Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gxg78 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T07:28:43.910Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

When Will the Present Interglacial End?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2017

Nils-Axel Mörner
Nils-Axel Mörner*
Affiliation:
Department of Geology, University of Stockholm, Box 6801, S-113 86 Stockholm, Sweden.
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

We are now living under interglacial climatic conditions, the Present Interglacial or Flandrian Interglacial Age. It will certainly be followed by the Future Ice Age. The major cold/warm changes seem to have a cyclicity of 10,500 yr. We have been in the second cycle (characterized by cooler climate) after the Last Ice Age for 2200 yr and will continue to be so for another 8300 yr. By analogy with the conditions during the Last Interglacial it is concluded that this cycle will remain moderately warm. With the end of the third cycle at about 18,800 years AP, the Present Interglacial will end and the First Future Glacial Age begin. Further information about the climatic conditions during the “cold” cycle 117,700–107,200 y. a. is necessary, however, before a really well-founded prediction can be made.

Type
Original Articles
Information
Quaternary Research , Volume 2 , Issue 3 , November 1972 , pp. 341 - 349
Copyright
Academic Press, Inc.

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

British National Committee for Geology, Strat. Com. Geol. Soc. London 1969 Recommendation on stratigraphical usage Proceedings of the Geological Society of London 139 166 No. 1655Google Scholar
Broecker, W.S. van Donk, J. 1970 Insolation changes, ice volumes, and the O18 record in deep-sea cores Reviews of Geophysics and Space Physics 2 1 69 198 Google Scholar
Butzer, K.W. Cuerda, J. 1962 Coastal stratigraphy of southern Mallorca and its implication for the Pleistocene chronology of the Mediterranian Sea Journal of Geology 70 398 416 Google Scholar
Curray, J.R. Emmel, F.J. Crampton, P.J.S. 1969 Holocene history of a strand plain, Lagoonal Coast, Nayarit, Mexico Mem. Simp. Intern. Laguneras Costeras. UNAM-UNESCO Nov. 28–30, 1967, Mexico 63 100 Google Scholar
Dansgaard, W. Johnsen, S.J. Möller, J. Langway, C.C. 1969 One thousand centuries of climatic record from Camp Century on the Greenland Ice Sheet Science 166 377 381 Google Scholar
Dansgaard, W. Johnsen, S.J. Clausen, H.B. Langway, C.C. 1971 Climatic record revealed by the Camp Century ice core Turekian, K.K. The Late Cenozoic Glacial Ages Yale Univ. Press 37 56 Google Scholar
Emiliani, C. 1955 Pleistocene temperatures Journal of Geology 63 538 578 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Emiliani, C. 1958 Paleotemperature analysis of core 280 and Pleistocene correlations Journal of Geology 66 264 275 Google Scholar
Emiliani, C. 1964 Paleotemperature analysis of the Caribbean Cores A254-BR-C and CP-28 Geological Society of America Bulletin 75 129 144 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Emiliani, C. 1970 Pleistocene temperatures Science 168 822 825 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Emiliani, C. 1971 The Last Interglacial: paleotemperatures and chronology Science 171 571 573 CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Emiliani, C. Rona, E. 1969 Caribbean cores P6304-8 and P6304-9: New analysis of absolute chronology. A reply Science 166 1551 1552 Google Scholar
Ericson, D.B. Ewing, M. Wollin, G. Heezen, B.C. 1961 Atlantic deep-sea sediment cores Geological Society of America Bulletin 72 173 286 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
van Eysinga, F.W.B. 1971 Geological Time Table Elsevier Publ. Co Amsterdam Google Scholar
Gross, H. 1967 Eine ganz ungewöhnlich vollständige Fernkonnektierung letzeiszeitlicher Schichtenfolgen von Nordarmerika nach Europa Quartär 18 157 161 Google Scholar
van der Hammen, T. Wijmstra, T.A. Zagwijn, W.H. 1971 The flora record of the Late Cenozoic of Europe Turekian, K.K. The Late Cenozoic Glacial Ages Yale Univ. Press 391 424 Google Scholar
Kukla, J. 1969 The cause of the Holocene climate change Geologie en Mijnbouw 48 250 274 Google Scholar
Kukla, J. 1970 Correlations between loesses and deep-sea sediments Geologiska Föreningens i Stockholm Förhandlingar 92 148 180 Google Scholar
Mesolella, K.J. Matthews, R.K. Broecker, W.S. Thurber, D.L. 1969 The astronomical theory of climatic changes: Barbados data Journal of Geology 77 250 274 Google Scholar
Mörner, N.-A. 1969a The Late Quaternary history of the Kattegatt Sea and the Swedish West Coast: deglaciation, shorelevel displacement, chronology, isostasy and eustasy Sveriges Geol. Undersökn C-640 487 Google Scholar
Mörner, N.-A. 1969b Eustatic and climatic changes during the last 15,000 years Geologie en Mijnbouw 48 389 399 Google Scholar
Mörner, N.-A. 1969c Discussion regarding the Pleistocene-Holocene boundary Third Bull Subcom. Study Holocene INQUA 44 June 1969Google Scholar
Mörner, N.-A. 1970 Comparison between Late Weichselian and Late Wisconsin ice marginal changes Eiszeitalter Gegenwart 21 173 176 Google Scholar
Mörner, N.-A. 1971 The position of the ocean level during the interstadial at about 30,000 BP—A discussion from a climatic-glaciologic point of view Canadian Journal of Earth Science 2 132 143 Google Scholar
Mörner, N.-A. 1972a The cold/warm changes during the Last Ice Age: with special reference to the stratigraphy at Dösebacka and Ellesbo in southwest Sweden Stockholm Contributions to Geology 24 4 51 77 Google Scholar
Mörner, N.-A. 1972b World climate during the last 130,000 years Report Section 12, 24th International Geol. Congress Montreal 1972 72 79 Google Scholar
Mörner, N.-A. 1972c Time scale and ice accumulation during the last 125,000 years as indicated by the Greenland O18 curve Geol. Magazine 109 1 17 24 Google Scholar
Mörner, N.-A. 1972d Climatic changes during the last 30,000 years as indicated by land, sea and air data ManuscriptGoogle Scholar
Nichols, H. 1970 Late Quaternary pollen diagrams from the Canadian arctic barren grounds at Pelly Lake, northern Keewatin, N.W.T. Arctic Alpine Research 2 43 61 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olausson, E. 1960 Description of sediment cores from the North Atlantic Reports of the Swedish Deep-Sea Expedition 2 229 286 Google Scholar
Von Post, L. 1944 Pollenstatistiska perspektiv på jordens klimathistoria Ymer 79 113 1944Google Scholar
Shackleton, N.J. 1969 The last interglacial in the marine and terrestrial records Proceedings of the Royal Society of London 174 135 154 BGoogle Scholar
Smith, J.D. Foster, J.H. 1969 Geomagnetic reversal in Brunhes Normal Polarity Epoch Science 163 565 567 Google Scholar
Steinen, R.P. Harrison, R.S. Matthews, R.K. 1971 Eustatic low stand sea level between 105,000 and 125,000 BP: evidence from the subsurface of Barbados Abstracts with programs, Geological Society of America, 1971 Annual Meeting Washington, DC 720 721 Google Scholar
Watkins, N.D. 1972 Review of the development of the Geomagnetic Polarity Time Scale and discussion of prospects for its finer definition Geological Society of America Bulletin 83 551 574 Google Scholar
Wollin, G. Ericson, D.B. Ryan, W.B.F. Foster, J.H. 1971 Magnetism of the Earth and climatic changes Earth and Planetary Science Letters 12 175 183 CrossRefGoogle Scholar