Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-rdxmf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-24T17:33:59.501Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Seats-in-Trouble Forecast of the 2014 Midterm Congressional Elections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 October 2014

James E. Campbell*
Affiliation:
University at Buffalo, SUNY

Abstract

Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Symposium: The 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2014 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Bafumi, Joseph, Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2010. “Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: The 2010 Midterm Election.” PS: Political Science and Politics 43 (4): 633–36.Google Scholar
Campbell, Angus. 1966. “Surge and Decline: A Study of Electoral Change.” In Elections and the Political Order, ed. Campbell, A., Converse, P. E., Miller, W. E., and Stokes, D. E.. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2012. “Forecasting the Presidential and Congressional Elections of 2012: The Trial-Heat and the Seats-in-Trouble Models.” PS: Political Science and Politics 45 (4): 630–34.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2011. “The Predicted Midterm Landslide.” PS: Political Science and Politics 44 (1): 1.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2010a. “Accuracy,” http://cookpolitical.com/about/accuracy. Accessed July 1, 2014.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2010b. “The Seats in Trouble Forecast of the 2010 Elections to the U.S. House.” PS: Political Science and Politics 43 (4): 627–30.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2010c. “The Midterm Landslide of 2010: A Triple Wave Election.” The Forum: A Journal of Applied Research in Contemporary Politics 8 (4): 119.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2006. “Forecasting the 2006 National Elections to the U.S. House of Representatives.” The Forum: A Journal of Applied Research in Contemporary Politics 4(1): article 2, 112.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 1997. The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections, Second Edition. Lexington: The University Press of Kentucky.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 1986. “Forecasting the 1986 Midterm Elections to the House of Representatives.” PS: Political Science and Politics 19 (1): 8387.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gaddie, Ronald Keith. 1997. “Congressional Seat Swings: Revisiting Exposure in House Elections.” Political Research Quarterly 50 (3): 699710.Google Scholar
Oppenheimer, Bruce I., Stimson, James A., and Waterman, Richard W.. 1986. “Interpreting U.S. Congressional Elections: The Exposure Thesis.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 11 (2): 227–47.Google Scholar
Tufte, Edward R. 1975. “Determinants of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections.” American Political Science Review 69 (3): 812–26.Google Scholar