Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-lnqnp Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-25T20:35:57.187Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

A Game-Theoretical Approach to the Results of Parliamentary Elections in Belgium between the Wars

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 January 2016

Extract

This paper deals with the distribution of power among Belgian political parties during the interwar period. In the 1930s Belgium, like most European countries, was confronted with the electoral success of extreme right- and left-wing parties that wanted to change the existing political system into an authoritarian one. Usually, historians draw attention to the rapidly growing share of seats in Parliament held by extreme parties as a sign of their increasing influence on Belgian politics. Among game theorists, however, it is widely accepted that the proportion of seats is a poor proxy for power relations (Schotter, 1979). It is indeed possible that a political party acquiring a higher proportion of seats in Parliament loses its capacity to influence the outcome of a vote, and vice versa.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Social Science History Association 1989 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Dodd, L. C. (1974) “Party coalitions in multiparty parliaments: A game-theoretic analysis.” American Political Science Review 68: 10931117.Google Scholar
Gerard, E. (1985) De Katholieke Partij in crisis. Partijpolitiek leven in België (1918-1940). Leuven: Kritak.Google Scholar
Holler, M. J., and E. W. Packel (1986) “Power, luck and the right index.Zeitschrift für Nationalökonomie 43: 2129.Google Scholar
Luykx, T. (1977) Politieke geschiedenis van België. Vol. 1. Antwerp: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Miller, N. R. (1982) “Power in game forms,” in Holler, M. J. (ed.) Power, Voting, and Voting Power. Vienna: Würzburg: 3351.Google Scholar
Nevison, C. H., Schoepke, S., and Zicht, B. (1978) “A naive approach to the Banzhaf index of power.Behavioral Science 23: 130131.Google Scholar
Schotter, A. (1979) “Voting weights or power proxies: Some theoretical and empirical results,” in Applied Game Theory, IHS Studies, no. 1. Vienna: Physica-Verlag: 5773.Google Scholar
Straffin, P. D. (1978) “Probability models for power indices,” in Ordeshook, P. (ed.) Game Theory and Political Science. New York: New York University Press: 447510.Google Scholar
van der Wee, H., and Tavernier, K. (1975) La Banque Nationale de Belgique et l’histoire monétaire entre les deux guerres mondiales. Brussels: Banque Nationale de Belgique Bruxelles.Google Scholar