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Doha stalemate: The end of trade multilateralism?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 September 2014

Abstract

This article challenges conventional narratives that suggest that the travails in the Doha Round, the shift to bilateral free trade agreements, and the broader unfolding of the global crisis collectively presage the decline of either the WTO or the broader institution of multilateral trade. We question the extent to which recent trends can indeed be said to constitute a genuine crisis of trade multilateralism by reflecting upon the contradictory and ambiguous nature of the multilateralism of the past, and also upon how contemporary multilateralism has been framed with reference to it. Our main finding is that, in contrast to the many short and medium-term symptoms which tend to appear in the conventional story of multilateral decline, there is actually a far more worrying long-term trend which underpins the varied conflicts that characterise contemporary trade politics: the fundamental lack of a shared social purpose between the developed countries and the more powerful emerging countries on which a stable, equitable, and legitimate edifice of multilateral trade rules can be erected, institutionalised, and enhanced.

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Articles
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Copyright © British International Studies Association 2014 

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78 In a case of mass-discrimination, a total of 14 countries (out of around 39) invoked this clause when refusing to apply the GATT to Japan during its accession in the 1950s.

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110 Daniel Drache and Marc D. Froese, ‘Deadlock in the Doha Round: The Long Decline of Trade Multilateralism’, Working Paper (2007), p. 33, available at: {http://www.yorku.ca/drache/academic/papers/Deadlock_at_Doha_2007.pdf} accessed 10 June 2012.

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116 Ruggie, ‘Multilateralism’.

117 See, for example, the declaration by the Friends of Development, 15 December 2011, WT/MIN(11)/17.

118 We are not necessarily claiming a direct causality here, but that these problems have worsened during the same period that trade and finance liberalisation rules have become the norm warrants a cautious rather than business-as-usual approach.

119 For the former, see Jeffrey C. Schott, ‘The Doha Dilemma: Implications for Korea and the Multilateral Trading System’, Conference paper presented at the KITA-PIIE International Conference, Seoul, 26 September 2011, p. 4; for the latter, see Rodrik, Dani, ‘Free Trade Optimism: Lessons from the Battle in Seattle’, Foreign Affairs, 82:3 (2003) pp. 135140CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

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