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Are neighbourhood restaurants related to frequency of restaurant meals and dietary quality? Prevalence and changes over time in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 May 2021

Amy H Auchincloss*
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Dornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, 3215 Market Street, Philadelphia, PA19104, USA Urban Health Collaborative, Dornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA, USA
Jingjing Li
Affiliation:
Urban Health Collaborative, Dornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA, USA
Kari AB Moore
Affiliation:
Urban Health Collaborative, Dornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA, USA
Manuel Franco
Affiliation:
School of Medicine, University of Alcala, Alcala de Henares, Madrid, Spain
Mahasin S Mujahid
Affiliation:
Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA
Latetia V Moore
Affiliation:
National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
*
*Corresponding author: Email [email protected]
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Abstract

Objective:

To examine whether the density of neighbourhood restaurants affected the frequency of eating restaurant meals and subsequently affected diet quality.

Design:

Cross-sectional and longitudinal designs. Structural equation models assessed the indirect relationship between restaurant density (≤3 miles (4·8 km) of participant addresses) and dietary quality (Healthy Eating Index 2010 (HEI)) via the frequency of eating restaurant meals, after adjustment for sociodemographics, select health conditions, region, residence duration and area-level income.

Setting:

Urbanised areas in multiple regions of the USA, years 2000–2002 and 2010–2012.

Participants:

Participants aged 45–84 years were followed for 10 years (n 3567).

Results:

Median HEI (out of 100) was fifty-nine at baseline and sixty-two at follow-up. The cross-sectional analysis found that residing in areas with a high density of restaurants (highest-ranked quartile) was associated with 52 % higher odds of frequently eating restaurant meals (≥3 times/week, OR: 1·52, 95 % CI 1·18, 1·98) and 3 % higher odds of having lower dietary quality (HEI lowest quartile < 54, OR: 1·03, 95 % CI 1·01, 1·06); associations were not sustained in longitudinal analyses. The cross-sectional analysis found 34 % higher odds of having lower dietary quality for those who frequently ate at restaurants (OR: 1·34, 95 % CI 1·12, 1·61), and more restaurant meals (over time increase ≥ 1 time/week) were associated with higher odds of having worse dietary quality at follow-up (OR: 1·21, 95 % CI 1·00, 1·46).

Conclusions:

Restaurant density was associated with frequently eating out in cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses but was associated with the lower dietary quality only in cross-sectional analyses. Frequent restaurant meals were negatively related to dietary quality. Interventions that encourage less frequent eating out may improve population dietary quality.

Type
Research paper
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Nutrition Society

During the past 30 years, there have been increases in the availability and consumption of prepared foods(Reference Swinburn, Sacks and Hall1Reference James, Seward and James O’Malley4). Relative to meals at home, restaurant foods tend to be larger in portion size and higher in Na, saturated fat and cholesterol, and lower in fibre(Reference Kant and Graubard3,Reference Auchincloss, Leonberg and Glanz5,Reference Wu and Sturm6) . Among adults, eating fast food has been associated with lower overall dietary quality(Reference Schroder, Fito and Covas7,Reference Barnes, French and Mitchell8) and the frequency of fast-food restaurant meals has been directly associated with lower quality diet(Reference Moore, Diez Roux and Nettleton9). While most studies of the effect of restaurant dining on dietary quality have focused on fast foods, the growth of full-service restaurants (AKA sit-down restaurants) has occurred alongside fast-food/fast-casual restaurants(Reference James, Seward and James O’Malley4,Reference Rummo, Guilkey and Ng10) . Chains dominate the full-service restaurant industry – capturing 70 % of market share(11) – and a number of studies have documented that the dietary quality of most full-service restaurant meals is as low or even lower than fast-food/fast-casual restaurants(Reference Auchincloss, Leonberg and Glanz5,Reference Wu and Sturm6,Reference An12) .

Research investigating neighbourhood conditions on health posits that environments offering many opportunities for eating out make it more convenient to eat out(Reference Swinburn, Sacks and Hall1,Reference Giskes, van Lenthe and Avendano-Pabon13) . Thus, the density of neighbourhood restaurants may be associated with a higher frequency of eating restaurant meals and subsequently worse dietary outcomes among adults (Fig. 1). Findings that directly link neighbourhood restaurants to dietary quality have been mixed(Reference Fleischhacker, Evenson and Rodriguez14), and most studies focused only on youth or young adults(Reference Mackenbach, Nelissen and Dijkstra15). Among mid- to older-aged adults, most studies reported no evidence of an overall association(Reference Moore, Diez Roux and Nettleton9,Reference Morland, Wing and Diez Roux16Reference Madrigal, Cedillo-Couvert and Ricardo19) but there have been exceptions(Reference Burgoine, Forouhi and Griffin18). Work by Burgoine et al.(Reference Burgoine, Forouhi and Griffin18) found that fast-food density within 1 mile of residence was cross-sectionally associated with more consumption of foods that are typically found in fast-food establishments (pizza, burgers and deep-fried foods).

Fig. 1 Illustration of pathways between restaurant density and diet

Reasons for null or mixed results in studies of mid- to older-aged adults could be due to a number of factors including measurement issues such as inadequacy in the way neighbourhood restaurant density was defined (only fast food(Reference Moore, Diez Roux and Nettleton9,Reference Madrigal, Cedillo-Couvert and Ricardo19) or only fast-food chains(Reference Hickson, Diez Roux and Smith17), measurement limited to one or two regions(Reference Hickson, Diez Roux and Smith17,Reference Burgoine, Forouhi and Griffin18,Reference Oexle, Barnes and Blake20) ) and/or limitations in dietary assessment and operationalisation (e.g. only energy and a few macro-nutrients(Reference Morland, Wing and Diez Roux16,Reference Hickson, Diez Roux and Smith17,Reference Madrigal, Cedillo-Couvert and Ricardo19) rather than a full dietary score). Importantly, most studies have not explored intervening mechanisms on the pathway from restaurant exposure to dietary quality. For example, frequency of eating restaurant food is presumed to be an intermediary between restaurant environment and diet but is rarely considered.

The current study examined the association between restaurant density, frequency of eating restaurant meals and dietary quality in a multi-ethnic cohort of mid- to older-aged adults. The cross-sectional hypothesis was that participants with higher exposure to restaurants will have more frequent restaurant meals and lower dietary quality; specifically, that restaurant meals will be a mediator between the restaurant environment and dietary quality. The longitudinal hypothesis was that residing in areas where there were increases in restaurant density would be associated with more frequent eating out and subsequently worse dietary quality over time.

Methods

Data

Data came from The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), a population-based longitudinal cohort study. MESA’s main objective was to determine the characteristics of subclinical CVD and its progression. The study recruited ethnically diverse adults aged 45–84 years with no known presence of CVD. Individuals were recruited from six sites across the USA: Bronx/Upper Manhattan, NY; Baltimore City and Baltimore County, Maryland; Forsyth County, North Carolina; Chicago, Illinois; St. Paul, Minnesota and Los Angeles County, California. Each site recruited participants from locally available sources (lists of residents, list of dwellings, telephone exchanges) as well as publicising the study in local media. Sampling and recruitment procedures have been described in detail elsewhere(Reference Bild, Bluemke and Burke21). MESA included a baseline examination (2000–2002) and four follow-up exams. Exam 5 data were collected approximately 10 years after baseline (2010–2012). We limited analyses to baseline and exam 5 data because the dietary questionnaire was only collected at exams 1 and 5. Written informed consent was obtained from the participants, and the study was approved by institutional review boards at each site.

Diet

Diet was assessed via a FFQ. The FFQ was a modified Block-style, 128-item questionnaire. Participants were asked about their usual eating habits over the past 12 months. For each of the food items on the FFQ, respondents chose their consumption frequency (rare or never, 1/month, 2–3/month, 1/week, 2/week, 3–4/week, 5–6/week, 1/d and 2+/d). Their frequency of consumption was then weighted by a multiplier, according to their reported typical serving size (× 0·5, × 1·0 and × 1·5 for small, medium and large, respectively).

The MESA FFQ was adapted from the questionnaire designed for the Insulin Resistance and Atherosclerosis Study(Reference Mayer-Davis, Vitolins and Carmichael22) and has been described elsewhere(Reference Nettleton, Steffen and Mayer-Davis23). Modifications to the FFQ included additional items to reflect the multi-ethnic composition of the MESA cohort. Insulin Resistance and Atherosclerosis Study was validated against 24-h dietary recalls(Reference Mayer-Davis, Vitolins and Carmichael22), and the MESA diet data correlated as expected with HDL-cholesterol and TAG concentrations(Reference Nettleton, Rock and Wang24), and cardiometabolic conditions(Reference Abiemo, Alonso and Nettleton25Reference Nettleton, Steffen and Ni29).

Total energy was calculated for each FFQ line item using the Nutrition Data System for Research (NDS-R database; Nutrition Coordinating Center)(Reference Nettleton, Rock and Wang24). Following work by others, we excluded participants whose dietary data were considered unreliable, due to reporting usual energy intake <600 or >6000 kcal(Reference Nettleton, Rock and Wang24) (approximately 6 % of the participants who completed the dietary questionnaire).

Outcome

Healthy Eating Index

We used the Healthy Eating Index version 2010, to assess dietary quality. It reflects 2010 U.S. federal Dietary Guidelines, has been used to monitor and assess diet quality in the USA(Reference Guenther, Casavale and Reedy3032) and has: (1) adequate content validity(Reference Guenther, Casavale and Reedy30); (2) sufficient construct validity and (3) acceptable reliability(Reference Guenther, Kirkpatrick and Reedy33). It includes twelve components: total fruit, whole fruit, total vegetables, greens and beans, whole grains, dairy, total protein foods, seafood and plant proteins, fatty acid, refined grains, Na and empty energies. Each component contributes a minimum of 0 to a maximum of 5, 10 or 20 points, resulting in a range of 0–100 for the total score; higher scores indicate a healthier diet(Reference Guenther, Casavale and Reedy30). Linkage of MESA food consumption with HEI food composition was done following the protocol established by the National Cancer Institute(Reference Guenther, Casavale and Reedy30,34) . Each individual’s nutritional values were derived by linking the food items from the FFQ to MyPyramid Equivalents Database version 2.0, multiplying by the number of servings reported in the FFQ, summing to obtain a value for each component in the HEI and then calculating the HEI score.

In cross-sectional analyses, the HEI at exam 5 was divided into quartiles of the observed HEI distribution (range 11·67–89·56) with the lowest quartile hereafter referred to as a ‘lower quality diet’ (<54·28). In the longitudinal analysis, each participant’s HEI at exam 5 was subtracted from exam 1 (change score range −44·50–42·40) and then divided into quintiles with the lowest quintile hereafter referred to as ‘worse diet quality over time’ (<−6·19). (There were only small changes in HEI score over time; thus, we used a lower cut-point – the lowest 20th percentile – in longitudinal analyses in order to measure a meaningful amount of change.) The rationale for using within-sample ranking of dietary data is that it acknowledges the low precision inherent in dietary self-reports(35). Numerous studies have used ranked values to define unhealthy or healthy diets (e.g. ref. (Reference Arem, Reedy and Sampson36Reference Reedy, Krebs-Smith and Miller38)) because it differentiates lower and higher values within a sample without relying on an absolute threshold of dietary quality(Reference Liese, Krebs-Smith and Subar39).

Mediator

Frequency of restaurant meals

‘Frequency of restaurant meals’ (an intermediate variable in the causal pathway between neighbourhood food environment and healthy eating) was determined by a single question in the FFQ: ‘how many times per week do you eat at restaurants for meals?’. In the cross-sectional analysis, frequency of restaurant meals was operationalised as a binary indicator: being in the top quartile at exam 5 (≥3 times/week) or not. In the longitudinal analysis, higher frequency of restaurant meals was a within-person change indicator, operationalised as a binary variable, ≥1 more time/week relative to exam 1 (note that ≥1 more time/week was approximately the top 25 %).

Neighbourhood-level exposures

Addresses of MESA participants and addresses of restaurant establishments were used to link participants to the density of restaurants near their residence. Restaurant establishment data originated from Dun and Bradstreet and was compiled/cleaned for the National Establishment Time Series database(Reference Auchincloss, Moore and Moore40,41) . Eating places were first classified as ‘fast-food chain’ (name search of the top seventy-five chains from Restaurant & Institutions(Reference Hume42)) and then ‘fast-food non-chain’ (limited-service restaurant SIC code 581203 not already identified as a chain). ‘Other eating places’ were identified (eating place with SIC 5812 not in the fast-food group). ‘Other eating places’ includes a wide variety of restaurants. We excluded coffee, donut and ice cream shops because those shops generally sell snacks/limited food offerings at the time of this study period. Drinking establishments that only serve alcohol were excluded.

Restaurant density was derived in GIS by computing a three-mile (4·8 km) kernel density of food establishments around each MESA participant’s home. Using a kernel density resulted in a distance-weighted density such that restaurants furthest from the participant’s residence were weighted less than those closest to the residence(43). A three-mile kernel radius was chosen because it aligns with empirical findings of average distances to food shopping(Reference Hillier, Cannuscio and Karpyn44,Reference Hirsch and Hillier45) and roughly aligns with what others have done(Reference Thornton, Bentley and Kavanagh46,Reference Boone-Heinonen, Gordon-Larsen and Kiefe47) thus enabling comparability across studies.

The measure presented in this study represents density to all restaurants. The correlation was very high between the density of total restaurants and density of subgroups of restaurants (Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient which is appropriate for skewed variables ≥0·92); thus, analyses will only be shown for total restaurants. Further, combining all restaurants mitigated misclassification of restaurants by type and reduced the number of participants with zero exposure to restaurants.

In the cross-sectional analysis, high density of restaurants was operationalised as the highest-ranked quartile of restaurants at exam 5 (≥16 restaurants within 3 miles of each participant’s residential address). In the longitudinal analysis, change in restaurant density represented a relatively stable value or an increase in density (−0·6 to +69·8 restaurants within 3 miles, top 25 % of the sample). We included relatively stable density in this group because preliminary analyses showed that almost all participants experienced a decrease in restaurant density over time.

Covariates

Person-level covariates were age, sex, race/ethnicity, education level, household income/wealth (combination of income level and ownership of four assets: car, home, land and investments) and years lived outside the USA (classified into none v. >0); see variable classifications shown in Table 1. Additional covariates were: self-reported general health status (poor or fair v. good to excellent, only available at baseline) and BMI. Additional area-level characteristics corresponding to participant addresses were census region (northeast, mid-west, south and west) and percentage of households with higher incomes (per capita household income >$50 000). Census region was included because diet and restaurant outlets are known to vary by region. Longitudinal control variables also included change variables: change in per capita income (exam 5 – exam 1) and change in area income (exam 5 – exam 1); and categorical variables representing region at exam 1, region at exam 5 and moved outside of baseline county. The list of variables is in the regression table footnote.

Table 1 Participant characteristics, n 3567*

* The analytical sample includes 3567 participants. Out of a total 6814 participants enrolled at baseline, 4716 participants were retained in exam 5. We further excluded: (a) thirteen participants with missing neighbourhood food environment data; (b) 851 participants with missing dietary information in both exams; (c) seventy-eight participants with missing eating out information in both exam 1 and exam 5; and (d) 207 participants with missing covariates.

Income–wealth index is participant’s inflation adjusted annual per capita inflation-adjusted household income (5-levels) + wealth index. Wealth is home ownership + car ownership + land ownership + investments. In preliminary analyses, generalised additive models were used to assess non-linearity and data were subsequently classified into low <2, medium 2–<6 and high ≥6.

Table 2 Distribution of the Healthy Eating Index, frequency of restaurant meals and restaurant density, at baseline and follow-up, n 3567*

*The analytical sample includes 3567 participants. Out of a total 6814 participants enrolled at baseline, 4716 participants were retained in exam 5. We further excluded: (a) thirteen participants with missing neighbourhood food environment data; (b) 851 participants with missing dietary information in both exams; (c) seventy-eight participants with missing eating out information in both exam 1 and exam 5; and (d) 207 participants with missing covariates.

Analytic sample

Out of a total 6814 participants enrolled at baseline, 4716 participated in exam 5 (69 % of the exam 1 sample). We excluded those without the following data elements: neighbourhood food environment data (n 13), dietary components at exam 1 and/or exam 5 (n 851), frequency of restaurant meals (n 78) and key covariate information (n 207). Finally, 3567 (53 % of 6814 participants) were retained for analyses.

Sample characteristics for included v. excluded participants were similar by age and sex, but included participants had higher income and education, fewer Black/African-American and slightly lower restaurant density around their residence (data not shown).

Statistical analyses

As described above, restaurant density (exposure) and restaurant meals (mediator) were transformed into ranked categorical variables and then a binary variable was derived that represented the top-ranked categories (highest density of restaurants and highest restaurant meals) v. not top-ranked. The reasons for this classification were: (1) both variables were skewed, thus classification aided interpretation; and (2) preliminary analyses found non-linearity in the association (e.g. there was only a discernible effect between restaurant density and diet for the upper rank). Further, for the change analyses, on average, there was little change over time in these exposures; thus, we needed to maximise change by selecting the highest increase. We only show binary variables to facilitate interpretation of results in structural equation modelling (the method becomes overly complex to interpret when operationalised with multi-category exposures/mediators).

Cross-sectional analyses limited the data set to exam 5. The rationale for using exam 5 rather than exam 1 in the cross-sectional analysis is that there was more heterogeneity in exposure at exam 5 because participants relocated to other areas during follow-up.

Structural equation modelling

We used a structural equation model (SEM). Our conceptual framework constructed a causal pathway between the density of food environment and poor dietary quality via frequency of restaurant meals (frequency of restaurant meals was the mediator, Fig. 1). There is no plausible reason why density of local restaurants would affect diet directly (not via restaurant meals); thus, we did not model a direct causal effect of density of food environment on poor dietary quality.

Adjusted analysis presents results for pathway 1, the direct effect between high restaurant density and high frequency of restaurant meals; pathway 2: the direct effect between high frequency of restaurant meals and low or worse dietary quality; and the combination of pathways 1 and 2: the total effect of restaurant density on dietary quality. The analyses only had one sequence/pathway, and thus the total effect is also the ‘total indirect effect’ which tests whether the effect of restaurant density on dietary quality was mediated by frequency of restaurant meals. Standard errors for the test were generated via bootstrapping (based on 1000 resamples, with replacement).

We implemented the SEM in M-plus 8.3(Reference Muthén and Muthén48). Maximum Likelihood Estimation was used to estimate the model parameters. We chose this estimator in M-plus as it can accommodate binary outcomes and binary mediators and permit the evaluation of indirect (mediation) effects via logit regression(Reference Feingold, MacKinnon and Capaldi49).

Goodness-of-fit statistics assessed whether the structure of the model was appropriate for the data. Logistic regression has limited options for assessing SEM fit and lacks external target values to indicate acceptable fit. Thus, we used the probit distribution to assess fit because it is able to generate standard fit statistics available for a Gaussian distribution. We employed a group of well-known fit indices to evaluate the model fit: χ 2/df ratio, Standardized Root-Mean-Square Residual, Tucker–Lewis Index, Comparative Fit Index and Root-Mean-Square Error of Approximation. Goodness-of-fit in SEM indicates the degree of agreement between the model-implied covariance matrix and the covariance matrix of the observed data(Reference Raykov and Marcoulides50). If these two covariance matrices are close, then the model fits the data well (see the regression table footnote).

Adjustment variables

Models adjusted for confounding by socio-demographics: age, sex, race, education, income/wealth categories, general health, BMI, ever having lived outside the USA, region of residence, whether they moved residence during follow-up and area-level income (details are in the regression table footnotes). Adjustment was achieved by allowing for direct paths between sociodemographics and exposure, sociodemographics and mediator, and sociodemographics and outcome.

Sensitivity analyses

Sensitivity analysis used nested model comparisons (AKA multiple-group analysis(Reference Little, Card, Bovaird, Little, Bovaird and Card51)) to test interactions between restaurant density and the following variables: population density (below median, at or above median), sex (male v. female), income/wealth index (low to middle v. high), movers (moved since baseline v. not) and obesity (obese v. not obese).

We examined the sensitivity of the cross-sectional results to operationalising dietary quality as a continuous variable. Successful interpretation of mediation results requires consistency in the directionality (signage) of the pathways(Reference MacKinnon, Fairchild and Fritz52). For this reason, we reverse-coded dietary quality so that higher values would signify a worse diet. (Note that we did not examine continuous variables for restaurant density and frequency of restaurant meals due to these variables being highly skewed. Further, we did not operationalise change in diet as a continuous variable as there was very little longitudinal change in diet; thus, we would not be able to detect a signal in our data.)

Additionally, we used the longitudinal data and tested the inverse of our main hypothesis: whether a decline in restaurant density was associated with less eating out; and less eating out was associated with better diet. In order to align these analyses with variable operationalisations used in the main analyses, ‘decline in restaurant density’ was defined as the lowest quartile (loss of at least seven restaurants within a 3 mile area), ‘less eating out’ was at least 2 times less/week (relative to exam 1) and ‘improved dietary quality’ was defined as highest quintile of change in HEI score.

Results

Descriptive results

Participant socio-demographics at baseline (exam 1) and exam 5 (approximately 10 years later) are reported in Table 1. At baseline, mean age was 60·2 (STD 9·6) years, slightly more than one-half sample was non-White, 58·3 % had less than a college degree and 31·4 % had obesity. Approximately one-half of participants lived in areas where median per capita income was at or above the US median (≥$50 000(53)).

Diet (Healthy Eating Index 2010 and restaurant meals)

Median HEI was 59·3 at baseline (similar to the US average(54)) and rose slightly by exam 5 (median 61·6, 25th–75th percentile, 54·4–67·2) (Table 2). Participants ate out approximately 2 times/week at baseline (median 2, 25th–75th percentile, 1–4), and the frequency declined slightly by exam 5 to 1 time/week (median 1, 25th–75th percentile, 1–3).

Table 3 Regression table. Adjusted odds ratios for having worse dietary quality and frequently consuming restaurant meals, in response to residing in areas with more restaurants (n 3567)

* The ‘total indirect effect’ P-value tested whether the effect of restaurant density on dietary quality was mediated by frequency of restaurant meals. The analysis only had one sequence/pathway, and thus the ‘total indirect effect’ is also the ‘total effect’. Standard errors for the test were generated via bootstrapping (based on 1000 resamples, with replacement).

PANEL A Cross-sectional results, exam 5. Outcome A-1 shows the odds of frequent restaurant meals (4th quartile, ≥3 times/week). Outcome A-2 shows the odds of worse dietary quality (1st quartile of Healthy Eating Index). Adjustment variables were: linear splines for age (younger, and older), gender, race/ethnicity, education, income–wealth, ever lived outside USA, general health status, BMI categories, region, area income is high. Model fit indices from a Probit model were: χ 2 = 1·25, df = 1, P-value = 0·26, Comparative Fit Index (CFI) = 1, Tucker–Lewis Index (TLI) = 0·987, Root-Mean-Square Error of Approximation (RMSEA) = 0·008, Standardized Root-Mean-Square Residual (SRMR) = 0·004.

PANEL B Change results, exams 1–5. Outcome B-1 shows the odds of increase in restaurant meals (approximately 4th quartile, ≥1 more time/week relative to exam 1). Outcome B-2 shows the odds of a having worse diet quality at follow-up (lowest change quintile 1 indicating worsening dietary quality). Adjustment variables were: linear splines for age (younger, and older), gender, race/ethnicity, education, income–wealth at exam 1, change in per capita income (exam 5 – exam 1), region at exam 1, region at exam 5, area income is high at exam 5, change in area income is high, ever lived outside USA and moved outside of baseline county. Model fit indices from a Probit model were: χ 2 = 1·606, df = 1, P-value = 0·205, RMSEA = 0·013, CFI = 0·998, TLI = 0·884, SRMR = 0·004.

Restaurants

At baseline, participants lived in areas with a median of nine restaurants in their area (25th–75th percentile, 4·8–23·3 restaurants in the 3 miles surrounding their home). Median (25th–75th percentile) in 3 miles was 2·10 (1·29–4·00) for fast food and was 4·71 (25th–75th percentile, 1·03–12·03) for non-fast food. At follow-up, residents lived nearby slightly fewer restaurants (median −1·8 fewer restaurants). Over the follow-up period, 30 % moved residence. Most of the movers stayed within the same region/county but moved to less densely populated areas (where there were fewer restaurants). Population density was highly correlated with restaurant density (spearman rank correlation 0·85, data not shown).

Adjusted results

Table 3 displays cross-sectional and longitudinal adjusted results (Panel A and Panel B, respectively). In cross-sectional analyses, high restaurant density was associated with more eating out and worse dietary quality. Relative to areas with fewer restaurants, residing in an area with many restaurants (top quartile, ≥16 restaurants within 3 miles) was directly associated with 52 % higher odds of eating out frequently (≥3 times/week, OR 1·52, 95 % CI 1·18, 1·98). In turn, frequent eating out was directly associated with 34 % higher odds of lower dietary quality (OR 1·34, 95 % CI 1·12, 1·61). Cross-sectional results suggest that frequency of eating out was a mediator in the pathway between restaurant density and diet (total indirect effect P-value 0·02). Relative to areas with fewer restaurants, residing in an area with many restaurants was associated with 3 % higher odds of lower dietary quality (HEI 1st quartile, OR 1·03, 95 % CI 1·01, 1·06).

In the longitudinal analysis, relative to exam 1, residing in areas with stable or increased restaurant density was not associated with more restaurant meals and was not associated with worsening of dietary quality. In longitudinal analyses, there was no evidence that frequency of eating out was a mediator between restaurant density and diet (total indirect effect P-value 0·87). Nonetheless, after approximately 10 years of follow-up, results suggested that more restaurant meals over time (increase of ≥1 times/week) were associated with 21 % higher odds of having worse dietary quality, although the CI included the null value (OR 1·21, 95 % CI 1·00, 1·46).

Sensitivity analyses

There was no evidence of cross-sectional interactions between restaurant density and population density (below median, at or above median), sex (male v. female), income/wealth index, movers (moved since baseline v. not) and obesity (obese v. not obese); all P for interaction ≥0·2.

The cross-sectional inference was unchanged when dietary quality was operationalised as a continuous variable. Frequent eating out was directly associated with 1·48 lower (worse) HEI score (β 1·48, 95 % CI 0·77, 2·20), results not shown in tables. Results suggested that frequent eating out was a mediator in the pathway between restaurant density and worse diet (total indirect effect P-value 0·007). Relative to areas with fewer restaurants, residing in an area with many restaurants was associated with 0·15 lower HEI score (β 0·15, 95 % CI 0·04, 0·27).

Changes were very small in restaurant density, eating out and diet; thus, longitudinal interactions were not tested; and continuous dietary change was not examined. However, we used the longitudinal data to test the inverse of our main hypothesis: whether a decline in restaurant density was associated with less eating out; and less eating out was associated with better diet. Under this hypothesis, longitudinal inference was largely unchanged except that now pathway 2 was also null (‘is less eating out associated with better diet?’). We conjecture that pathway 2 was null because the inverse hypothesis followed the overall temporal trend of the data (on average, participants ate out less and dietary quality improved over time) thus making it harder to detect a signal in our data set.

Discussion

Summary

This study of mid-aged/older adults living in select urbanised areas across the USA found that living in an area with many restaurants was associated with more restaurant meals and lower dietary quality. However, those findings were only apparent in cross-sectional data. When we examined changes in restaurant environment and changes in diet quality, there was no association between restaurant density and restaurant meals or between restaurant density and dietary quality. The impacts of frequent restaurant meals on dietary quality were more robust. Frequent restaurant meals were associated with much higher odds of having lower dietary quality in cross-sectional data and the relationship persisted in longitudinal analyses (despite CI including the null value).

Distinct advantages of this study are described here: (1) We included cross-sectional and longitudinal data and participants who resided in many urbanised areas across the USA. Almost all prior studies used cross-sectional data, and many were limited to a single state/province which limits generalisability of the findings (examples here (Reference Hickson, Diez Roux and Smith17,Reference Madrigal, Cedillo-Couvert and Ricardo19)); (2) While aggregating restaurants into all restaurant types presented some limitations to our analyses (discussed in Limitations section), there were also strengths in this approach. By combining all restaurants, restaurant-type misclassification was not an issue. Further, prior research on the effect of restaurant density on dietary outcomes among mid-older adults has almost exclusively focused on fast-food restaurants and reported null findings(Reference Moore, Diez Roux and Nettleton9,Reference Hickson, Diez Roux and Smith17,Reference Madrigal, Cedillo-Couvert and Ricardo19) . Full-service restaurants have been overlooked even though the dietary quality and obesogenic potential of most full-service restaurant meals are roughly equivalent or worse than fast-food/fast-casual restaurants(Reference Auchincloss, Leonberg and Glanz5,Reference Wu and Sturm6,Reference An12) and (3) We incorporated two causal pathways into the same model: (i) the pathway between restaurant density and restaurant meals and (ii) the pathway between restaurant meals and dietary quality. The method we used simultaneously modelled these pathways and adjusted for potential socio-demographic confounding of both pathways. Below, we discuss our findings in the context of the literature.

Pathway 1 + 2

Restaurant density and diet

Prior studies that aimed to quantify the direct association between the restaurant density and diet focused mostly on youth or young adults and reported mixed results(Reference Mackenbach, Nelissen and Dijkstra15). Among mid- to older-aged adults, cross-sectional data reported no evidence of an overall association between GIS-assessed fast-food density and dietary intake(Reference Moore, Diez Roux and Nettleton9,Reference Morland, Wing and Diez Roux16Reference Madrigal, Cedillo-Couvert and Ricardo19) . The exception was a study conducted in one UK county that found a positive association between fast-food outlet density and total grams of foods commonly associated with fast-food establishments (pizza, burgers and deep-fried foods)(Reference Burgoine, Forouhi and Griffin18). The UK study used different measures from ours making comparisons difficult. Nevertheless, our cross-sectional findings aligned with the UK study: that restaurant density could promote an unhealthy diet. However, the magnitude of the association found in our sample was small: the top quartile of restaurant density was associated with 3 % higher odds of having a lower quality diet. Further, the association did not persist when we examined changes in restaurant density and changes in diet over a 10-year period. The small magnitude of the cross-sectional association and lack of longitudinal results suggest that restaurant density may not have a notable influence on dietary quality among mid-aged/older adults.

Pathway 1

Restaurant density and frequency of restaurant meals

Most studies that assessed the association between restaurant density and frequency of eating restaurant food among adults used cross-sectional data from a single province/state, and results were mixed. Some found expected associations between the higher density of restaurants and frequency of restaurant meals(Reference Moore, Diez Roux and Nettleton9,Reference Jeffery, Baxter and McGuire55) or higher relative spending on away-from-home foods(Reference Penney, Burgoine and Monsivais56). However, other studies did not find evidence of an association(Reference Oexle, Barnes and Blake20,Reference Thornton, Bentley and Kavanagh46,Reference Paquet, Daniel and Knauper57) . Literature that relied on a single study site/region and focused only on fast food tended to show null results(Reference Oexle, Barnes and Blake20,Reference Thornton, Bentley and Kavanagh46,Reference Paquet, Daniel and Knauper57) , whereas multi-site/multi-region studies(Reference Moore, Diez Roux and Nettleton9) and/or including non-fast-food restaurants(Reference Jeffery, Baxter and McGuire55) tended to report expected results. Results from our cross-sectional adjusted analyses aligned with studies that found positive associations. We found residing in an area with many restaurants (≥16 restaurants of all types within 3 miles) was associated with 52 % higher odds of frequent restaurant meals (≥3 times/week) relative to residing in areas with fewer restaurants. However, no association was observed when longitudinal data were used. It is difficult to draw conclusions from the absence of a longitudinal effect in our study because changes in restaurant density were small and changes in the frequency of restaurant meals were small, which hampered the quantification of longitudinal change. Nevertheless, our null longitudinal results aligned with overall null results reported in the only longitudinal study to date(Reference Boone-Heinonen, Gordon-Larsen and Kiefe47).

Pathway 2

Restaurant meals and diet quality

Prior work reported that fast-food and full-service restaurant food consumption among adults was associated with significant increases in lower overall dietary quality(Reference Schroder, Fito and Covas7Reference Moore, Diez Roux and Nettleton9) and nutritional biomarkers(Reference Nguyen and Powell58). Our study aligned with those results. Frequent restaurant meals were cross-sectionally associated with 34 % higher odds of having lower dietary quality; and relative to exam 1, on average, those who increased their frequency of restaurant meals (increase of ≥1 time/week) had 21 % higher odds of worse dietary quality. This pathway had the strongest signal among the pathways examined likely due to being most proximal to dietary decision-making.

Limitations

Below, we note a few study limitations and steps taken to reduce their impact: (1) The limitations of FFQ data are well-known(Reference Willett and Hu59); and FFQ are not well-suited for looking at individual dietary components; thus, we only used an overall index for dietary quality (HEI). Strengths of the measures we used are that the face validity of the FFQ used in this study has been documented(Reference Mayer-Davis, Vitolins and Carmichael22,Reference Nettleton, Rock and Wang24) and the instrument was designed to include many foods that reflect the diversity of a multi-ethnic population. Further, we confirmed that the sample distribution of dietary measures calculated for our study (HEI and frequency of restaurant meals) roughly aligned with distributions reported in external data sets (surveillance data sets and other research(54,Reference Pereira, Kartashov and Ebbeling60,61) ). Additionally, we utilised within-sample ranking of dietary data (quartile or quintile) which differentiated lower and higher values within a sample without relying on an absolute threshold of dietary quality(Reference Liese, Krebs-Smith and Subar39); (2) It is unknown whether MESA participants utilised restaurants within 3 miles of their residences. However, 3 miles aligned with the average distance individuals travel for food(Reference Drewnowski, Aggarwal and Hurvitz62,Reference Fuller, Cummins and Matthews63) and distances associated with dietary outcomes examined in another restaurant study(Reference Boone-Heinonen, Gordon-Larsen and Kiefe47). We did not have information on the work location of participants; however, our cohort is older and most were not employed by exam 5; (3) In our sample, the correlation was very high between total restaurants and subgroups of restaurants; thus, we were not able to determine if results differed by restaurant type or diversity of restaurant types; (4) Some of the analyses were cross-sectional which are subject to temporal biases. Further, there were only two exam periods for the diet data which limited our options for longitudinal analyses. Our older sample was quite stable in their residences and showed only small changes in diet and residential exposures over 10-year period; this hampered our ability to detect hypothesised signals from the longitudinal data; (5) General health status was not available at the follow-up exam. Controlling for age will account for some of the changes in health over time; nevertheless, residual confounding could remain; and (6) Finally, results are not likely generalisable to younger populations who tend to have higher frequency of restaurant meals and worse overall dietary quality(Reference Mackenbach, Nelissen and Dijkstra15,Reference Kant, Whitley and Graubard64) .

Conclusions

With a large proportion of the US population not meeting national dietary guidelines, it is important to understand distal and proximal risk factors for low-quality diet. This study affirmed that eating frequent restaurant meals had a negative association with dietary quality, thus reiterating an important public health message that is poorly understood by consumers(Reference Auchincloss, Young and Davis65): in general, restaurant meals are not healthier than preparing food at home and can be associated with worse dietary quality(Reference Kant, Whitley and Graubard64,Reference Guthrie, Lin and Frazao66,Reference Kant and Graubard67) . Our cross-sectional findings also suggested that restaurant density may encourage eating more restaurant meals likely due to residents’ having many opportunities for eating out, thus making it more convenient to eat out(Reference Swinburn, Sacks and Hall1,Reference Giskes, van Lenthe and Avendano-Pabon13) . Those findings suggested that restaurant density linkages to dietary quality may occur via frequency of restaurant meals; thus, interventions aimed at consumers to limit the frequency of eating out may be a strategy for improving dietary quality. Despite 10 years of follow-up data, dietary change in our older-aged cohort was minimal thus constraining our ability to detect associations with change in diet. Future work could focus on younger cohorts whose dietary behaviours/habits are less static, as well as cohorts experiencing increases in restaurant density such as those living in rapidly changing urban environments in the developing world(Reference Perez-Ferrer, Auchincloss and de Menezes68).

Acknowledgements

Acknowledgements: The authors thank Yu Ling and Christina Fillmore for their assistance with data compilation and thank Ana Diez Roux and Brisa Sanchez for securing funding. The authors thank the other investigators, the staff and the participants of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) study for their valuable contributions. A full list of participating MESA investigators and institutions can be found at http://www.mesa-nhlbi.org. MESA questionnaires and data are available to scientific colleagues (http://www.mesanhlbi.org). Financial support: This research was partially supported by U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. National Institutes of Health (NIH), P60 MD002249 from the National Institute of Minority Health and Health Disparities; and R01 HL071759 and R01 HL131610 from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI)). Funding for the MESA parent study came from NIH NHLBI contracts 75N92020D00001 – 75N92020D00007, HHSN268201500003I and N01-HC-95159 – N01-HC-95169; and by grants UL1-TR-000040, UL1-TR-001079 and UL1-TR-001420 from the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences. Conflicts of interest: The authors declare no conflicts of interest. Authorship: A.A. designed the study, supervised data analysis and drafted the manuscript. K.M. compiled the data. J.L. analysed the data. L.M. assisted with study design. A.A., J.L., K.A.B.M., M.F., M.M. and L.M. contributed to interpretation of results, critically revised drafts of the manuscript and approved the final version for publication. A.A. is a guarantor of this work and, as such, had full access to all the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Ethics of human subject participation: Written informed consent was obtained from the participants, and the study was approved by institutional review boards at each recruitment site for the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (according to the guidelines laid down in the Declaration of Helsinki and all procedures involving research study participants).

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Figure 0

Fig. 1 Illustration of pathways between restaurant density and diet

Figure 1

Table 1 Participant characteristics, n 3567*

Figure 2

Table 2 Distribution of the Healthy Eating Index, frequency of restaurant meals and restaurant density, at baseline and follow-up, n 3567*

Figure 3

Table 3 Regression table. Adjusted odds ratios for having worse dietary quality and frequently consuming restaurant meals, in response to residing in areas with more restaurants (n 3567)