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Editor's Introduction for Forecasting the 2013 German Elections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  21 June 2013

Bruno Jérôme
Bruno Jérôme*
Affiliation:
University of Paris II, IRGEI-LARGEPA Paris II- FR, guest editor
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Extract

In the past 40 years an extensive literature has grown up around aggregate political economy models of elections, but few articles have focused on the German case. Initially, Kirchgässner (1977; 1991), developed vote-popularity (VP) functions, with the unemployment rate as the dominant economic variable predicting the German ruling parties' performance. Thereafter, using vote functions (VF) from 1961 to 1994, Jérôme, Jérôme-Speziari, and Lewis-Beck (2001) tested the “yardstick” competition existing between French and German economic votes.

Type
Spotlight
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 46 , Issue 3 , July 2013 , pp. 477 - 478
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2013 

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References

REFERENCES

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