Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rdxmf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-28T02:32:11.895Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

China’s Fertility Transition through Regional Space

Using GIS and Census Data for a Spatial Analysis of Historical Demography

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 January 2016

Extract

Key features of reproductive behavior in China vary systematically through space and time. In this article we present an analysis of fertility change in regional space, using a 1% household sample from China’s 1990 population census. Elsewhere,we use the same data to analyze reproductive strategizing, but here we pursue the big picture with a straightforward analysis that takes reported births as an uncomplicated indicator of fertility.The article has three objectives: first, to introduce a novel, multilevel spatial model of regional structure constructed using a geographic information system (GIS); second, to demonstrate the potential for longitudinal data derived from onetime censuses to contribute to historical demography in conjunction with regional analysis; and third, to document the manner in which China’s fertility transition has unfolded in regional space.

Type
Special Issue: Historical GIS: The Spatial Turn in Social Science History
Copyright
Copyright © Social Science History Association 2000 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Christaller, Walter (1966 [1933]) Central Places in Southern Germany. Trans. Baskin, Carlisle W.. Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice Hall.Google Scholar
Coale, Ansley J., and Banister, Judith (1994) “Five decades of missing females in China.” Demography 31(3): 459–79.Google Scholar
Crissman, Lawrence W. (1997) “Australian Centre of the Asian Spatial Information and Analysis Network” (Web page). Accessed 1 December 1998. Available at http://www.asian.gu.edu.au/.Google Scholar
Feeney, Griffith (1983) “Population dynamics based on birth intervals and parity progression.” Population Studies 37: 7589.Google Scholar
Feeney, Griffith(1990) “Untilting age distributions: A transformation for graphical analysis.” Asia and Pacific Population Forum 4: 1320.Google Scholar
Feeney, Griffith, and Kiyoshi, Hamano (1990) “Rice price fluctuations and fertility in late Tokugawa Japan.”Journal of Japanese Studies 16(1): 130.Google Scholar
Feeney, Griffith, and Jingyuan, Yu (1987) “Period parity progression measures of fertility in China.” Population Studies 41: 77102.Google Scholar
Hägerstrand, Torsten (1965) “Aspects of the spatial structure of social communication and the diffusion of information.” Papers and Proceedings of the Regional Science Association 16: 2742.Google Scholar
Hägerstrand, Torsten (1967) Innovation Diffusion as a Spatial Process. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Hayami, Akira (1986) “Population changes,” in Jansen, Marius B. and Rozman, Gilbert (eds.) Japan in Transition: From Tokugawa to Meiji. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press: 280317.Google Scholar
Henderson, Mark, Messenger, Douglas M., and William Skinner, G. (1999) “A hierarchical regional space model for contemporary China: Delineating regional systems and core-periphery structures.” Paper prepared for Geoinformatics conference, China Data Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 20 June.Google Scholar
Kreager, Philip (1994) “Anthropological demography and the limits of diffusionism.” Paper prepared for theInternational Population Conference, International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Liège, Belgium.Google Scholar
Lavely, William R. (1997) “Unintended consequences of China’s birth-planning policy.” Paper prepared for theconference on Unintended Consequences of Chinese Economic Reform, Harvard University, 24 May.Google Scholar
Lavely, William R., and Freedman, Ronald (1990) “The origins of the Chinese fertility decline.”Demography 27: 357–67.Google Scholar
Lavely, William R., Zhenwu, Xiao, Bohua, Li, and Freedman, Ronald (1990) “The rise in female education in China: National and regional patterns.” China Quarterly 121: 6193.Google Scholar
Luther, Norman Y., and Cho, Lee-Jay (1988) “Reconstruction of birth histories from census and household survey data.” Population Studies 42: 451–72.Google Scholar
Luther, Norman Y., Feeney, Griffith, and Weimin, Zhang (1990) “One-child families or a baby boom? Evidence from China’s 1987 one-per-hundred survey.” Population Studies 44: 341–57.Google Scholar
Marshall, John U. (1989) The Structure of Urban Systems. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.Google Scholar
Montgomery, Mark R., and Casterline, John B. (1993) “The diffusion of fertility control in Taiwan: Evidence from pooled cross-section time-series models.” Population Studies 47: 457–79.Google Scholar
Openshaw, Stan (1984) The Modifiable Areal Unit Problem. Norwich, U.K.: GeoBooks.Google Scholar
Retherford, Robert D., and Palmore, James A. (1983) “Diffusion processes affecting fertility regulation,” in Bulatao, Rodolfo A. and Lee, Ronald D. (eds.) Determinants of Fertility in Developing Countries: Vol.2, Fertility Regulation and Institutional Influences. New York: Academic Press: 295339.Google Scholar
Rosero-Bixby, Luis, and Casterline, John B. (1993) “Modeling diffusion effects in fertility transition.”Population Studies 47: 147–67.Google Scholar
Skinner, G. William (1977) “Cities and the hierarchy of local systems,” in William Skinner, G. (ed.) The City in Late Imperial China. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press: 275351.Google Scholar
Skinner, G. William (1994) “Differential development in Lingnan,” in Lyons, Thomas P. and Nee, Victor (eds.) The Economic Transformation of South China: Reform and Development in the Post-Mao Era. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University, East Asia Program: 1754.Google Scholar
Skinner, G. William, and Jianhua, Yuan (1998) “Reproductive strategizing in the face of China’s birth-planning policies.” Paper prepared for the Center for Chinese Studies Seminar, University of Michigan, 14 April.Google Scholar
Von Thünen, Johann Heinrich (1966 [1826]) Isolated State. Trans. Wartenberg, Carla M.. Oxford: Pergamon.Google Scholar
ZCD (1994) Zhongguo chengshi dituji (Atlas of cities of China). Beijing: Zhongguo ditu chubanshe.Google Scholar
ZCT (1991) Zhongguo chengshi tongji nianjian (Statistical yearbook of China’s municipalities). Beijing: State Statistical Bureau.Google Scholar
ZFN (1990) Zhongguo fenxian nongcun jingji tongji gaiyao (Summary statistics on agricultural economics for Chinese counties). Beijing: Zhongguo tongji chubanshe.Google Scholar
ZSD (1991) Zhongguo shixian dacidian (Encyclopedia of Chinese municipalities and counties). Beijing: Zhonggong zhongyang dangjiao chubanshe.Google Scholar