Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-t7fkt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-23T22:41:09.458Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Influence of 14C Concentration Changes in the Past On Statistical Inference of Time Intervals

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 July 2016

Adam Michczyński
Adam Michczyński*
Affiliation:
Radiocarbon Laboratory, Institute of Physics, Silesian University of Technology, Bolesława Krzywoustego 2, 44-100 Gliwice, Poland. Email: [email protected]
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

The influence of the calibration curve on the statistical inference of time intervals was investigated. For this purpose, the calculation of the summed probability density function was used. Computer simulations were done for batches of 11 samples, each time uniformly covering 200-yr time intervals. The results show that the calibration curve causes the summed probability density function of a group to cover a wider interval than the real-time interval of the phenomenon. Moreover, the estimated time interval may be often shifted in relation to the real-time interval.

Type
Part II
Information
Radiocarbon , Volume 46 , Issue 2: Proceedings of the 18th International Radiocarbon Conference (Part 2 of 2), Conference Editors: Nancy Beavan Athfield, Rodger J Sparks , 2004 , pp. 997 - 1004
Copyright
Copyright © The Arizona Board of Regents on behalf of the University of Arizona 

References

Aitchison, T, Ottaway, B, Al-Ruzaiza, AS. 1991. Summarizing a group of 14C dates on the historical time scale: with a worked example from the Late Neolithic of Bavaria. Antiquity 65(246):108–16.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McFadgen, BG, Knox, FB, Cole, TRL. 1994. Radiocarbon calibration curve variations and their implications for the interpretation of New Zealand prehistory. Radiocarbon 36(2):221–36.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Michczyńska, DJ, Pazdur, MF, Walanus, A. 1990. Bayesian approach to probabilistic calibration of radiocarbon ages. In: Mook, WG, Waterbolk, HT, editors. Proceedings of the 2nd International Symposium 14C and Archaeology. Strasburg. PACT 29:69–79.Google Scholar
Pazdur, MF, Michczyńska, DJ. 1989. Improvement of the procedure for probabilistic calibration of radiocarbon dates. In: Long, A, Kra, RS, Srdoć, D, editors. Proceedings of the 13th International 14C Conference. Radiocarbon 31(3):824–32.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stuiver, M, Reimer, P. 1989. Histograms obtained from computerized radiocarbon age calibration. Radiocarbon 31(3):817–23.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stuiver, M, Reimer, PJ, Bard, E, Beck, JW, Burr, GS, Hughen, KA, Kromer, B, McCormac, G, van der Plicht, J, Spurk, M. 1998. INTCAL98 radiocarbon age calibration, 24,000–0 cal BP. Radiocarbon 40(3):1041–83.CrossRefGoogle Scholar