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Politique éducative et marché du travail en Afrique du Sud. Une analyse en EGC1

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 August 2016

Héléne Maisonnave  and
Bernard Decaluwé
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Résumé

Cet article analyse l'impact d'une augmentation des dépenses publiques en éducation sur la performance du système éducatif sud africain et ses conséquences sur le marché du travail en utilisant un Modèle d'Equilibre Général Calculable (MEGC) en dynamique séquentielle. Le système éducatif sud africain porte les stigmates de l'Apartheid et une intervention publique plus accentuée est l'un des moyens envisagés pour corriger les inégalités héritées de l'ancien régime politique. Nos résultats montrent une amélioration des performances des étudiants et des effets positifs à court terme sur l'économie. A long terme, la population sud africaine, et en particulier les African, devient plus qualifiée, mais l'économie ne créant pas suffisamment d'emplois, une partie de ces nouveaux qualifiés se retrouve au chômage.

Summary

Summary

South Africa faces skills shortage and huge inequalities in its education system inherited from the former Apartheid regime. This paper presents a dynamic computable general equilibrium model that analyses the impact of public spending in education on students' behaviors and on the labor market in long run. We find that this policy improves graduation rates and skills among the population, but in the long run, as economic growth is too slow, the labor market can't absorb all the new skilled workers.

Keywords

modèle d'équilibre général calculableeducationAfrique du SudD58I28O11Computable General Equilibrium ModelEducationSouth AfricaD58I28O11
Type
Research Article
Information
Recherches Économiques de Louvain/ Louvain Economic Review , Volume 76 , Issue 3 , 2010 , pp. 289 - 335
Copyright
Copyright © Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de recherches économiques et sociales 2010 

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Footnotes

2

Post doc Fellow at the Free State University, Economic Department (South Africa) and CARE, Université de Rouen (France)

3

Département d'économique, CIRPEE, Université Laval et Reseau « Politique Economique et Pauvreté » (PEP) Université Laval.

1

Des versions antérieures de ce papier ont été présentées aux conférences GTAP, à la Société Canadienne de Sciences Economiques, et au CERDI de Clermont Ferrand. Nous remercions les participants pour leurs remarques. Nous remercions particuliérement Luc Savard pour ses commentaires précis et précieux sur une version antérieure de ce papier.

References

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