Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-jkksz Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T07:46:27.608Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Turnout Rate among Eligible Voters in the States, 1980–2000

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 January 2021

Michael P. McDonald*
Affiliation:
University of Illinois at Springfield

Abstract

Aggregate voter turnout rates in the United States have been used in many political science studies, as both a dependent and an independent variable. Most of these studies use the voting-age population as the denominator in their turnout rate measure. However, the voting-age population is not the same as the population of eligible voters. I demonstrate why this distinction matters and outline the steps to construct the voting-eligible population for each of the states from 1980–2000 to provide more accurate measures of state-level voter turnout rates.

Type
The Practical Researcher
Copyright
Copyright © The American Political Science Association, 2002

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Alvarez, Michael R., Ansolabehere, Steven, Antonsson, Erik, Bruck, Jehoshua, Graves, Steven, Palfrey, Thomas, Rivest, Ron, Selker, Ted, Slocum, Alex, and Stewart, Charles III. 2001. “Voting: What Is, What Could Be.” Pasadena, CA: Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project.Google Scholar
Andrews, William. 1966. “American Voting Participation.” Western Political Quarterly 19: 636652.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bruce, Peter. 1997. “Measuring Things: How the Experts Got Voter Turnout Wrong Last Year.” The Public Perspective October: 39-43.Google Scholar
Burnham, Walter Dean. 1987. “The Turnout Problem.” In Elections American Style, ed. Reichley, A. James. Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Clark, Rebecca L., and Anderson, Scott A.. 2000. “Illegal Aliens in Federal, State, and Local Criminal Systems.” Washington, DC: The Urban Institute.Google Scholar
Crocker, Royce. 1996. “Voter Registration and Turnout: 1948-1994.” CRS Report for Congress: CRS-122. Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service.Google Scholar
Crocker, Royce. 1997. “Voter Registration and Turnout: 1996.” Memorandum. Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service.Google Scholar
Crocker, Royce. 1999. “Voter Registration and Turnout: 1998.” Memorandum. Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service.Google Scholar
Day, Jennifer C. 1998. “Projections of the Voting-Age Population for States: November 1998.” Current Population Reports, P25-1132. Washington, DC: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.Google Scholar
Erikson, Robert S. 1995. “State Turnout and Presidential Voting: A Closer Look.” American Politics Quarterly 23(4): 387396.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fellner, Jamie, and Mauer, Marc. 1998. “Losing the Vote: The Impact of Felony Disenfran-chisement (sic) Laws in the United States.” Washington, DC: Human Rights Watch and The Sentencing Project.Google Scholar
Franklin, Daniel P., and Grier, Eric E.. 1997. “Effects of Motor Voter Legislation: Voter Turnout, Registration, and Partisan Advantage in the 1992 Presidential Election.” American Politics Quarterly 25(1): 104117.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fenster, Mark J. 1994. “The Impact of Allowing Day of Registration Voting on Turnout in U.S. Elections from 1960 to 1992: A Research Note.” American Politics Quarterly 22(1): 7487.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gans, Curtis. 1997. “Measuring Things: How the Experts Got Voter Turnout Wrong Last Year.” The Public Perspective October: 44-8.Google Scholar
Hill, Kim Quaile, and Leighley, Jan E.. 1999. “Racial Diversity, Voter Turnout, and Mobilizing Institutions in the United States.” American Politics Quarterly 27(3): 275295.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Knack, Steven. 1995. “Does ‘Motor Voter’ Work? Evidence from State-Level Data.” Journal of Politics 57(3): 796811.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Love, Margaret C., and Kuzma, Susan M.. 1996. “Civil Disabilities of Felons: A State-by-State Survey.” Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, Office of the Pardon Attorney.Google Scholar
Martinez, Michael D., and Hill, David. 1999. “Did Motor Voter Work?American Politics Quarterly 27(3): 296315.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McDonald, Michael P., and Popkin, Samuel. 2001. “The Myth of the Vanishing Voter.” American Political Science Review 95(4): 963974.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Radcliff, Benjamin. 1994. “Turnout and the Democratic Vote.” American Politics Quarterly 22 (3): 259276.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rhine, Staci L. 1995. “Registration Reform and Turnout Change in the American States.” American Politics Quarterly 23(4): 409426.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tolbert, Caroline J., Grummel, John A., and Smith, Daniel A.. 2001. “The Effects of Ballot Initiatives on Voter Turnout in the American States.” American Politics Research 29(6): 625648.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Various years. Current Population Survey: Voter Supplement File, various years [Computer File]. ICPSR version. Washington, DC: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of the Census [producer], various years. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], various years.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 2001. “Preliminary Estimates Show Improvement in Census 2000 Coverage.” Washington, DC: Department of Commerce.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics. Various years. Correctional Populations in the United States, various years. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics. 1996. “Non-Citizens in the Federal Criminal Justice System, 1984-1994.” NCJ-160934. Washington, DC: Department of Justice.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics. 2000. “U.S. Correctional Population Reaches 6.3 Million Men and Women, Represents 3.1 Percent of the Adult U.S. Population.” Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics.Google Scholar
U.S. General Accounting Office. 1997. “2000 Census: Progress Made on Design But RisksGoogle Scholar