Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-mkpzs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-26T20:04:22.832Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Explaining the Persistence and Eventual Decline of the Gender Gap in Voter Registration and Turnout in the American South, 1956–1980

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 January 2016

Abstract

Recent studies of the gender gap in politics tend to focus on candidate choice rather than registration and turnout. This shift in focus away from gender inequality in political participation may be due to the finding in several studies of U.S. voting behavior since 1980 that differences in rates of registration and voting between men and women are modest and not statistically significant after controlling for traditional predictors of participation. However, we argue that researchers have overlooked the substantial gender gap in registration and voting in the South. While the gender gap in participation virtually disappeared outside the South by the 1950s, substantial gender differences in rates of voter registration and turnout remained in the South throughout the 1950s and 1960s. We test several explanations for the persistence of the gender gap in registration and voting in the South in the 1950s and 1960s and why it began to decline in the 1970s. These explanations include female labor force participation, resources, mobilization, and political engagement. Using American National Election Studies data for every presidential election year from 1956 to 1980, we employ heteroscedastic probit models within a cross-classified multilevel age-period-cohort framework to examine the declining gender gap in voter registration and turnout in the South. The results indicate that the decline of the gender gap is due to converging rates of political engagement and employment for women and men in the South during this time period. We conclude with a discussion of the theoretical implications.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Social Science History Association 2010 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Allison, Paul D. (1999) “Comparing logit and probit coefficients across groups.Sociological Methods and Research 28: 186208.Google Scholar
Amemiya, Takeshi (1981) “Qualitative response models.Journal of Economic Literature 19: 14831536.Google Scholar
Andersen, Kristi (1975) “Working women and political participation, 1952–1972.American Journal of Political Science 19: 439–53.Google Scholar
Bartley, Numan V. (1995) The New South, 1945–1980. Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Press.Google Scholar
Black, Earl, and Black, Merle (1987) Politics and Society in the South. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Bourque, Susan C., and Grossholtz, Jean (1974) “Politics an unnatural practice: Political science looks at female participation.Politics and Society 4: 225–66.Google Scholar
Brady, Henry E., Verba, Sidney, and Schlozman, Kay Lehman (1995) “Beyond SES: A resource model of political participation.American Political Science Review 89: 271–94.Google Scholar
Braungart, Richard G., and Braungart, Margaret M. (1975) “Family, school, and personal political factors in student politics: A case study of the 1972 presidential election.Journal of Marriage and the Family 37: 823–39.Google Scholar
Burns, Nancy, Schlozman, Kay Lehman, and Verba, Sidney (2001) The Private Roots of Public Action: Gender, Equality, and Political Participation. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Campbell, Angus, Converse, Philip E., Miller, Warren E., and Stokes, Donald E. (1960) The American Voter. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Ferree, Myra Marx, and Hess, Beth B. (2000) Controversy and Coalition: The New Feminist Movement across Four Decades of Change. 3rd ed. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Firebaugh, Glenn (1997) Analyzing Repeated Surveys. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.Google Scholar
Freeman, Joe (1973) “The origins of the women's liberation movement.American Journal of Sociology 78: 792–811.Google Scholar
Fullerton, Andrew S., and Borch, Casey (2008) “Reconsidering explanations for regional convergence in voter registration and turnout in the United States, 1956–2000.Sociological Forum 23: 755–85.Google Scholar
Heckman, James J. (1979) “Sample selection bias as a specification error.Econometrica 47: 153–62.Google Scholar
Key, V. O. Jr. (1949) Southern Politics in State and Nation. Knoxville: University of Tennessee Press.Google Scholar
Klein, Ethel (1984) Gender Politics: From Consciousness to Mass Politics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Kleppner, Paul (1982) “Were women to blame? Female suffrage and voter turnout.Journal of Interdisciplinary History 12: 621–43.Google Scholar
Leighly, Jan E., and Nagler, Jonathan (2007) “Unions, voter turnout, and class bias in the U.S. electorate, 1964–2004.Journal of Politics 69: 430–41.Google Scholar
Manza, Jeff, and Brooks, Clem (1998) “The gender gap in U.S. presidential elections: When? Why? Implications?American Journal of Sociology 103: 1235–66.Google Scholar
McDonagh, Eileen (1982) “To work or not to work: The differential impact of achieved and derived status upon the political participation of women, 1956–1976.American Journal of Political Science 26: 280–97.Google Scholar
Minkoff, Debra C. (1995) Organizing for Equality: The Evolution of Women's and Racial-Ethnic Organizations in America, 1955–1985. New Brunswick, NJ: Rutgers University Press.Google Scholar
Radcliff, Benjamin (2001) “Organized labor and electoral participation in American national elections.Journal of Labor Research 22: 405–14.Google Scholar
Rosenstone, Steven J., and Hansen, John Mark (1993) Mobilization, Participation, and Democracy in America. New York: Macmillan.Google Scholar
Ruggles, Steven, Sobek, Matthew, Alexander, Trent, Fitch, Catherine A., Goeken, Ronald, Hall, Patricia Kelly, King, Miriam, and Ronnander, Chad (2008) Integrated Public Use Microdata Series: Version 4.0 [machine-readable dataset]. Minneapolis: Minnesota Population Center.Google Scholar
Sapiro, Virginia (1983) The Political Integration of Women. Urbana: University of Illinois Press.Google Scholar
Sapiro, Virginia, Rosenstone, Steven J., and the National Election Studies (2004) American National Election Studies Cumulative Data File, 1948–2002 [computer file]. 12th Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research version. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan, Center for Political Studies; Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research.Google Scholar
Schlozman, Kay Lehman, Burns, Nancy, and Verba, Sidney (1994) “Gender and the pathways to participation: The role of resources.Journal of Politics 56: 963–90.Google Scholar
Schlozman, Kay Lehman, Burns, Nancy, and Verba, Sidney (1999) “What happened at work today? A multistage model of gender, employment, and political participation.Journal of Politics 61: 2953.Google Scholar
Stanley, Harold W. (1987) Voter Mobilization and the Politics of Race: The South and Universal Suffrage, 1952–1984. New York: Praeger.Google Scholar
Taylor, A. Elizabeth (1957) The Woman Suffrage Movement in Tennessee. New York: Bookman.Google Scholar
Taylor, A. Elizabeth (1995) “Tennessee: The thirty-sixth state,” in Wheeler, Marjorie Spruill (ed.) Votes for Women! The Woman Suffrage Movement in Tennessee, the South, and the Nation. Knoxville: University of Tennessee Press: 5370.Google Scholar
Timpone, Richard J. (1995) “Mass mobilization or government intervention? The growth of black registration in the South.Journal of Politics 57: 425–42.Google Scholar
Timpone, Richard J. (1998) “Structure, behavior, and voter turnout in the United States.American Political Science Review 92: 145–58.Google Scholar
Tindall, George B. (1967) The Emergence of the New South, 1913–1945. Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Press.Google Scholar
Toossi, Mitra (2002) “A century of change: The U.S. labor force, 1950–2000.Monthly Labor Review 125: 15–28.Google Scholar
U.S. Census Bureau (1980) “Table 2: Reported voting and registration by race, Spanish origin, sex, and age, for the United States and regions,” in Current Population Report, www.census.gov/population/socdemo/voting/p20-370/tab02.pdf.Google Scholar
Verba, Sidney, Schlozman, Kay Lehman, and Brady, Henry E. (1995) Voice and Equality: Civic Voluntarism in American Politics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
White, Theodore H. (1973) The Making of the President 1972. New York: Atheneum.Google Scholar
Wilkerson-Freeman, Sarah (2002) “The second battle for woman suffrage: Alabama white women, the poll tax, and V. O.Key's master narrative of southern politics.Journal of Southern History 68: 333–74.Google Scholar
Williams, Richard (2006) “OGLM: Stata module to estimate ordinal generalized linear models,” EconPapers, econpapers.repec.org/software/bocbocode/s453402.htm.Google Scholar
Williams, Richard (2009) “Using heterogeneous choice models to compare logit and probit coefficients across groups.Sociological Methods and Research 37: 531–59.Google Scholar
Winders, Bill (1999) “The roller coaster of class conflict: Class segments, mass mobilization, and voter turnout in the U.S., 1840–1996.Social Forces 77: 833–60.Google Scholar
Wolfinger, Raymond E., and Rosenstone, Steven J. (1980) Who Votes? New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Woodward, C. Vann (1971 [1951]) Origins of the New South, 1877–1913. Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Press.Google Scholar
Xu, Jun (2005) “Why do minorities participate less? The effects of immigration, education, and electoral process on Asian American voter registration and turnout.Social Science Research 34: 682702.Google Scholar
Yang, Yang (2008) “Social inequalities in happiness in the United States, 1972 to 2004: An age-period-cohort analysis.American Sociological Review 73: 204–26.Google Scholar
Yang, Yang, and Land, Kenneth C. (2006) “A mixed models approach to the age-period-cohort analysis of repeated cross-section surveys, with an application to data on trends in verbal test scores.Sociological Methodology 36: 7597.Google Scholar
Yang, Yang, and Land, Kenneth C. (2008) “Age-period-cohort analysis of repeated cross-section surveys: Fixed or random effects?Sociological Methods and Research 36: 297326.Google Scholar