian and the City (Cambridge, Mass., 1963), 236.Google Scholar
2 Schnore, L., ‘Problems in the quantitative study of urban history’, in Dyos, H. J. (ed.), The Study of Urban History (London, 1968), 197.Google Scholar
3 Clark, P., ‘Introduction: the early modern town in the West’, in Clark, P. (ed.), The Early Modern Town (London, 1976), 26;Google Scholar Patten, J., English Towns 1500–1700 (Folkestone, 1978), 95.Google Scholar
4 Chalkin, C.W., The Provincial Towns of Georgian England: A Study of the Building Process, 1740–1820 (London, 1974);CrossRefGoogle Scholar Corfield, P.J., The Impact of English Towns 1700–1800 (Oxford, 1982)Google Scholar and ‘Economic growth and change in seventeenth-century English towns’, in Phythian-Adams, C. (ed.), The Traditional Community Under Stress (Milton Keynes, 1977), 33–71;Google Scholar Corfield, P., ‘Urban development in England and Wales in the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries’, in Coleman, D.C. and John, A.H. (eds), Trade, Government and Economy in Pre-industrial England (London, 1976);Google Scholar Dyer, A.D., ‘Growth and decay in English towns’, Urban History Yearbook (1979), 60–72;CrossRefGoogle Scholar Everitt, A., ‘Urban growth, 1570–1770’, Local Historian, 8 (1968), 118–25Google Scholar, and ‘The market town’, in Clark, , The Early Modern Town, 168–204;Google Scholar Law, C.M., ‘Some notes on the population of England and Wales in the eighteenth century’, Local Historian, 10 (1972), 13–26;Google Scholar Palliser, D., Tudor York (Oxford, 1979)Google Scholar, ch. 5; Patten, J., Rural-Urban Migration in Pre-Industrial England, University of Oxford School of Geography Research Paper no. 6, 1973Google Scholar, and ‘Population distribution in Norfolk and Suffolk during the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries’, Institute of British Geographers Transactions, 65 (1975), 45–65;CrossRefGoogle Scholar Phythian-Adams, C., ‘Urban decay in late medieval England’, in Abrams, P. and Wrigley, E.A. (eds), Towns in Societies (Cambridge, 1978), 159–85Google Scholar, and ‘Dr Dyer's urban undulations’, Urban History Yearbook (1979), 73–6;CrossRefGoogle Scholar Reed, M., ‘Economic structure and change in seventeenth-century Ipswich’, in Clark, P. (ed.), Country Towns in Pre-industrial England (Leicester, 1981)Google Scholar, and English Towns in Decline 1350–1800, University of Leicester Centre for Urban History, Working Paper no. 1,1986; Sharlin, A., ‘Natural decrease in early modern cities: a reconsideration’, Past and Present, 79 (1978), 126–38;CrossRefGoogle Scholar Slack, P. et al. , The Plague Reconsidered: A New Look at its Origins and Effects in Sixteenth and Seventeenth Century England (Matlock, 1977);Google Scholar Slack, P., The Impact of Plague in Tudor and Stuart England (Oxford, 1985).Google Scholar
5 For instance Appleby, A.B., ‘Nutrition and disease: the case of London, 1550–1750’, Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 6 (1975);CrossRefGoogle Scholar Finlay, R.A.P., Population and Metropolis: the Demography of London, 1580–1650 (Cambridge, 1981);CrossRefGoogle Scholar Beier, A.L. and Finlay, R. (eds), The Making of the Metropolis: London 1500–1700 (London, 1986);Google Scholar Boulton, J.P., Neighbourhood and Society. A London Suburb in the Seventeenth Century (Cambridge, 1987);CrossRefGoogle Scholar Rappaport, S., Worlds Within Worlds: Structures of Life in Sixteenth-Century London (Cambridge, 1989);CrossRefGoogle Scholar Landers, J., Death and the Metropolis. Studies in the Demographic History of London 1670–1830 (Cambridge, 1993).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
6 Patten, J., English Towns, 124;Google Scholar Bairoch, P., ‘Urbanization and the economy in pre-industrial societies: the findings of two decades of research’, Journal of European Economic History, 18 (1989), 262:Google Scholar Houston, R.A., The Population History of Britain and Ireland 1500–1750 (Basingstoke, 1992), 53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
7 Clark, P., Gaskin, K. and Wilson, A., Population Estimates of English Small Towns 1550–1851, Centre for Urban History Working Paper no. 3 (Leicester, 1989).Google Scholar
8 Wrigley, E.A. and Schofield, R.S., The Population History of England 1541–1871: A Reconstruction (London, 1981).Google Scholar
9 Dyer, A.D., Decline and Growth in English Towns 1400–1640 (Basingstoke, 1991), 9;CrossRefGoogle Scholar Houston, R.A., Population History, passim.Google Scholar
10 This echoes the view of Walter, John, ‘The social economy of dearth in early modern England’, in Walter, J. and Schofield, R.S. (eds), Famine, Disease and the Social Order in Early Modern Society (Cambridge, 1989), 197.CrossRefGoogle Scholar Schurer, K. and Arkell, T. (eds), Surveying the People. The Interpretation and Use of Document Sources for the Study of Population in the Later Seventeenth Century (Oxford, 1992) represents a valuable step in the right direction.Google Scholar
11 Corfield, , ‘Economic growth and change’; Houston, Population History, Table 1,32.Google Scholar
12 de Vries, J., European Urbanisation, 1500–1800 (London, 1984).Google Scholar
13 Ibid., 58–60.
14 Ibid., 66,118–20. Cf. Wrigley, E.A., ‘City and country in the past: a sharp divide or a continuum?’, Historical Research, 64 (1991), 109.CrossRefGoogle Scholar Here it is suggested that the rank-size rule works reasonably well, and the source cited is again de Vries.
15 For instance, P. Corfield, ‘Economic growth and change’; Corfield, ‘Urban development in England and Wales’; Patten, J., English Towns 1500–1700 (Folkestone, 1978)Google Scholar, Table 2, 42; Phythian-Adams, C., Desolation of a City: Coventry and the Urban Crisis of the Later Middle Ages (Cambridge, 1979)Google Scholar, Table 3,12; Chalklin, , ‘The Provincial Towns of Georgian England’, Table 1,18;Google Scholar Clark, Gaskin and Wilson, Population Estimates.
16 Phythian-Adams, , ‘Urban decay’, 170–3;Google Scholar Goose, , ‘In search of the urban variable’, 183–4 and n. 102. A paper discussing the 1524–25 subsidies as a source for urban populations is in preparation.Google Scholar
17 For instance, Goose, N., ‘The ecclesiastical returns of 1563: a cautionary note’, Local Population Studies, 34 (1985), 46–7;Google Scholar Schurer, and Arkell, , Surveying the People, chs 5–7.Google Scholar
18 The Small Towns Project, for instance, following T. Arkell, appears not to have made any allowance for paupers, missing from these lists though not requiring exemption certificates: Clark, , Gaskin, and Wilson, , ‘Population estimates’, vi;Google Scholar Arkell, T., ‘Multiplying factors for estimating population totals from the Hearth Tax’, Local Population Studies, 28 (1982), 51–7;Google Scholar Meekings, C.A.F., Dorset Hearth Tax Assessments 1662–4, Dorset Natural History and Archaeological Society (Dorchester, 1951);Google Scholar Meekings, C.A.F., The Surrey Hearth Tax of 1664, Surrey Record Society, 17 (1940).Google Scholar
19 For instance, D.E.C. Eversley, ‘Population, economy and society’, 32 and ‘A survey of population in an area of Worcestershire’, 395–8, both in Eversley, D.E.C. and Glass, D.V. (eds), Population in History (London, 1974);Google Scholar Wrigley, ‘Births and baptisms’; Schofield, R.S. and Midi Berry, B., ‘Age at baptism in pre-industrial England’, Population Studies, 25 (1971), 453–64;Google Scholar Flinn, M.W., The European Demographic System, 1500–1820 (Brighton, 1981), 5–9;Google Scholar Wrigley, and Schofield, , The Population History, 1–5, 15–32, 89–102.Google Scholar
20 For instance, Palliser, Tudor York, Table 1,126; Patten, , English Towns, 141–5;Google Scholar Goose, , ‘Household size and structure’, 354–5.Google Scholar
21 Cambridgeshire C.R.O., unpubl. transcript of St Edward register, 113–62; Hertfordshire C.R.O., St Albans parish registers, D/P 90 1/1,921/1,93 1/1,94 1/1 and 1/2; Finlay, , Population and Metropolis, 137.CrossRefGoogle Scholar See also Snell, K.D.M., ‘Parish registration and the study of labour mobility’, Local Population Studies, 33 (1984).Google Scholar
22 Hertfordshire C.R.O., D/P 94 1/1; Brigg, W., Parish Registers of St Albans Abbey 1558–1689 (Harpenden, 1897), 159–67.Google Scholar
23 Goose, N., ‘Economic and social aspects of provincial towns: a comparative study of Cambridge, Colchester and Reading 1500–1700’ (unpublished Ph.D. thesis, University of Cambridge, 1984), 280–1;Google Scholar Wrigley, and Schofield, , The Population History, Table A3.1,528.Google Scholar
24 This is a problem with most national or regional studies, including Patten, ‘Population distribution’, 54–62; Corfield, ‘Economic growth and change’.
25 Wrigley, E.A., ‘Urban growth and agricultural change: England and the Continent in the early modern period’, Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 15 (1985), 684–95.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
26 Palliser, , Tudor York, 114.Google Scholar
27 F. Lewis and M. Power, paper delivered to Early Modern Economic and Social History Seminar, Institute of Historical Research, 12 November 1993.
28 For instance, the calculation of expectation of life on the basis of mortality rates for children aged 1–14 with the assistance of model life tables: Finlay, , Population and Metropolis, 108, 110.Google Scholar
29 Hollingsworth, T.H., Review of R. Finlay, Population and Metropolis. The Demography of London 1580–1650, in Economic History Review, 35 (1982), 306;Google Scholar Laxton, P., Review of Finlay, Population and Metropolis, in Urban History Yearbook (1983), 186–7.Google Scholar
30 I understand that Chris Galley of the Borthwick Institute is currently engaged in a reconstitution study of York, and hope that his results confound my scepticism.
31 Clark, P. and Slack, P., English Towns in Transition 1500–1700 (Oxford, 1976), 84;Google Scholar Goose, , ‘Economic and social aspects’, 255–7.Google Scholar
32 Corfield, , The Impact of English Towns, ch. 1.Google Scholar
33 Goose, N., ‘In search of the urban variable: towns and the English economy, 1500–1650’, Economic History Review, 39 (1986);CrossRefGoogle Scholar Dyer, , Decline and Growth, 53–4.Google Scholar
34 For example, Houston, , Population History, 53, 61Google Scholar, where evidence is cited from just London and Chester, ; Clark, The Early Modem Town, 26;Google Scholar Corfield, , ‘Economic growth and change’, 46;Google Scholar Patten, , English Towns, 124–5;Google Scholar Smith, R.M., ‘Population and its geography in England’, in Dogshon, R.A. and Butlin, R.A. (eds), An Historical Geography of England and Wales (London, 1978);Google Scholar Clay, C.G.A., Economic Expansion and Social Change: England 1500–1700. Vol. 1 People, Land and Towns (Cambridge, 1984), 188–9;Google Scholar Whyte, I.D., ‘Urbanization in early modern Scotland: a preliminary analysis’, Scottish Economic and Social History, 9 (1989), 32–3;CrossRefGoogle Scholar Bairoch, , ‘Urbanization and the economy’, 250, 261–2.Google Scholar
35 The point has been made before in Goose, , ‘In search of the urban variable’, 179.Google Scholar
36 Palliser, , Tudor York, 125–7;Google Scholar Dyer, , The City of Worcester in the Sixteenth Century (Leicester, 1973), 26–7;Google Scholar Reed, M., ‘Economic structure and change in seventeenth-century Ipswich’, in Clark, Country Towns, 94–5;Google Scholar Phythian-Adams, , Desolation of a City, 237Google Scholar and n. 27; Ripley, P., ‘Parish register evidence for the population of Gloucester 1562–1641’, Bristol and Gloucestershire Archaeological Society Transactions, 91 (1972), 203;Google Scholar Gillett, E. and MacMahon, K.A., A History of Hull (Hull, 1989), 161;Google Scholar Crossley, A. (ed.), VCH Oxfordshire Vol. IV: The City of Oxford (Oxford, 1979), 76;Google Scholar Willan, T.S., Elizabethan Manchester (Manchester, 1980), 39;Google Scholar Pickard, R., The Population and Epidemics of Exeter in Pre-Census Times (Exeter, 1947)Google Scholar, Tables I and II; Goose, , ‘Economic and social aspects’, 258–76.Google Scholar
37 Wrigley, E.A., ‘Births and baptisms: the use of Anglican parish registers as a source of information about the number of births in England before the beginning of civil registration’, Population Studies, 31 (1977), 281;CrossRefGoogle Scholar Wrigley, and Schofield, , The Population History, 97, 101, 140–1. No information is available on how factors making for under-registration may have specifically affected towns.Google Scholar
38 In Cambridge a surplus was achieved in every quinquennium but one between 1561 and 1600, followed by substantial net loss in the first 40 years of the seventeenth century, whilst Reading, like Worcester, produced a substantial surplus in the early seventeenth century despite considerable expansion: Goose, ‘Economic and social aspects’, Tables 4.5 and 4.7, 260, 268; Dyer, , Worcester, ch. 2.Google Scholar
39 Chambers, J.D., ‘Population change in a provincial town: Nottingham, 1700–1800’, in Pressnell, L.S. (ed.), Studies in the Industrial Revolution (London, 1960);Google Scholar Corfield, , Impact of English Towns 1700–1800 (Oxford, 1982), 110–18.Google Scholar Wrigley offered the view that towns generally produced a deficit in the later seventeenth century at the Early Modern Towns conference held at the Institute of Historical Research, 21 November 1992.
40 Peter Borsay upholds the view that Tudor and early Stuart towns largely attracted ‘subsistence’ migrants, ‘driven from the countryside’ and constituting a ‘debilitating’ influence, unlike the typical Restoration migrant who came ‘in hope of personal betterment’ within an altogether more ‘positive context’. No detailed demographic data is cited, however, a fact instructive in itself: Borsay, P. (ed.), The Eighteenth Century Town. A Reader in English Urban History 1688–1820 (London, 1990), 8Google Scholar; Borsay, P., The English Urban Renaissance: Culture and Society in the Provincial Town, 1660–1770 (Oxford, 1989), 20.Google Scholar
41 For example, Slack, , The Impact of Plague, 116–17, 121–6, 128;Google Scholar Goose, , ‘Household size and structure’;Google Scholar Goose, , ‘Economic and social aspects’, 262–3, 267, 271, 314–15.Google Scholar
42 Most recently Houston, , Population History, 61.Google Scholar
43 Goose, , ‘Economic and social aspects’, 278–9.Google Scholar
44 Calculations from Wrigley, and Schofield, , The Population History, Tables A2.3 and A3.3, 497, 532.Google Scholar
45 Goose, , ‘Economic and social aspects’, 310–11;Google Scholar Finlay, Population and Metropolis, 112–18.Google Scholar
46 Landers, , Death and the Metropolis.Google Scholar
47 Wrigley, and Schofield, , The Population History, 189–90. Changing age-specific mortality, migration and age structure will all affect the figures.Google Scholar
48 Cf. Gottfried, R.S., Epidemie Disease in Fifteenth Century England. The Medical Response and the Demographic Consequences (Leicester, 1978).Google Scholar
49 Gunn, P.A., ‘Detecting the rhythm of life in small communities’, History and Computing, 3 (1991), 151–60.Google Scholar
50 Outhwaite, R.B., Dearth, Public Policy and Social Disturbance in England, 1550–1800 (Basingstoke, 1991);CrossRefGoogle Scholar Power, M.J., ‘A “crisis” reconsidered: social and demographic dislocation in London in the 1590s’, The London Journal, 12 (1986), 137–43CrossRefGoogle Scholar: Slack, , Impact of Plague, 73–7, 131Google Scholar; Goose, , ‘Economic and social aspects’, 316–22.Google Scholar
51 For a similar injunction see Rodger, R., ‘Urban history: prospect and retrospect’, Urban History, 19 (1992), 20.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
52 See, for instance, Clark, P. and Souden, D. (eds), Migration and Society in Early Modern England (London, 1987);Google Scholar Patten, J., Rural-urban Migration in Pre-industrial England, University of Oxford School of Geography Research Paper no. 6 (Oxford, 1973);Google Scholar Merson, A.L. (ed.), A Calendar of Southampton Apprentice Registers 1609–1740, Southampton Record Series, 12 (Southampton, 1968);Google Scholar Smith, S.R., ‘The social and geographical origins of the London apprentices, 1630–1660’, The Guildhall Miscellany, 4 (1973), 195–206;Google Scholar Kitch, M.J., ‘Capital and kingdom: migration to later Stuart London’, in Beier, A.L. and Finlay, R. (eds), London 1500–1700: Population and Metropolis (London, 1986);Google Scholar Ben-Amos, I.K., ‘Failure to become freemen: urban apprentices in early modern England’, Social History, 16 (1991), 155–72;CrossRefGoogle Scholar Palliser, D.M., ‘A regional capital as magnet: immigrants to York, 1477–1566’, The Yorkshire Archaeological Journal, 57 (1985), 111–23.Google Scholar For a valuable discussion in the European context see de, Vries, European Urbanisation, 199–249.Google Scholar
53 A start is made in Slack, , Impact of Plague, 128, 139–42, 160–1, 272–3;Google Scholar Goose, N., ‘The “Dutch” in Colchester: the economic impact of an immigrant community in the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries’, Immigrants and Minorities, 1 (1982), 261–80. Paul Laxton has an important unpublished paper on the demographic experiences of the immigrant community in Norwich.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
54 Houston, , Population History, 90.Google Scholar
55 On the contrast between England and the US in this respect see Cannadine, D., ‘Urban history in the United Kingdom: the “Dyos phenomenon” and after’, in Cannadine, D. and Reeder, D. (eds), Exploring the Urban Past: Essays in Urban History by H.J. Dyos (Cambridge, 1982), 213–14;CrossRefGoogle Scholar Walton, J.K., ‘English urban history, 1500–1914’, Journal of Urban History, 15 (1988), 82.CrossRefGoogle Scholar